Arsenal head to Elland Road as Mikel Arteta's men aim to stretch their lead at the Premier League summit.
| Tournament: | Premier League |
|---|---|
| Venue: | Elland Road, Leeds |
| Date: | 31.01.2026 |
| Time: | 15:00 GMT |
Leeds vs Arsenal Form and Head to Head
The Whites come into this match on the back of a 1-1 draw away to Everton in their most recent Premier League outing. Looking at their last six competitive matches, Leeds have shown resilience, securing two wins, three draws, and suffering just one defeat. This run includes a crucial 1-0 home victory against Fulham, highlighting their capability to grind out results. Indeed, Leeds are undefeated in nine of their last ten Premier League matches, a testament to their improved consistency.
Arsenal, despite their league-leading position, experienced a mixed bag in their last six fixtures across all competitions. Their most recent result was a 3-2 home victory over Kairat Almaty in the Champions League. Over their last six games, the Gunners have registered four wins, one draw, and one loss, showcasing their attacking prowess but also a slight vulnerability.
Notably, Arsenal have scored at least two goals in six of their last seven matches against Leeds in all competitions, underscoring their historical dominance in this fixture.
The last meeting between these two teams saw Arsenal inflict a heavy 5-0 defeat on Leeds at home in August 2025. This result continues a trend of Arsenal's dominance, as they have won their last seven matches against the Whites in all competitions.
Over the last six encounters, Arsenal boast a perfect record, having won all six matches. This historical pattern also reveals that Arsenal have been winning at both half-time and full-time in their last five matches against Leeds.
Who is the betting favourite in Leeds vs Arsenal?
According to the latest odds, Arsenal are the favourites to beat Leeds, with an implied win probability of around 64%, while Leeds’ chances sit closer to 15%.
| Match Result | Best Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 4/7 | Bresbet |
| Leeds | 6/1 | Betfred |
| Draw | 10/3 | AK Bets |
Odds last updated at 10:30AM Saturday, 31st January.
AK Bets
Leeds vs Arsenal Team News
Leeds face key absences ahead of the leaders' visit, with Jaka Bijol and Daniel James injured, and Gabriel Gudmundsson doubtful after sitting out the Everton draw. Daniel Farke will lean on Dominic Calvert-Lewin (8 league goals) for attacking threat.
Arsenal also monitor fitness concerns, with Max Dowman out and William Saliba, Jurriën Timber doubtful from midweek knocks. David Raya, Bukayo Saka, Declan Rice and Leandro Trossard return after European rotation, as Rice eyes a commanding display on his 300th Premier League appearance.
Leeds vs Arsenal Probable Lineups
Leeds (3-5-2): Darlow; Bornauw, Struijk, Rodon; Justin, Gruev, Ampadu, Stach, Bogle; Calvert-Lewin, Aaronson.
Arsenal (4-3-3): Raya; Timber, Saliba, Gabriel, Hincapié; Rice, Ødegaard, Zubimendi; Saka, Jesus, Trossard.
Lineups preview by WhoScored.
Leeds vs Arsenal Match Prediction
Elland Road hosts a clash of form versus pedigree as in-form Leeds welcome Premier League leaders Arsenal. Leeds have lost just one of their last ten games and are unbeaten in five at home, thriving on set pieces and direct attacking play.
Arsenal’s quality on the road remains imposing with the Gunners losing only once in nine away matches. With greater possession, passing accuracy, and control, Mikel Arteta’s side should dictate the game. Leeds’ struggles against through balls and wide attacks could prove costly, with Arsenal expected to find joy in behind.
Prediction: Leeds 1-3 Arsenal
Leeds vs Arsenal Player Stat Trends
Our EV Eagle has picked out five trending player stats for Leeds vs Arsenal.
Find 100s more player stat trends in our Trends Tool, available to Oddschecker+ Premium subscribers.
Declan Rice has exceeded 1.5 Tackles in 4 of their last 5 games.
Best odds of 3/4 at Sporting Index while publishing.
Ethan Ampadu has exceeded 0.5 Shots in 5 of their last 7 games.
Best odds of 11/10 at Coral while publishing.
Brenden Aaronson has exceeded 0.5 Shots On Target in 3 of their last 5 games.
Best odds of 23/20 at William Hill while publishing.
Gabriel Magalhaes has exceeded 0.5 Fouls in 4 of their last 5 Away games.
Best odds of 10/11 at Ladbrokes while publishing.
Jurrien Timber has exceeded 0.5 Shots in 4 of their last 5 Away games.
Best odds of evens at BetMGM UK while publishing.
Leeds vs Arsenal Bet Builder Tip
Our Leeds vs Arsenal Bet Builder Tip is:
- G. Magalhaes Over 0.5 - Shots On Target
- Yes - Both Teams To Score
- J. Timber Over 1.5 - Fouls
Best odds of 13/1 at BetMGM UK while publishing.
G. Magalhães Over 0.5 Shots on Target
Over 10.5 corners have landed in all of Arsenal’s last six matches and in four of the last five for Leeds, meaning there should be plenty of set-piece opportunities. Gabriel has registered two shots on target in his last five appearances, and his aerial presence makes him a live threat from corners and free-kicks. Given Arsenal’s delivery strength and Leeds’ vulnerability at defending crosses, the price on the Brazilian centre-back testing Karl Darlow once looks strong value.
Yes – Both Teams To Score
Both teams have consistently delivered in this market: Leeds have seen BTTS in 8 of their last 10 matches, while Arsenal have in 5 of their last 6. Leeds’ positive home form and desire to play on the front foot suggest they can trouble Arsenal’s defence, yet the visitors’ attacking depth means goals at both ends look highly likely once again.
J. Timber Over 1.5 Fouls
Jurrien Timber has committed over 1.5 fouls in 4 of his last 5 games, including 2 of his last 3 away appearances. The Dutch full-back averages 1.4 fouls per game this season and is likely to be tested defensively against Dominic Calvert-Lewin (draws 1.1 fouls/game) and Jayden Bogle (0.9/game). With both Leeds players direct and physical, Timber should find himself in a few 1v1 duels, making this line very achievable.
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