Brighton host Burnley at the Amex Stadium in a crucial Premier League clash, with the Seagulls aiming to move back into the top half and the Clarets fighting to escape the relegation zone.
| Tournament: | Premier League |
|---|---|
| Venue: | Amex Stadium, Brighton |
| Date: | 03.01.2026 |
| Time: | 15:00 GMT |
Brighton vs Burnley Form and Head to Head
Brighton's last match saw them draw 2-2 away against West Ham. The Seagulls have struggled to find consistency, failing to win any of their last six Premier League matches.
Burnley suffered a 3-1 defeat at home to Newcastle in their most recent game. The Clarets are enduring a torrid run of form, having failed to win any of their last 10 Premier League matches. They are, however, undefeated in their last seven away matches against Brighton in all competitions.
The previous meeting between these two sides ended in a 1-1 draw at Turf Moor in April 2024. Across the last six encounters, the head-to-head record is evenly split, with each team securing one victory and four matches ending in a draw.
Who is the betting favourite in Brighton vs Burnley?
According to latest odds, Brighton are favourites at around 66% implied win probability to beat Burnley, while the Clarets sit at 14%.
| Match Result | Best Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 1/2 | Ladbrokes |
| Burnley | 6/1 | AK Bets |
| Draw | 18/5 | SpreadEx |
Odds last updated at 4:30PM Friday, 2nd January.
Brighton vs Burnley Team News
Brighton will be without March, Webster, and Tzimas, all sidelined with injuries. Minteh is doubtful, and Baleba is unavailable due to international duty. Georginio Rutter could be given a starting berth, with Mitoma pushing for a start after returning from injury.
Burnley's injury woes continue, with Cullen ruled out for the season with an ACL injury. Amdouni, Beyer, Roberts, and Agyei are also sidelined with injuries. Worrall and Flemming are doubtful, while Foster, Tuanzebe, and Mejbri are on international duty. Edwards will hope to continue his run in the side following an encouraging display in the last match.
Brighton vs Burnley Predicted Lineups
Brighton (4-2-3-1): Verbruggen; Kadioglu, Dunk, van Hecke, Wieffer; Ayari, Milner; de Cuyper, Rutter, Gómez; Welbeck
Burnley (4-3-3): Dúbravka; Pires, Estève, Ekdal, Walker; Laurent, Florentino, Ugochukwu; Tchaouna, Broja, Edwards
Lineups powered by WhoScored.
Brighton vs Burnley Match Prediction
Brighton's recent form has been underwhelming, but they possess the quality to overcome a struggling Burnley side. The Seagulls have strengths in creating long shot opportunities and chances through individual skill, while Burnley struggle with keeping possession and defending against long shots. Despite Burnley's historical success at the Amex, Brighton's home advantage and Burnley's extensive injury list should give the hosts the edge. Brighton's predicted score is two goals, while Burnley's is zero.
Prediction: Brighton 2-0 Burnley
Brighton vs Burnley Player Stat Trend
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Josh Cullen has exceeded 0.5 Shots in 5 of his last 10 games.
Best odds of 1/1 at BetVictor while publishing.
Jan Paul Van Hecke has exceeded 0.5 Fouls in 8 of his last 10 games.
Best odds of evens at Ladbrokes while publishing.
Yasin Ayari has exceeded 1.5 Shots in 4 of his last 5 games.
Best odds of 3/4 at Sporting Index during publishing.
Zian Flemming has exceeded 0.5 Shots On Target in 4 of his last 5 Away games.
Best odds of 19/20 available at BetMGM during publishing.
Diego Gomez has exceeded 1.5 Fouls in 4 of his last 6 games.
Best odds of 11/10 available at Coral during publishing.
Brighton vs Burnley Bet Builder Tip
Our Brighton vs Burnley Bet Builder Tip includes backs:
- Brighton to win
- Yankuba Minteh to score or assist
- Jan Paul van Hecke to commit at least one foul
- Kyle Walker to make over 1.5 tackles during the match.
Best odds of 6/1 available at bet365 during publishing.
Brighton to win
Brighton enter as strong 65% implied favourites against relegation-threatened Burnley, boasting an unbeaten home run of seven and superior squad depth under their current management. Burnley struggle away, winning just one of 10 road games while conceding 2.1 goals per match, making the Seagulls victory a cornerstone leg.
Yankuba Minteh to score or assist
Yankuba Minteh has created six big chances with 1.5 key passes per game, delivering one goal and two assists already at the Amex this season. His direct threat exploits Burnley's porous defence, which concedes 1.8 expected goals per away match.
Jan Paul van Hecke to commit at least one foul
Jan Paul van Hecke has committed over 0.5 fouls in eight of his last 10 games, reflecting his combative central defensive role. Burnley's pacey attackers will test him, ensuring involvement in a physical battle at the back.
Kyle Walker over 1.5 tackles
Kyle Walker has registered 4, 0, 1, 0, 1 tackles in his last five outings for Burnley, but faces Brighton's high-pressing wide threats that demand his full-back recoveries. Expect 2+ interventions in transitions.
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