Four teams will reach the World Cup while four fall short. We’ve built a bold 135/1 four-fold acca as all eight sides chase qualification glory.
It’s a huge Tuesday night of UEFA World Cup qualifying, with four nations aiming to book their place at the 2026 tournament. With pride, momentum and qualification on the line, there’s plenty of value in the card markets. We’ve picked out four strong selections from across the fixtures and combined them into a bold four-fold priced at 135/1.
Sweden v Poland
Leg 1: Matty Cash - To Be Shown A Card
Best odds of 16/5 while publishing.
| Manager | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Robert De Zerbi | 1/7 | 87.5% |
| Sean Dyche | 7/4 | 36.4% |
| Harry Redknapp | 10/1 | 9.1% |
| Chris Hughton | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| Ryan Mason | 12/1 | 7.7% |
Matty Cash averages 1.72 fouls per game, which is already a strong indicator for a defender in wide areas. He has also picked up 2 yellow cards in his last 5 matches, showing a clear pattern of disciplinary risk.
This matchup against Sweden makes the case even stronger. Anthony Elanga has been drawing fouls consistently in recent games (2, 3, 0, 1, 1, 2). His pace and direct style should pull Cash into 1v1 situations where timing becomes critical.
With his foul rate and recent bookings, plus a tricky individual duel, Cash stands out as a strong card candidate.
Czech Republic v Denmark
Leg 2: Ladislav Krejci - To Be Shown A Card
Best odds of 37/20 while publishing.
Ladislav Krejčí has committed 8 fouls in his last 9 games and picked up 2 yellow cards in his last 5, which highlights a consistent disciplinary trend.
Denmark are a side that naturally draw fouls, with opponents averaging 2.40 cards against them in their last 10 matches, including recent totals of 2, 1, 5, 3, and 2.
If Denmark control possession, Krejčí will be forced into repeated defensive actions. Given his foul numbers and recent bookings, he looks well positioned to add another card to his record.
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Bosnia and Herzegovina v Italy
Leg 3: Ermedin Demirovic - To Be Shown A Card
Best odds of 47/20 while publishing.
Ermedin Demirović comes into this game with a clear disciplinary trend. He has committed 2, 2, 0, 3, and 4 fouls in his last five matches, showing that he is regularly involved in physical duels.
More importantly, he has been booked in both of his last two games, which signals that referees are already penalising his level of involvement. That is not a one-off, it is a pattern.
The matchup against Italy only strengthens the angle. Italy’s midfield and defence are highly effective at controlling games and drawing fouls, with recent totals of 5, 8, 5, 12, and 10 fouls won.
That means Demirović will likely be under constant pressure, chasing the ball and reacting rather than dictating play. Against a side that invites pressure and then exploits space, forwards often end up committing tactical fouls or late challenges. With his recent booking record, he stands out as a strong card candidate.
Kosovo v Turkey
Leg 4: Lumbardh Dellova - To Be Shown A Card
Best odds of 49/20 while publishing.
Lumbardh Dellova has not featured heavily and has committed just 4 fouls in 4 games, but that lack of minutes can work against him here. Players who are not fully settled often struggle with timing and rhythm, especially in high-intensity international fixtures.
This is a tough assignment against a fast, technical Turkey attack. Players like Kenan Yıldız, Arda Güler, Oğuz Aydın, and Kerem Aktürkoğlu all bring strong foul-drawing numbers.
Yıldız averages 1.40 fouls won per game, Güler 1.50, Aydın around 1.20, and Aktürkoğlu 1.40 across recent starts. These are players who actively engage defenders and provoke challenges.
That is exactly the kind of profile that can expose a defender like Dellova, especially if he is caught out of rhythm. If Turkey’s attack gets at him early, he may be forced into mistimed tackles, making him a live card contender in this matchup.
