Wolves host Aston Villa at Molineux in a high-stakes Premier League clash, with the hosts battling relegation and Villa aiming to cement third place.
| Tournament: | Premier League |
|---|---|
| Venue: | Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton |
| Date: | 27.02.2026 |
| Time: | 20:00 GMT |
Wolves vs Aston Villa Form and Head to Head
Wolves arrive at this derby clash in dire straits, having lost 1-0 away to Crystal Palace in their last Premier League outing. This result extended their winless run in the league to eight matches in Premier League, a streak that firmly places them at the bottom of the overall standings.
Their last six matches across all competitions have yielded one win, two draws and three losses. A significant concern for the Molineux faithful is their struggle in front of goal, with the team failing to score in five of their last seven Premier League matches. Their current form sees them ranked 20th in the league form table.
In contrast, Aston Villa, currently third in the Premier League, drew 1-1 at home against Leeds in their most recent league fixture. The visitors' form over their last six matches across all competitions has been mixed, with two wins, two draws, and two losses. Interestingly, a recurring theme in Aston Villa's recent Premier League matches has been low-scoring encounters, with under 2.5 goals scored in their last seven league games. They currently sit 9th in the Premier League form table.
The most recent encounter between these Midlands rivals saw Aston Villa secure a narrow 1-0 victory over Wolves at home in November 2025. Looking back at their last six meetings, Aston Villa have held a slight edge, winning three times to Wolves' two victories, with one match ending in a draw. This fixture has historically been a cagey affair, with under 2.5 goals scored in six of their last seven clashes across all competitions.
Who is the Betting Favourite in Wolves vs Aston Villa?
Aston Villa are the clear betting favourites to beat Wolves at Molineux, with the latest odds implying roughly a 54% chance of a Villa win. Wolves are priced as heavy underdogs, reflecting their position at the foot of the table, while the draw sits around 21%, underlining Villa’s status as the only side genuinely expected to take all three points in this midlands derby.
| Match Result | Best Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Wolves | 18/5 | BetMGM UK |
| Aston Villa | 17/20 | AK Bets |
| Draw | 14/5 | bet365 |
Wolves vs Aston Villa Team News
The home side will be without Hee-Chan, who remains sidelined with an injury.
Aston Villa face a more significant injury list, with Kamara, McGinn, and Tielemans all out injured. Additionally, Bizot is suspended and will miss the trip to Molineux.
Wolves vs Aston Villa Predicted Lineups
Wolves (3-4-2-1): Sá; D. M. Wolfe, S. Bueno, Mosquera; H. Bueno, André, Gomes, Tchatchoua; Mané, Bellegarde; Armstrong.
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1): Martínez; Maatsen, Torres, Konsa, Cash; Onana, Luiz; Rogers, Buendía, Sancho; Watkins.
Lineups powered by WhoScored.
Wolves vs Aston Villa Match Prediction
Wolverhampton Wanderers F.C. have shown flashes of grit despite their difficult league campaign, earning recent draws against Arsenal F.C. and Nottingham Forest F.C.. However, goals remain a major problem, with Wolves failing to score in five of their last seven league matches, exposing their limited cutting edge in attack.
Aston Villa F.C. arrive with a more balanced threat, using wide play, through balls, and set-piece situations to create scoring chances. They average more shots per game (12.67) compared to Wolves’ 9.29, while also enjoying greater possession control (53.71% vs 43.09%). That ability to manage the ball and protect leads gives Villa an edge in a tightly contested Midlands derby.
Overall, Wolves’ defensive resilience may keep the score close, but Villa’s superior attacking variety makes an away win the more likely outcome.
Prediction: Wolves 1-2 Aston Villa
Wolves vs Aston Villa Match Stat Trends
Our EV Eagle has picked out five trending player stats for Wolves vs Aston Villa.
Find 100s more player stat trends in our Trends Tool, available to Oddschecker+ Premium subscribers.
Morgan Rogers has exceeded 0.5 Shots On Target in 8 of their last 10 games.
Best odds of 7/8 at Unibet while publishing.
Tyrone Mings has exceeded 0.5 Shots in 4 of their last 5 games.
Best odds of 1/1 at Betfred while publishing.
Matty Cash has exceeded 0.5 Shots in 5 of their last 5 games.
Best odds of 3/4 at SpreadEx while publishing.
Yerson Mosquera has exceeded 0.5 Shots in 4 of their last 5 Home games.
Best odds of 87/100 at SpreadEx while publishing.
Aston Villa have received 2+ cards in 5 of their last 6 matches vs Wolves in Premier League.
Best odds of 10/11 at Virgin Bet while publishing.
Wolves vs Aston Villa Bet Builder Tip
Our Wolves vs Aston Villa Bet Builder Tip is:
- M. Mane Over 1.5 - Fouls Won
- J. Gomes Over 2.5 - Tackles
- M. Rogers Over 0.5 - Shots On Target
- Over 2.5 - Total Wolverhampton Cards
Best odds of 10/1 at bet365 while publishing.
Mane Over 1.5 Fouls Won
Mane has been in strong physical contests recently, hitting this line in 3 of his last 3 matches. His deeper or duelling role is reflected in the consistency of his foul-winning numbers, with his last 10 match counts reading 4, 2, 1, 3, 1, 4, 3, 0, 1, 4. The opponent’s midfield has also been prone to committing fouls, averaging 45 midfield fouls in the last 10 games at 1.4 per match, with a highest single-game count of 5, creating favourable conditions for this line.
J. Gomes Over 2.5 Tackles
Gomes remains one of the primary defensive workhorses in the side, hitting this market in 6 of his last 7 games. His defensive volume is supported by a strong 3.30 tackles per 90 minutes output, with a season average of 2.94 tackles per game. The match-by-match data also shows reliability, with his last 10 appearances producing tackle counts of 1, 2, 6, 4, 4, 5, 4, 0, 5, 1.
M. Rogers Over 0.5 Shots on Target
Rogers has been active in attacking zones, landing this selection in 6 of his last 7 Premier League matches, with shot-on-target figures of 0, 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 2 across those games. Meanwhile, the defence of Wolverhampton Wanderers has allowed 19 shots on target in their last 5 matches, suggesting opportunities for midfield attackers to test the goalkeeper.
Over 2.5 Wolverhampton Cards
The fixture history between these sides tends to be disciplined but combative, with this card line landing in 8 of the last 9 meetings between the teams. Discipline metrics also support the market, as Wolves average 2.30 cards per game this season, while opponents such as Aston Villa have seen 2.60 cards per game against them.
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