
Four golfers to back according to Niall Lyons, all available at big prices.
The Genzon GC, famous for hosting the Shenzhen event the last handful of years returns to host this years China Open for the first since 2014 when Alex Levy was crowned the champion. This gives us a fair amount of course form and data to pour over becoming to our conclusions on who to back. The course has seen a fair mix of golfers contend down the years but par 5 scoring looks like one of the key metrics. With paspalum grass throughout I think it'd be foolish to ignore previous results on this type of grass that they rarely play on. With rain in the forecast it may pay to support the big hitters.
Haotong Li heads the betting and in a top heavy field certainly looks the one to beat. He was a close second to Dustin Johnson earlier in the year and boasts a runner up finish on this track. He won this event on a different course a few years back and has little in the way of negatives on his CV. He now ranks inside in the top 50 but when punting him around these odds his putter would worry me a little. His runner up finish in Turkey was littered with mistakes on the greens and although he is worthy favourite I'd be looking for some better opportunities to land him at some juicier prices in better events.
MIN WOO LEE (best price 66-1) looks to be overpriced with a chunk of bookmakers this week and he just must be backed around a course that should suit. A former US Open Junior champion Min Woo has taken to the big tour like a duck to water. 4th in Saudi (on paspalum surfaces) was backed up by a 5th placed spot in the Super 6 event. A top 20 followed that in Qatar. The 20 year old is cruising along in his first full season and looks to have the talent to land an event like this. Brother of the LPGA star Minjee Lee, the Australian sits 3rd in Par 5 scoring this season and Genzon should set up well for the powerful kid. Certainly can't be anything bigger than 50/1 in my book.
1.5pts each-way M.Woo Lee 66/1 (1/5 7)
JORGE CAMPILLO (best price 18-1) has everyone's measure last week and it'd be no surprise to me if the in form Spaniard went back to back and won another. Truth be told he has been one of the best performers on the European Tour this calendar year and unless the win knocks him energy wise I see no reason why he can't continue this fine run of form. His recent form reads 1-3-20-2-2. The win was only around the corner and he managed it comfortably last week holing numerous clutch putts down the stretch. Plenty of these were up against him and I think he remains ahead of the handicapper in weakish fields like these. Van Rooyen has been priced alongside Campillo which doesn't look right to me considering the South African has disappointed on several occasions now at the business end. Neither do I think that Suri should be shorter. Campillo is clear second fav in my eyes and although risky given he is last week winner, I think he must be in our staking plan.
1.5pts each-way J.Campillo 18/1 (1/5 6)
THOMAS DETRY (best price 30-1) showed some of his talent in the Sky Sports studio a few weeks ago and there's no doubt a lot more consistency has been achieved. Now on a run off 11 made cuts the Belgian is climbing the rankings and a European Tour event looks a question of 'when' and not 'if'. He hits the ball a mile and it was a testament to his game that he managed to score well around a tough track last week in Morocco to finish just inside the top ten. He didn't rank very high on the putting stats either so if he can hole a few more putts this week his long game should be in sufficient nick. He has recent experience of playing on paspalum in Punta Cana on the PGA Tour where he finished 33rd. He hasn't contended many finishes near the business end of events but with par 5 scoring being important (ranked 7th) he should be licking his lips at the wet course.
1.5pts each-way T.Detry 28/1 (1/5 7)
Another with recent experience on this grass is PAUL DUNNE (best price 55-1). The Irishman has found some form again after a disappointing few months. 3rd in the Super 6 and 12th in Punta Cana (paspalum) where he joint lead after day one are signs that he is coming back towards his best. Two solid efforts here the past few years inside the top 35 in each. He ranks 17th in Par 5 scoring which is credible for someone not considered to be one of the longest. Has experience winning a big event in the British Masters which many of his competitors don't have here. I'd expect Dunne to continue this form and have a decent season. is price isn't overly exciting but for me one of the more likelier contenders this week.
1.25pts each-way P.Dunne 55/1 (1/5 6)













