Chelsea aim to build on their recent strong performances when they face Leeds, as the battle for a Top 4 finish intensifies.
| Tournament: | Premier League |
|---|---|
| Venue: | Stamford Bridge, London |
| Date: | 10.02.2026 |
| Time: | 19:30 GMT |
Chelsea vs Leeds Form and Head to Head
The Blues come into this fixture on the back of a convincing 3-1 away victory over Wolves in their last Premier League outing. This win has extended Chelsea's impressive league form, as they have now secured four consecutive Premier League victories.
Over their last six matches across all competitions, the London giants boast an outstanding record of five wins and just one loss. Their recent goal-scoring prowess is also notable, having scored at least three goals in their last three Premier League matches, contributing to a trend of over 2.5 goals in their last three league games.
Leeds also enjoyed a victory in their most recent match, securing a vital 3-1 home win against Nottingham Forest. However, their form has been more inconsistent over the last six outings. The Whites have recorded three wins, one draw, and two losses during this period. Notably, their away form has been a concern, as they are winless on the road since September.
The last encounter between these two sides saw Leeds emerge victorious with a 3-1 home win in the Premier League back in December of last year. However, Chelsea generally hold the upper hand in this fixture, particularly at Stamford Bridge.
The Blues have won their last seven home matches against Leeds in all competitions. Looking at their last six meetings overall, Chelsea have claimed four victories to Leeds' two. Five of these last six clashes have also seen over 2.5 goals scored, indicating a history of entertaining, high-scoring affairs.
Who is the betting favourite in Chelsea vs Leeds?
Chelsea are the clear betting favourites to beat Leeds at Stamford Bridge, with the market giving them roughly a 64% implied chance of victory. Leeds are priced as clear underdogs, with their win probability closer to 15%, and the remaining share on the draw.
| Match Result | Best Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 4/7 | BresBet |
| Leeds | 11/2 | AK Bets |
| Draw | 7/2 | Betfred |
Odds last updated at 15:35 Tuesday, 10th February.
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Chelsea vs Leeds Team News
Chelsea face several injury concerns ahead of the match. Essugo, Colwill, Lavia, and Adarabioyo are all confirmed absentees due to injury. Captain James is listed as doubtful with a minor injury, though Malo Gusto is a capable replacement at right-back. Gittens is also facing a long spell out with a hamstring problem. Adding to their woes, Mudryk is suspended for the encounter, ruling him out of the squad.
For Leeds, the team news is more positive, with Anton Stach being their only injury doubt due to a hip problem. Daniel Farke is expected to stick with a similar lineup that performed well against Nottingham Forest, though Dan James is back in the squad and hoping for his first start since November after recovering from a hamstring injury.
Chelsea vs Leeds Predicted Lineups
Chelsea (4-2-3-1): Sánchez; Cucurella, Fofana, Chalobah, Gusto; Caicedo, Santos; Neto, Fernández, Palmer; Pedro
Leeds (3-5-2): Darlow; Justin, Struijk, Rodon; Gudmundsson, Gruev, Ampadu, Aaronson, Bogle; Calvert-Lewin, Okafor
Lineups powered by WhoScored.
Chelsea vs Leeds Match Prediction
Chelsea come into this game in excellent form, especially at home, where they’ve consistently troubled Leeds in recent years. The Blues boast strong attacking qualities, with sharp finishing, creative individual play, and the ability to recover from setbacks. Their possession-based style and focus on central attacks suggest they will control the tempo and create the best chances.
Leeds, however, cannot be overlooked. They are dangerous from set pieces and capable of creating chances, which plays to one of Chelsea’s vulnerabilities. While the visitors struggle to keep possession and defend against wing play or through balls, they could still trouble the home side if they exploit these areas. On the road, Leeds have often faltered, making a win at Stamford Bridge unlikely. Overall, Chelsea’s superior form, home advantage, and attacking firepower make them favourites, though Leeds’ set-piece threat could keep the scoreline close.
Prediction: Chelsea 2-1 Leeds
Chelsea vs Leeds Player Stat Trends
Our EV Eagle has picked out five trending player stats for Chelsea vs Leeds.
Find 100s more player stat trends in our Trends Tool, available to Oddschecker+ Premium subscribers.
Pedro Neto has exceeded 0.5 Tackles in 7 of their last 10 games.
Best odds of 8/11 at bet365 while publishing.
Marc Cucurella has exceeded 1.5 Fouls in 4 of their last 5 games.
Best odds of 11/10 at Betway
Ethan Ampadu has exceeded 0.5 Shots in 4 of their last 5 Away games.
Best odds of 11/10 at Boyle Sports while publishing.
João Pedro has scored in 3 of their last 4 apps in Premier League.
Best odds of 8/5 at Unibet while publishing.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin has recorded 1+ shots on target in 4 of their last 5 apps in Premier League.
Best odds of 16/25 at BetMGM UK while publishing.
Chelsea vs Leeds Bet Builder Tip
Our Chelsea vs Leeds Bet Builder tip backs Enzo Fernández to score or assist, Moisés Caicedo to commit over 1.5 fouls, Dominic Calvert-Lewin to register 1+ shot on target, and Cole Palmer to hit at least 2 shots on target.
Best odds of 9/1 available at Paddy Power while publishing.
Enzo Fernández to score or assist
Enzo Fernández arrives in this clash in excellent form and offers strong appeal to register a goal or an assist. He has scored three times in his last five matches and shares set-piece responsibility with Reece James, boosting his chances of creating a key chance from dead-ball situations.
Even from a slightly deeper role, he is renowned for his late runs into the box and clever occupation of space between the lines, so he should find pockets in the Leeds half where he can either finish a move himself or provide the final pass.
Moisés Caicedo to commit over 1.5 fouls
Moises Caicedo has been a persistent disruptor in midfield and looks well placed to clear the 1.5 fouls line again. He has exceeded this mark in 8 of his last 10 appearances, averages 1.7 fouls per game this season, and has collected 2 yellow cards in his last three Premier League outings.
With recent foul counts of 2, 2, 2, 1 and 1, he consistently plays on the edge in duels and defensive transitions, making multiple infringements highly likely over 90 minutes.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin to register 1+ shot on target
Calvert-Lewin has rediscovered his scoring touch as Leeds' focal point up top, clearing 0.5 shots on target in 4 of his last 5 games (1, 0, 1, 1, 1). Averaging 0.9 shots on target per match this season, the Englishman remains their go-to finisher against Chelsea's backline.
Cole Palmer to hit at least 2 shots on target
Cole Palmer has been steadily growing in influence and looks well suited to testing the goalkeeper at least twice. His recent output shows shots on target tallies of 3, 1, 1 and 2 in his last five matches, while 75% of his goals have come at home prior to his hat-trick at Molineux, underlining how dangerous he is at Stamford Bridge.
He has managed at least one shot on target in each of his last four home games, and against a Leeds side likely to grant him space between the lines, he should generate multiple shooting opportunities. With Chelsea also ranking as one of the most-fouled teams in the league, Palmer can expect additional looks at goal from free-kicks and other dead-ball situations, further strengthening his case to hit this leg.
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