Burnley FC, sitting 19th in the Premier League, face a tough test at Turf Moor against a Brentford FC side chasing European qualification.
| Tournament: | Premier League |
|---|---|
| Venue: | Turf Moor, Burnley |
| Date: | 28.02.2026 |
| Time: | 15:00 GMT |
Burnley vs Brentford Form and Head to Head
The Clarets come into this fixture on the back of a 1-1 draw against Chelsea in their last Premier League outing. This result, however, does little to mask a troubling run of form for the home side, who have failed to win 17 of their last 18 Premier League matches. Their overall recent league form shows just one win, three draws, and two losses in their last six games, accumulating a mere six points. They also suffered a 2-1 FA Cup defeat to Mansfield in between league fixtures, highlighting their struggles across competitions.
Brentford, sitting comfortably in 7th place, suffered a 0-2 defeat at home to Brighton in their most recent Premier League match. Despite this setback, the Bees' away form has been impressive, with four wins and two losses in their last six away league matches, securing 12 points. A notable fact from the pre-match data indicates that there have been under 2.5 goals scored in five of Brentford's last six Premier League games, suggesting a tendency towards tighter, lower-scoring affairs.
The most recent clash between these two sides saw Brentford emerge victorious with a 3-1 home win in November 2025. Looking at their last six meetings across all competitions, the head-to-head record is perfectly balanced, with both teams securing three wins each.
However, the data also reveals an interesting trend: Burnley have won their last three home matches against the Bees in all competitions, and in those three victories, they were winning at both half-time and full-time. Furthermore, five of their last six encounters have seen over 2.5 goals.
Who is the Betting Favourite in Burnley vs Brentford?
According to latest odds, Brentford are the clear betting favourites to beat Burnley, with implied probabilities around 57% for a Brentford win, roughly 23% for the draw and 20% for a Burnley victory.
| Match Result | Best Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 77/20 | 10bet |
| Brentford | 3/4 | Betway |
| Draw | 3/1 | SpreadEx |
Odds last updated at 15:45 Friday, 27th February.
Burnley vs Brentford Team News
Burnley's injury list remains extensive, with several key players sidelined. Amdouni, Beyer, Cullen, Roberts, and Trésor are all confirmed absentees due to injury. Additionally, Tuanzebe and Broja are doubtful and will face late fitness tests to determine their availability.
Brentford have fewer injury concerns, though Michael Kayode is listed as doubtful after sustaining a knock in training. Carvalho, Dasilva, and Milambo are confirmed as injured and will not feature. There is a possibility that Schade could start, potentially replacing Lewis-Potter in the lineup.
Burnley vs Brentford Probable Lineups
Burnley (3-4-2-1): Dúbravka; Worrall, Estève, Laurent; Humphreys, Ugochukwu, Mejbri, Walker; Anthony, Edwards; Flemming.
Brentford (4-2-3-1): Kelleher; Henry, van den Berg, Ajer, Kayode; Henderson, Janelt; Schade, Jensen, Ouattara; Thiago.
Lineups powered by WhoScored.
Burnley vs Brentford Match Prediction
The outlook is bleak for Burnley F.C., who have failed to win 17 of their last 18 Premier League matches. Defensive frailties remain a major concern, with the side particularly vulnerable to through balls, aerial challenges, individual defensive errors, and quick counter-attacks. Burnley also struggle to maintain possession, which could be costly against Brentford F.C., a team that thrives on transition play despite their own share of possession limitations.
The match-up suggests Brentford’s strength in fast breaks and aerial situations may expose Burnley’s defensive structure. Although Burnley have enjoyed some positive home results against Brentford in the past, their current form and 19th-place league standing make another upset unlikely. With better away consistency and sharper chance conversion, Brentford will be confident of taking all three points.
Prediction: Burnley 0-2 Brentford
Burnley vs Brentford Match Stat Trends
Our EV Eagle has picked out five trending player stats for Burnley vs Brentford.
Find 100s more player stat trends in our Trends Tool, available to Oddschecker+ Premium subscribers.
Enock Agyei has exceeded 0.5 Tackles in 3 of their last 3 games.
Best odds of 10/11 at bet365 while publishing.
Lucas Pires has exceeded 0.5 Fouls in 6 of their last 9 games.
Best odds of 10/11 at bet365 while publishing.
Igor Thiago has exceeded 1.5 Fouls in 4 of their last 5 games.
Best odds of 1/1 at bet365 while publishing.
Burnley have received 2+ cards in 7 of their last 9 matches in Premier League.
Best odds of 4/7 at BetMGM UK while publishing.
Brentford have had 6+ corners in 5 of their last 7 matches in Premier League.
Best odds of 26/25 at BetMGM UK while publishing.
Burnley vs Brentford Bet Builder Tip
Our Burnley vs Brentford Bet Builder Tip includes:
- Over 4.5 - Total Cards
- Over 5.5 - Total Brentford Corners
- Brentford - Win Market
Best odds of 10/1 at Coral while publishing.
Over 4.5 Total Cards
This line is supported by the disciplinary records involving Burnley F.C. and Brentford F.C., both of which have shown frequent card accumulation recently. Burnley’s matches have been particularly card-heavy, with the team receiving at least two cards in 7 of their last 9 Premier League games, while also recording 2+ cards in 4 of their last 4 league meetings against Brentford.
On the other side, Brentford have also been disciplined frequently, picking up 2+ cards in 6 of their last 8 Premier League matches. The combined historical trend of both sides engaging in physical, competitive encounters makes the over 4.5 total cards line look reasonable.
Over 5.5 Brentford Corners
Brentford’s attacking structure has consistently generated wide pressure and set-piece opportunities. The data shows that Brentford have recorded 6 or more corners in 5 of their last 7 Premier League matches, indicating sustained territorial dominance and crossing volume.
Against opposition setups that tend to sit deeper, Brentford’s wing play and final-third entries often translate into high corner counts, making the over 5.5 corners market a statistically supported selection.
3. Brentford – Win Market
Backing Brentford F.C. to win is supported by their superior league standing and more consistent attacking rhythm when compared to struggling opposition. Burnley F.C. have endured a difficult run of form, failing to win 17 of their last 18 Premier League matches, a record that reflects their offensive limitations and vulnerability in close contests.
The gap in league positioning, with Brentford sitting around 7th in the Premier League table while Burnley are positioned near 19th, further underlines the competitive imbalance. Alongside Brentford’s stronger forward momentum, higher corner generation, and Burnley’s tendency to accumulate bookings while defending deeper phases, the overall data trends lean marginally in favour of a Brentford victory.
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