Chelsea host struggling Burnley at Stamford Bridge as the Blues push to secure European football, while Burnley are fighting to climb out of the relegation zone.
Chelsea vs Burnley Form and Head to Head
Chelsea come into this game in strong form, buoyed by a 4-0 FA Cup win over Hull. In their last six competitive matches, the Blues have won four, drawn one, and lost just once. Their recent results include a 2-2 league draw with Leeds, a 3-1 win at Wolves, a narrow 1-0 League Cup loss to Arsenal, a 3-2 home victory over West Ham, and a 3-2 Champions League win at Napoli.
Impressively, Chelsea have scored at least two goals in each of their last five Premier League games and remain unbeaten in their last five league outings.
Burnley come into this game following a shock 2-1 FA Cup defeat against Mansfield. Over their last six competitive matches, the Clarets have won one, drawn two, and lost three. This run includes a 3-2 league win at Crystal Palace, a 2-0 home loss to West Ham, a 3-0 defeat at Sunderland, a 2-2 home draw with Tottenham, and a 1-1 draw at Liverpool.
Defensively, Burnley have struggled in the league, conceding at least two goals in seven of their last eight Premier League games.The most recent encounter between these two sides saw Chelsea emerge victorious with a 2-0 win away at Burnley in November 2025 in the Premier League.
Looking at their last six meetings across all competitions, Chelsea have a clear upper hand. The Blues have remained undefeated against Burnley, securing four wins and two draws. This dominant run highlights a significant historical advantage for the London side in this fixture. Furthermore, Chelsea have scored at least two goals in 12 of their last 13 matches against Burnley in all competitions.
Who is the Betting Favourite in Chelsea vs Burnley?
Chelsea are overwhelming favourites to beat Burnley at Stamford Bridge, with the latest odds implying roughly an 81% chance of a home win. Burnley are priced as massive away underdogs with just a 6% chance of causing an upset in this Premier League mismatch.
| Match Result | Best Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 2/9 | bet365 |
| Burnley | 14/1 | BetVictor |
| Draw | 13/2 | AK Bets |
Odds last updated at 3PM Friday, 20th February.
Skybet
- 24/7 live chat support
- Some of the best price boosts in the market
- Intuitive user experience
Chelsea vs Burnley Team News
Chelsea face a number of injury concerns for this match. Essugo, Colwill, Lavia, Adarabioyo, and Cucurella are all sidelined with injuries. Additionally, Gittens is doubtful, and Mudryk is suspended, further limiting options for the home side. Despite these absences, Chelsea's squad depth is expected to mitigate the impact.
Burnley also contend with a list of unavailable players. Amdouni, Beyer, Cullen, Roberts, Trésor, and Tuanzebe are all out due to injuries, presenting a challenge for the visitors as they aim to field a competitive lineup.
Chelsea vs Burnley Predicted Lineups
Chelsea (4-2-3-1): Sánchez; Hato, Fofana, Chalobah, James; Caicedo, Fernández; Neto, Palmer, Estêvão; Pedro
Burnley (3-4-2-1): Dúbravka; Worrall, Estève, Laurent; Humphreys, Ugochukwu, Mejbri, Walker; Anthony, Edwards; Flemming
Lineups preview by WhoScored.
Chelsea vs Burnley Match Prediction
Chelsea, sitting fifth in the Premier League, head into this clash as clear favourites against a struggling Burnley, who are 19th in the table. The Blues thrive on possession, quick counters, and individual skill, making them dangerous through the middle and on the break. With a high average rating and strong control of games, they are expected to dictate the tempo.
Burnley, on the other hand, have struggled defensively, particularly against counters, wide attacks, and aerial threats, and are prone to individual errors. Chelsea’s ability to exploit these weaknesses, combined with their recent scoring form and historical dominance over Burnley, points to a comfortable home win.
Prediction: Chelsea 3-0 Burnley
Chelsea vs Burnley Match Stat Trends
Our EV Eagle has picked out five trending player stats for Chelsea vs Burnley.
Find 100s more player stat trends in our Trends Tool, available to Oddschecker+ Premium subscribers.
Enzo Fernandez has managed To Score Or Assist in 3 of their last 4 Home PL games.
Best odds of 10/11 at QuinnBet while publishing.
Pedro Neto has exceeded 0.5 Tackles in 6 of their last 10 games.
Best odds of 8/11 at bet365 while publishing.
Reece James has exceeded 1.5 Tackles in 6 of their last 10 games.
Best odds of 10/11 at bet365 while publishing.
Enock Agyei has exceeded 0.5 Tackles in 3 of their last 3 games.
Best odds of 5/6 at bet365 while publishing.
Lucas Pires has exceeded 0.5 Fouls in 6 of their last 10 games.
Best odds of 8/11 at bet365 while publishing.
Chelsea vs Burnley Bet Builder Tip
Our Chelsea vs Burnley Bet Builder Tip is Joao Pedro To Score Or Assist; Over 3.5 Total Cards; Over 8.5 Total Chelsea Shots On Target; E. Fernandez Over 0.5 Shots On Target.
João Pedro – To Score or Assist
Pedro's on fire, scoring in 4 of his last 5 Premier League apps and chipping in with assists too – that's direct goal involvement in every game. Facing relegation-fodder Burnley at home, he's primed for another return.
Over 3.5 Total Cards
Referee discipline will flow: Burnley have picked up 2+ cards in 6 of their last 8 PL matches, Chelsea in 6 of their last 7, and 5+ total cards have landed in 6 of Chelsea's previous 7. This screams bookings.
Over 8.5 Total Chelsea Shots On Target
Chelsea have smashed 6+ shots on target in 3 of their last 4 PL games and 6 of 10 vs Burnley historically – that's firepower Burnley simply can't contain. 9+ total SOTs have hit in 7 of Chelsea's last 10 too.
E. Fernández Over 0.5 Shots On Target
Enzo's central role guarantees chances, and with Chelsea dominating possession against Burnley's high shot concession (26+ shots in 4 of Burnley's last 6), he'll get efforts on frame from range or cutbacks.
Best odds of 7/1 at Skybet at the time of publishing.
Make sure to get the best odds on your Bet Builders with our exclusive Bet Builder Comparison Tool.
