Check out our best bets for Australia vs Egypt, featuring a 5/1 bet builder tip and an anytime goalscorer shout.
Australia vs Egypt BettingSee All Odds
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Australia and Egypt meet in Dallas today in a Round of 32 knockout tie, with both sides looking to make history by winning a World Cup knockout match for the first time. Tony Popovic’s side came through a difficult Group D containing the United States, Turkey and Paraguay, and now have the chance to take the Socceroos beyond the last 16 for the first time.
Egypt, meanwhile, reached the knockout stage after finishing second in Group G behind Belgium. Hossam Hassan’s side drew with Belgium and Iran before beating New Zealand, and their campaign has been built around resilience, defensive organisation and the attacking quality of Mohamed Salah and Omar Marmoush.
Salah’s fitness has dominated the build-up after his hamstring issue against Iran, but Australia are preparing for both scenarios. Even if Egypt’s captain is not ready to start, they have enough pace and technical quality to trouble an Australia side that should again lean on physicality, structure and set-piece threat.
Check out our best bets for the match, featuring Omar Marmoush to commit 2+ fouls, our 5/1 Bet Builder tip and Mohamed Salah anytime goalscorer.
Australia vs Egypt Best Bet
Recommended Bet: Omar Marmoush to commit 2+ fouls
Best Odds: 19/10 (Betway)
Advised Stake: 1pt
Omar Marmoush to commit two or more fouls looks the strongest betting angle for Australia vs Egypt, with the forward likely to be heavily involved both in Egypt’s pressing and their counterattacking threat.
Marmoush has committed two or more fouls in five of his seven knockout matches for Egypt at AFCON, showing that his off-ball work often increases when the stakes rise. He has also reached this line in 10 of his 16 tournament appearances for Egypt.
Egypt should look to use Marmoush’s pace and intensity to press from the front, stop Australia building comfortably and then break quickly when they regain possession.
Ricardo Pepi and Folarin Balogun both committed two or more fouls against the Socceroos when the USA faced them, which suggests forwards can be dragged into repeated contact against Australia’s physical back line and midfield screen.
Salah’s fitness could also increase Marmoush’s workload. If Salah is limited or managed carefully, Egypt may lean even more heavily on Marmoush to provide energy, pressing and direct running in the final third.
Who is favourite to win Australia vs Egypt?
In the 90-minute result market, Australia are 12/5, Egypt are 15/8 and the draw is priced at 5/2.
Australia vs Egypt Bet Builder Tip
Our Bet Builder Tip (1pt stake advised) for Australia vs Egypt is:
- Emam Ashour to win 2+ fouls
- Jordan Bos to commit 2+ fouls
- Mohamed Salah to have 1+ shot on target
- Egypt to score 1+ goal
Leg 1: Emam Ashour to win 2+ fouls
Ashour to win two or more fouls is the Egypt ball-carrying angle in this Bet Builder, with the midfielder likely to be important if he starts in an advanced or wide-left role.
Ashour has been fouled two or more times in six of his last 10 tournament starts for Egypt, including three of his last four knockout starts.
Australia are expected to make this physical, so Ashour should have a clear route to contact if he is used to help Egypt progress the ball through midfield or down the left side.
Leg 2: Jordan Bos to commit 2+ fouls
Bos to commit two or more fouls links directly to Ashour’s fouls-won leg. If Ashour starts or drifts into Bos’s channel, this could become one of the key individual battles in the match.
Across Egypt’s last 10 tournament matches, the opposition right-back has committed at least one foul in eight of them.
Bos has committed at least one foul in 13 of his last 20 matches for club and country, while he has reached two or more fouls in three of his previous seven appearances. If Egypt target his side through Ashour, Salah, Marmoush or overlapping runs, Bos could be exposed to repeated defensive actions.
Leg 3: Mohamed Salah to have 1+ shot on target
Salah had at least one shot on target in 22 of his 30 tournament appearances for Egypt, including eight of his previous 11.
Salah registered two shots on target against New Zealand and one against Belgium, before failing to hit the target against Iran in a match where he was substituted in the 56th minute.
Even if Australia keep the game tight, Salah’s role gives him multiple routes to one effort on target: cutting in from the right, attacking transitions, taking set pieces or arriving onto passes from Marmoush and Ashour. If he starts, one shot on target looks a fair leg.
Leg 3: Mohamed Salah to have 1+ shot on target
Salah had at least one shot on target in 22 of his 30 tournament appearances for Egypt, including eight of his previous 11.
Salah registered two shots on target against New Zealand and one against Belgium, before failing to hit the target against Iran in a match where he was substituted in the 56th minute.
Even if Australia keep the game tight, Salah’s role gives him multiple routes to one effort on target: cutting in from the right, attacking transitions, taking set pieces or arriving onto passes from Marmoush and Ashour. If he starts, one shot on target looks a fair leg.
Leg 4: Egypt to score 1+ goal
Egypt have scored in 17 of their last 20 internationals, which is a strong scoring trend for a side likely to carry threat in transition.
Australia should be organised and physical, but Egypt have enough attacking routes through Salah, Marmoush and Ashour to create chances. Even if the match is cagey, one moment of quality, a set piece or a breakaway could be enough for Egypt to get on the scoresheet.
At the time of writing, the Bet Builder pays a best price of 5/1 with bet365.
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Australia vs Egypt Goalscorer Bet
Recommended Bet: Mohamed Salah anytime goalscorer
Best Odds: 21/10 (Various)
Advised Stake: 1pt
Mohamed Salah anytime goalscorer is an appealing goalscorer bet for Australia vs Egypt, with the forward still offering Egypt’s most reliable route to a match-winning moment.
His recent goals sequence in non-friendly starts reads 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 0, 1, 0, 1, 1, 1, 0, 1, 0, 1, 0 and 4, scoring in 12 of those 22 starts.
If Salah starts, Egypt should look to get him isolated on the right, where he can cut inside onto his left foot, attack space behind Australia’s full-back or arrive at the back post when moves develop from the opposite side. He is also a major threat from penalties and set-piece situations, giving the selection more than one route to landing.
Salah’s fitness is the obvious caveat, so this bet is strongest if he starts. However, his group-stage involvement still underlines his importance, and if Egypt are willing to use him in a knockout match, they are likely to do so because he can directly influence the scoreline.
Australia vs Egypt Predicted Lineups
Australia predicted XI:
Beach; Circati, Souttar, Herrington; Bos, Irvine, O’Neill, Behich; Irankunda, Metcalfe; Touré.
Egypt predicted XI:
Shobeir; Hany, Rabia, Ibrahim, Hafez; Saber, Attia; Zico, Salah, Ashour; Marmoush.
Australia vs Egypt Match Prediction
Australia enter this tie with a real chance to make history, but the match is unlikely to be open or straightforward. Popovic’s side should be organised, physical and dangerous from set pieces, while their younger players have given the Socceroos energy and belief throughout the tournament.
Egypt have been difficult to beat and should be confident after reaching the knockouts. Their draw with Belgium showed they can frustrate strong opposition, while the win over New Zealand gave them a platform to progress from Group G.
Salah’s availability could shape the tone of the match. If he starts and is close to full fitness, Egypt have the individual quality to punish Australia in transition. If he is limited, more responsibility falls on Marmoush, Ashour and Zico to carry the attacking threat.
This looks like a tight knockout tie that could be decided by one moment, a set piece or extra-time fatigue. Australia’s physical edge should keep them competitive, but Egypt’s attacking quality may just give them the narrow advantage.
Score Prediction: Australia 1-1 Egypt, Egypt to qualify after extra time
