Aberdeen vs St Mirren prediction, probable lineups, betting odds and bet builder tips for Saturday's Pittodrie clash. Get the best bets before kick-off.
Aberdeen vs St Mirren Match Summary
Competition | Scottish Premiership, 2026/2027 season |
|---|---|
Match Date | Saturday 17 October 2026 |
Match Time | 15:00 UK time |
Venue (City, Stadium) | Aberdeen, Pittodrie Stadium |
Pittodrie hosts Aberdeen vs St Mirren in the Scottish Premiership on Saturday, and the bookies make the Dons favourites at 5/6 (Paddy Power) against a side badly short of confidence.
Stephen Robinson's Aberdeen sit eighth in the table and come in stung by a narrow home defeat to St Johnstone, a game in which they peppered the goal without reward.
Craig McLeish's St Mirren sit a place higher in the table but arrive in freefall, beaten heavily by Hearts at Tynecastle last time out.
There is needle too. St Mirren have won four of the recent meetings with Aberdeen, who have just a win and a draw to show from the rest, and Robinson faces his old club.
Aberdeen vs St Mirren Form
Aberdeen took a point off Hibernian at Easter Road before the international break, then lost by a sole goal at home to St Johnstone. The volume is there, with 27+ shots taken in 5 of Aberdeen's last 8 Premiership matches. Kevin Nisbet is the man to watch, with a goal return across his last three Premiership outings.
St Mirren started the campaign brightly before the wheels came off. They have now lost 4 of their last 4 Premiership matches, with Hearts putting five past them at Tynecastle and Dundee United winning comfortably in Paisley before that. The attack has gone missing too, and they have failed to score in their last 3 Premiership matches.
Aberdeen vs St Mirren Lineups & Team News
Injuries & Suspensions
Aberdeen: E. Gyamfi (Doubtful), K. Tobers (Doubtful)
St Mirren: M. Dijksteel (Doubtful), K. Baccus (Doubtful), J. Ayunga (Doubtful)
Aberdeen
The Aberdeen vs St Mirren lineups look fairly settled at the Pittodrie end. Robinson made two changes for the St Johnstone defeat, with Brad Lyons coming in for Afeez Aremu in midfield and Ayoub Mouloua replacing Toyosi Olusanya to partner Kevin Nisbet up top. Marius Muller, the back three and wing-backs Chris Cadden and Nesta Guinness-Walker all kept their places.
St Mirren
McLeish made just one change at Tynecastle, with Chris Mochrie replacing Eseosa Sule. Killian Phillips led the line as a makeshift striker after Nikolas Agrafiotis was hurt in the warm-up, and with Jonah Ayunga a doubt, Phillips looks set to go again.
Aberdeen vs St Mirren Predicted Lineup
Aberdeen
Formation: 3-5-2 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Probable XI: M. Müller; G. Molloy, M. Knoester, J. Milne; C. Cadden, C. Ronan, F. Marshall, B. Lyons, N. Guinness-Walker; K. Nisbet, A. Mouloua
St Mirren
Formation: 4-2-3-1 (probable)
Predicted Starting Lineup: Probable XI: J. Chapman; C. Ramsay, H. Fieldson, A. Gogic, D. John; R. Carr, P. Nsio; C. Mochrie, F. Taylor, I. Kabia; K. Phillips
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Aberdeen vs St Mirren Key Stats & Match Facts
St Mirren have scored 2+ goals in 7 out of 10 matches vs Aberdeen in the Premiership.
Aberdeen have had 15+ shots in 4 out of 6 matches vs St Mirren in the Premiership.
Kevin Nisbet has attempted 2+ shots in 7 of his last 10 appearances vs St Mirren in the Premiership.
Aberdeen have received 2+ cards in 7 of their last 8 matches vs St Mirren in the Premiership.
There have been 13+ corners in 4 of Aberdeen's last 5 matches in the Premiership.
Aberdeen vs St Mirren Prediction & Best Bets
Our prediction: Aberdeen to win an open, messy fixture with both sides scoring. This Aberdeen vs St Mirren prediction rests on a projection of 1.88 goals for the Dons, whose crossing and shot volume should eventually tell against a leaky Saints defence. St Mirren are projected at 1.27, and Pittodrie has rarely kept them quiet.
Best Bets
Over 2.5 in the Total Goals Over/Under market. The model projects a high-scoring game at Pittodrie. The top pick among our Aberdeen vs St Mirren best bets is built on a projected total of 3.14 goals, comfortably above the line. Over 2.5 is rated a 60.8% shot to land, and a home side committing more bodies to the box against a defence that has been shipping goals points the same way.
Yes in the Both Teams To Score market. Both sides are expected to find the net. St Mirren have scored at least 2 goals in their last 3 away matches against Aberdeen in all competitions, so their recent goal drought carries less weight at this ground. Both teams scoring is rated at 60.8% as well, which sits neatly with the projected goals for each side.
Aberdeen vs St Mirren Bet Builder
Our Aberdeen vs St Mirren bet builder tips combine a Lewis Mayo card, Kevin Nisbet shots, an Aberdeen win and Nisbet to score anytime.
Lewis Mayo to be shown a card: he has picked up a booking in every one of his last five Premiership appearances, and a fixture with this much needle suits that habit.
Kevin Nisbet over 2.5 shots: the striker has been pulling the trigger regularly, getting three or more shots away in each of his last three Premiership games, and Aberdeen's love of a cross keeps feeding him.
Aberdeen to win: St Mirren have lost 4 of their last 4 Premiership matches. The home win also carries the biggest share of the projection, at 52%.
Kevin Nisbet anytime goalscorer: he is Aberdeen's focal point and has found the net twice in his last three top-flight outings, so with Ayoub Mouloua alongside him he should not be short of company in the box.
At the time of writing, this bet builder pays a best price of 23/2 and is as short as 29/4 elsewhere.
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Bet builder odds correct at time of publishing.
Aberdeen vs St Mirren Talking Points
Robinson against his old club is the obvious storyline. He managed St Mirren until leaving for Pittodrie in March 2026, and he has spent the week urging his players to commit more numbers into the box after a home defeat to St Johnstone in which they had more than 20 shots. McLeish, his successor, needs a response from a side desperate to stop the rot. St Mirren are at their best stealing the ball and breaking on the counter, so an Aberdeen side pushing bodies forward should open this up at both ends. That is exactly why goals appeal.
Aberdeen vs St Mirren Predictions FAQs
When is the Aberdeen vs St Mirren Scottish Premiership game?
The match is on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 UK time.
Where is Aberdeen vs St Mirren being played?
The match is being played at Pittodrie Stadium.
What competition is Aberdeen vs St Mirren in?
The match is a Scottish Premiership fixture in the 2026/2027 season.
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