A return to the Maxx Royal track in Antalya is welcome as it's a much more interesting layout than the Regnum that has hosted the last few years. Not overly long the course offers plenty of birdies with 5 par 5s being one of the signatures of this Montgomerie course. Montgomerie designed courses in general tend to have some kind of test off the tee and approaching the green. There are enough trees here to make you think off the tee but it has been the bombers that have mostly dominated events here from 2013-2015. No overall stat stands out however as there has been a mix of golfers with varying degrees of skill who have fought out the finishes here. That being said I prefer the longer hitters and those who gain most of their shots from tee to green.

An uneasy Justin Rose heads the betting and it'd take a brave man to back him to make it a hat trick of wins in this event. he has been nowhere near his best lately and even though his form holds up against almost anybody's, the single figure price looks thin. Tyrrell Hatton is an interesting sort after last weeks effort and is certainly going in the right direction. In a field littered with some talented youngsters the 18/1 on offer doesn't tempt me enough.

The standout bet for me is Adri Arnaus. The Spaniard has lived up to expectations this year with a 6th place at the Open De Espana, 6th in Crans and a trio of runner up finishes in Kenya, Czech Republic and at Valderrama. These performances are especially eye catching and surely it won;t take him much longer to break his big tour duck. His talent was there for all to see at Valderrama where he really threatened a win on one of the more difficult tracks on the schedule. He ranks 4th this year in strokes gained off the tee and should give himself significant advantage on the par 5s which will be key to get into contention this week. 50/1 out there is offensive to Arnaus who looks destined for success on the big tour. He may kick it off in style just like Koepka did here back in 2014.

2pts each-way Adri Arnaus 50/1 (1/5 6 places)

Adri Arnaus - 2pts e/w @ 50/1

I was surprised to see such big quotes about recent winner Nicolas Colsaerts. granted the Belgian fell over the line in France at the end but for the first three days he looked like he had recaptured some of the best golf in his career. The big question mark is just how much of a turnaround Colsaerts has made but if it is as significant as days 1-3 in Paris then he could pounce again at big odds. He hasn't done anything special here but it is worth noting bar his first round 80 in 2014 he has played the track reasonably well. It is a lot to ask Colsaerts to win back to back but the course here could really open up for him if he continues on his merry way from France. Dubuisson and Koepka made mince meat of parts of this course with their prowess from tee to green and Colsaerts fits that bracket. I'm more than happy to have a bet at a top price of 90s and 80s general.

1.5pts each-way Nicolas Colsaerts 90/1 (1/4 5 places)

Nicolas Colsaerts - 1.5pts e/w @ 90/1

Guido Migliozzi is another who ranks high in the off the tee charts and who has surely been underestimated by the bookmakers being chalked up at triple figures. There has been a shade of inconsistency about the Italian's efforts this year but you can't fault two wins on his debut season on tour. He should be suited by the test with enough of a test off the tee to make you think whilst being able to make hay on the longer holes. Rai, Kitayama, Law, Harding, Bezuidenhout, Soderberg, Perez and Brown have all been young talented sorts who have managed to get over the line this season. Regular wins for these sorts certainly look like continuing as a new brand of young golfer takes over on the European Tour when the field isn't too deep. A lot of negatives surround the market leader and I certainly prefer to invest in a few of these types who have the talent to overtake the older operators in the next few years.

1.25pts each-way Guido Migliozzi 100/1 (1/5 7 places)

Guido Migliozzi - 1.25pts e/w @ 100/1

Paul Waring is in the throws of something special and it's a shame we didn't get rewarded more for the bet at the Dunhill Links. That is the story of the year and for this chapter the bookies may have gotten him about right price wise. That being said he could easily go onto win. A few appeal slightly more around the same odds or bigger though. Chris Paisley is another who is finding his best form again but at a slightly bigger price it may pay to support three time tour winner Richie Ramsay. The Scot has managed three top tens in his last four starts, one being at Wentworth where he managed to match some of the worlds best. He will be suited by a relatively short course and has the experience of winning a big title in Crans. He is one with similar form to many but remains favourably priced at 90/1.

1pt each-way Richie Ramsay 100/1 (1/5 7 places)

Richie Ramsay - 1pt e/w @ 100/1

Finally I'll be writing Romain Langasque on a few dockets this week. The Frenchman will be mighty keen to get into the winners circle like many of his Challenge Tour peers who have achieved the feta lately. he didn't disgrace himself last week at the WGC finishing 46th largely due to a disappointing final round 76 which sent him tumbling down. Previous to that two top 20s at Paris National and Wentworth tell us he can't be far off producing some of his bets stuff. He has managed five top 6 finishes in the last 12 months and it's a sure sign he can't be too far off. There is a new breed of young golfers winning a bunch of events and I expect more to follow suit in the next few months. At triple figures Langasque who lies 6th in strokes gained tee to green can make a mockery of his 100/1 quote. Willett and Kawamura were another two who I found very difficult to exclude this week.

1pt each-way Romain Langasque 100/1 (1/4 5 places)

Romain Langasque - 1pt e/w @ 100/1