World Cup 2026 Group D: Fixtures, Odds, Schedule & Predictions

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Group D looks one of the most evenly matched sections at the 2026 World Cup, with hosts USA joined by Turkey, Paraguay and Australia.

The United States head the betting to win the group, but Turkey are close behind in the market and arrive with enough quality to make this a genuine battle for top spot. Paraguay and Australia may be bigger prices, but both have the tournament experience and organisation to make qualification far from straightforward.

Here, we break down the Group D fixtures, schedule, odds, team profiles, predictions and best bets through Oddschecker.

Group D - Fixtures & Schedule

Matchday 1:
Saturday, June 13: USA vs Paraguay, 2am BST — SoFi Stadium, Inglewood
Sunday, June 14: Australia vs Turkey, 5am BST — BC Place, Vancouver

Matchday 2:
Friday, June 19: USA vs Australia, 8pm BST — Lumen Field, Seattle
Saturday, June 20: Turkey vs Paraguay, 4am BST — Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara

Matchday 3:
Friday, June 26: Turkey vs USA, 3am BST — SoFi Stadium, Inglewood
Friday, June 26: Paraguay vs Australia, 3am BST — Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara

World Cup 2026 Group D - Team Profiles

USA

FIFA Ranking: 16th 
Manager: Mauricio Pochettino
Star Player: Christian Pulisic
Odds to win Group D: 6/4 (40% implied probability)
Odds to win the World Cup: 80/1 (1.2% implied probability)

The USA enter their home World Cup with genuine pressure, but also a realistic opportunity to top Group D under Mauricio Pochettino. With Christian Pulisic, Tyler Adams and Weston McKennie leading the squad, and home support behind them, anything less than reaching the knockout rounds would feel like a disappointment. The group is far from straightforward, with Turkey, Paraguay and Australia all capable of taking points, but the USA should view first place as a realistic target rather than an optimistic one.

Beyond the group stage, a run to the last 16 should be the minimum ambition, while reaching the quarter-finals would represent a strong tournament and a clear sign of progress. Winning the World Cup still looks a major stretch, but this is a tournament where the USA should be aiming higher than simply avoiding an early exit.

USA Stage of Elimination Odds

Group Stage: 11/2
Round of 32: 2/1
Round of 16: 3/1
Quater-Finals: 11/2
Semi-Finals: 12/1
Runner-Up: 40/1
Winner: 80/1

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Top USA Bets Through Oddschecker

Top Team Goalscorer - Folarin Balogun (4/1)
Stage of Elimination - Round of 16 (3/1)

Turkey

FIFA Ranking: 22nd 
Manager: Vincenzo Montella
Star Player: Arda Guler
Odds to win Group D: 15/8 (34.8% implied probability)
Odds to win the World Cup: 100/1 (1% implied probability)

Turkey arrive at the 2026 World Cup with genuine momentum and should view qualification from Group D as a realistic target rather than a bonus. Vincenzo Montella has built an exciting young side around Arda Guler and Kenan Yildiz, with Hakan Calhanoglu providing experience and control in midfield. The group looks open enough for Turkey to challenge the USA for top spot, although fixtures against Australia and Paraguay are exactly the kind of tests they must handle if they want to be taken seriously.

Their lack of a proven striker could limit their ceiling, but their technical quality and attacking flair make them dangerous opponents in knockout football. A place in the last 32 should be the minimum ambition, while reaching the last 16 or quarter-finals would underline the progress of one of Europe’s most intriguing teams.

Turkey Stage of Elimination Odds

Group Stage: 10/3
Round of 32: 17/10
Round of 16: 3/1
Quarter-Finals: 8/1
Semi-Finals: 18/1
Runner-Up: 50/1
Winner: 100/1

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Top Turkey Bets Through Oddschecker

To Win Group D: Yes (15/8)
Top Team Scorer: Kerem Akturkoglu (5/1)
Stage of Elimination: Round of 16 (3/1)

Paraguay

FIFA Ranking: 40th 
Manager: Gustavo Alfaro
Star Player: Julio Enciso
Odds to win Group D: 4/1 (20% implied probability)
Odds to win the World Cup: 400/1 (0.2% implied probability)

Paraguay arrive at the 2026 World Cup as outsiders in Group D, but they should not be dismissed given their return to the tournament was built on a strong qualifying campaign under Gustavo Alfaro. Their realistic ambition will be to reach the knockout rounds, either by challenging Australia and Turkey for second place or by doing enough to qualify as one of the best third-placed teams.

With experienced leaders such as Gustavo Gomez and Miguel Almiron, plus the attacking quality of Diego Gomez and Julio Enciso, Paraguay have enough balance to make themselves difficult to beat. The opener against the USA will be a tough test, but their matches against Australia and Turkey look more likely to define their campaign. A deep tournament run would be a surprise, but reaching the last 32 is a genuine target and the last 16 is not out of reach if Alfaro’s side can stay compact and take their chances.

Paraguay Stage of Elimination Odds

Group Stage: 7/4
Round of 32: 6/4
Round of 16: 4/1
Quater-Finals: 11/1
Semi-Finals: 50/1
Runner-Up: 100/1
Winner: 400/1

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Top Paraguay Bets Through Oddschecker

Top Team Goalscorer: Julio Enciso (10/1)
Stage of Elimination: Quarter-Finals (11/1)

Australia

FIFA Ranking: 27th 
Manager: Tony Popovic
Star Player: Alessandro Circati
Odds to win Group D: 9/1 (10% implied probability)
Odds to win the World Cup: 500/1 (0.2% implied probability)

Australia arrive in Group D with realistic knockout ambitions, especially after reaching the last 16 in Qatar and proving they can compete on the World Cup stage. Tony Popovic’s squad has a younger, refreshed feel, with the manager talking up their fearlessness and adding new attacking options in a bid to give the Socceroos more cutting edge.

The opening game against Turkey looks crucial, because a positive result would put them in a strong position before facing hosts USA and Paraguay. Winning the group would be a surprise, but the section is open enough for Australia to target second place or one of the best third-place spots. Progression to the last 32 should be the main aim, while reaching the last 16 again would represent another excellent tournament.

Australia Stage of Elimination Odds

Group Stage: 4/5
Round of 32: 2/1
Round of 16: 7/1
Quater-Final: 22/1
Semi-Final: 125/1
Runner-Up: 500/1
Winner: 500/1

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Top Australia Bets Through Oddschecker

Top Team Goalscorer - Mohamed Toure (9/2)
To Qualify from Group D - No (4/5)

Who is favourite to win Group C?

USA are the marginal 6/4 favourites to win Group D ahead of Turkiye (15/8). Paraguay and Australia are priced at 4/1 and 9/1 respectively in what looks the World Cup's most competitive group.

Group D Match & Score Predictions

Matchday 1
USA 2-1 Paraguay
Australia 0-2 Turkiye

Matchday 2
USA 2-1 Australia
Turkiye 2-0 Paraguay

Matchday 3
Paraguay 1-0 Australia
Turkiye 2-2 Australia

Predicted Group D Standings
1. Turkiye
2. USA
3. Paraguay
4. Australia

Group D Betting Tips

USA & Turkey Reverse Forecast - 11/8 (1pt)
USA and Turkey look the strongest automatic qualification picks in Group D, with the hosts leading the betting and Turkey close behind as the main challengers. USA’s home advantage and squad depth make them the likeliest group winners, while Turkey’s attacking quality through players such as Arda Guler, Kenan Yildiz and Kerem Akturkoglu gives them the edge over Paraguay and Australia. In a competitive group, they look the two sides best equipped to finish inside the top two.

Paraguay Top Goalscorer - Diego Gomez - 7/1 (1pt)
Diego Gomez looks an interesting 7/1 angle in Paraguay’s top team goalscorer market, particularly as he arrives with Premier League sharpness after scoring five times for Brighton in 2025/26. He has already shown he can deliver for Paraguay in big moments, scoring the winner against Brazil in World Cup qualifying, and his ability to arrive from midfield could be valuable in a side likely to play tight, low-scoring matches. Antonio Sanabria is the more obvious goalscorer, but Gomez offers a bigger-price alternative with proven goal threat.