Newcastle vs Aston Villa predictions, lineups and odds. Read the expected XIs, injury news and bet builder tips ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash.
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Match Summary
Competition | English Premier League |
|---|---|
Match Date | Saturday 17 October 2026 |
Match Time | 17:30 UK time |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Newcastle upon Tyne, St. James' Park |
Broadcast (TV / Streaming / Radio / Bookmaker Streaming) | Sky Sports PL, Sky Sports Main Event |
Our Newcastle vs Aston Villa prediction starts from one simple premise: neither defence can be trusted. Saturday's Premier League fixture at St. James' Park pairs two sides who concede far too easily.
Newcastle sit 11th under Matthias Jaissle, but a promising start has stalled badly. A 4-1 hiding at Coventry was not even the first heavy defeat of their recent run.
Aston Villa are down in 16th, yet the mood has lifted. A 6-0 Champions League thrashing of Fenerbahce extended Unai Emery's unbeaten run, and the goals are flowing again.
Newcastle edge the recent head-to-head, winning three of the last six meetings. Villa have won two of the others, and the remaining meeting finished level.
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Form
Newcastle's problem is at the back. They shipped 13 goals across their opening six Premier League outings, the joint-highest tally in the division, and their games have been open and messy as a result. Harvey Barnes is the bright spot, landing a shot on target in every one of his last four top-flight starts.
Villa's league position flatters nobody, but the momentum is real. A 2-2 draw with Brentford was followed by that rout of Fenerbahce in the Champions League, with Nicolas Jackson among the scorers. Unai Emery's side have also won their last three away games in all competitions, beating Club Brugge, Coventry and Tottenham.
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Newcastle: E. Jaouen (Injured/out), A. Elanga (Injured/out), J. Ramsey (Injured/out), T. Livramento (Injured/out), B. Touré (Injured/doubtful)
Aston Villa: I. Maatsen (Injured/out), A. Onana (Injured/out), M. Ruggeri (Injured/out)
Newcastle
The Newcastle vs Aston Villa lineups below are probable rather than confirmed, but the hosts are finally getting bodies back, with Dan Burn, Joelinton and William Osula all fit again. Tino Livramento, Jacob Ramsey, Ewen Jaouen and Anthony Elanga remain out, and losing Elanga hurts, given he found the net twice across his last three Premier League appearances. Bazoumana Toure is doubtful after being forced off shortly after coming on at Coventry, though he is still in contention.
Aston Villa
Matteo Ruggeri has been ruled out for more than a month with a hamstring injury picked up in the draw against Brentford, and Ian Maatsen is expected to miss out with an ankle problem. That leaves Aaron Wan-Bissaka at left-back. Onana is also sidelined, while Emiliano Buendia and Joao Gomes are in line to return to the XI after starting the Champions League match on the bench.
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Predicted Lineup
Newcastle
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Predicted Starting Lineup: L. Hornícek; A. Dedic, M. Thiaw, S. Botman, L. Hall; Joelinton, N. González; J. Murphy, Y. Wissa, H. Barnes; M. Fernandez-Pardo
Aston Villa
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Predicted Starting Lineup: Z. Suzuki; M. Cash, V. Lindelöf, P. Torres, A. Wan-Bissaka; B. Kamara, J. Gomes; J. McGinn, J. Manzambi, E. Buendía; N. Jackson
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Newcastle vs Aston Villa Key Stats & Match Facts
Ollie Watkins has scored or assisted in 5 of his last 7 appearances against Newcastle (Premier League).
Newcastle have had 6+ corners in 6 of their last 6 matches against Aston Villa (Premier League).
John McGinn has scored or assisted in 3 of his last 3 appearances (Premier League).
Aston Villa have received 2+ cards in 5 of their last 6 matches against Newcastle (Premier League).
Yoane Wissa has recorded 1+ shots on target in 4 of his last 5 appearances against Aston Villa (Premier League).
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction & Best Bets
Our prediction: Newcastle to edge an open, messy game at St. James' Park. The projections have the hosts as favourites, with Villa's recent leakiness tipping the balance, and a projected total of 2.73 goals points to action at both ends. Newcastle are 11/8 (AK Bets) to get the job done.
Best Bets
Over 2.5 goals in the Total Goals Over/Under market. Newcastle v Aston Villa has all the ingredients for a goal-heavy contest. This leads our Newcastle vs Aston Villa best bets for good reason, as there have been over 2.5 goals in 8 of Aston Villa's last 10 Premier League games. This fixture follows suit too, with 3+ goals scored in 6 of the last 8 meetings between the sides in the Premier League.
Newcastle to win in the Win Market. The home side are the favourites at St. James' Park. The hosts get Burn, Joelinton and Osula back, while Villa are patching up their left-back slot with Ruggeri and Maatsen both missing. A home favourite at a sensible mid-range price against a side down in 16th is worth backing.
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Bet Builder
Joelinton has picked up a booking in all four meetings with Aston Villa in the Premier League. Fit again and back in the engine room, he rarely holds back in this fixture.
Barnes has found the target in each of his last four Premier League outings. Villa struggle against attacks down the wings, and he is Newcastle's most direct outlet out wide.
Jackson has been among the goals twice in his last three Premier League outings, a run that includes two strikes in his last three against Newcastle specifically.
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Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Talking Points
This one will be decided by the attacks, not the defences. Newcastle finish their openings well, carry a real threat on the counter and love going down the left, which is exactly where Barnes and Hall can target a Villa side that struggles against wide attacks, with Wissa arriving centrally. Villa bring plenty of their own, having found the net 14 times during their unbeaten run, and Johan Manzambi, who scored on his Champions League debut against Fenerbahce, adds another threat behind Jackson. The Newcastle vs Aston Villa betting odds lean the hosts' way, with the draw out at 11/4 (Betfred), and we agree: with the home crowd behind them, Newcastle's attack should do more damage.
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Predictions FAQs
When is Newcastle vs Aston Villa kick-off?
Newcastle vs Aston Villa kicks off at 17:30 UK time on Saturday 17 October 2026.
Where is Newcastle vs Aston Villa being played?
The match is being played at St. James' Park in Newcastle upon Tyne.
Where can I watch Newcastle vs Aston Villa?
The match is listed on Sky Sports PL and Sky Sports Main Event in the UK.
What competition is Newcastle vs Aston Villa in?
Newcastle vs Aston Villa is an English Premier League fixture.
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