Arsenal visit the Amex Stadium as Premier League leaders look to protect their five-point cushion, while Brighton aim to climb their current position.
| Tournament: | Premier League |
|---|---|
| Venue: | Amex Stadium, Brighton |
| Date: | 04.03.2026 |
| Time: | 19:30 GMT |
Brighton vs Arsenal Form and Head to Head
Brighton enters this fixture on the back of a morale-boosting 2-1 victory over Nottingham Forest in their last outing, a result that will inject confidence into the Seagulls' camp. This recent win has contributed to a mixed run of form for the home side, who sit 13th in the Premier League's form table over the last six matches, having secured two wins, one draw, and three losses.
Arsenal continued their commanding lead at the top of the overall standings, with a narrow 2-1 win against Chelsea in their most recent league encounter. The North London giants boast an impressive league record, remaining undefeated in their last six Premier League matches. Their strong performances place them 3rd in the league's current form standings.
Notably, there have been over 2.5 goals scored in six of Arsenal's last seven Premier League games, with the visitors finding the net at least twice in six of those seven matches. The most recent encounter between these two sides saw Arsenal emerge victorious with a 2-1 home win in the Premier League back in December.
Looking at their recent history, Arsenal have held the upper hand against the South Coast club. The Gunners are currently undefeated in their last six matches against Brighton across all competitions, securing four victories and two draws. This dominant run includes a 3-0 away win for Arsenal during the 2023/2024 Premier League season.
Who is the Betting Favourite in Brighton vs Arsenal?
Arsenal are clear betting favourites to beat Brighton at the Amex Stadium. Latest odds imply roughly a 58% chance of an Arsenal win, around 18% for Brighton, with the draw making up the remaining probability.
| Match Result | Best Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 9/2 | BresBet |
| Arsenal | 72/100 | 10bet |
| Draw | 3/1 | BresBet |
Odds last updated at 4PM Wednesday, 4th March.
Brighton vs Arsenal Predicted Lineups
Brighton (4-3-3): Verbruggen; Kadioglu, Dunk, Van Hecke, Wieffer; Groß, Baleba, Hinshelwood; Mitoma, Welbeck, Gómez
Arsenal (4-2-3-1): Raya; Hincapié, Magalhães, Saliba, Timber; Zubimendi, Rice; Martinelli, Eze, Saka; Gyökeres
Lineups powered by WhoScored.
Brighton vs Arsenal Team News
Brighton will be without the services of Tzimas and Webster, both sidelined due to injury. Carlos Baleba could step into the starting XI, potentially replacing James Milner, while Danny Welbeck is expected to lead the line against his former club. Solly March is also targeting more minutes after his recent return from injury.
For Arsenal, there's a potential boost with Martin Odegaard possibly returning from a knee injury that kept him out of the Chelsea match. Gabriel Martinelli is likely to replace Leandro Trossard in the starting lineup, and Ben White is anticipated to be back in the squad after recovering from a minor knock. Merino remains sidelined with an injury.
Brighton vs Arsenal Match Prediction
This has the feel of an entertaining one. Brighton & Hove Albion have hit form at the right time, easing any relegation worries with back-to-back wins. They’re not afraid to shoot from distance and have shown real character when going behind. That said, they can be vulnerable in the air and are prone to the odd costly mistake.
Arsenal may be leading the way, but they haven’t always convinced on the road. They’re a serious threat from set pieces, have match-winners who can create something out of nothing, and rarely need many chances to score. Still, their measured approach can sometimes let opponents grow into games.
Brighton’s confidence and home backing suggest they’ll cause problems, but Arsenal’s firepower should tell at some point. It feels like one where both sides score and neither quite does enough to win.
Prediction: Brighton 2-2 Arsenal
Brighton vs Arsenal Match Stat Trends
Our EV Eagle has picked out five trending player stats for Brighton vs Arsenal.
Find 100s more player stat trends in our Trends Tool, available to Oddschecker+ Premium subscribers.
Danny Welbeck has exceeded 0.5 Shots On Target in 4 of their last 5 games.
Best odds of 10/11 at Paddy Power while publishing.
Eberechi Eze has exceeded 0.5 Fouls in 4 of their last 5 games.
Best odds of 3/4 at Ladbrokes while publishing.
Gabriel Martinelli has exceeded 0.5 Shots On Target in 5 of their last 7 games.
Best odds of 1/1 at BetMGM UK while publishing.
Kaoru Mitoma has managed Over 29.5 Passes in 4 of their last 5 games.
Best odds of 2/5 at 10bet while publishing.
Arsenal have scored 2+ goals in 3 of their last 3 matches in Premier League.
Best odds of 5/6 at QuinnBet while publishing.
Brighton vs Arsenal Bet Builder Tip
Our Brighton vs Arsenal Bet Builder Tip consists:
- D. Gomez Over 2.5 - Tackles
- Yes - Both Teams To Score
- P. Gross Over 0.5 - Shots
- M. Zubimendi Over 1.5 - Tackles
Best odds available of 17/2 at bet365 while publishing.
Diego Gómez: Over 2.5 Tackles
Diego Gómez has been a tackling beast, clearing over 2.5 tackles in all 3 of his last 3 Premier League apps. His relentless engine in Brighton's midfield makes this a lock against Arsenal's possession-heavy style.
Yes – Both Teams To Score
BTTS has hit in 4 of Arsenal's last 5 games, while Brighton haven't kept a clean sheet in their last 6. This clash screams end-to-end action with both attacks finding the net.
Pascal Groß: Over 0.5 Shots
Groß is a set-piece sniper, landing at least 1 shot in 7 of his last 8 PL matches (1,1,1,0,2,1,1,1) and averaging 1.10 shots per 90 since returning. Arsenal's press won't stop his efforts from range.
Martín Zubimendi: Over 1.5 Tackles
Zubimendi's smashed 3+ tackles in 3 straight PL apps, with his last 7 games reading 3,3,3,1,0,2,2. Anchoring Arsenal's midfield against Brighton's runners keeps him in double figures easily.
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