
Five picks from our golf expert as he turns his attention to the Mayakoba Golf Classic.
Personally a lot of these 'fall' season events do not appeal to me from a punting perspective as the calendar year draws to a close but the Mayakoba has always been one which lends itself to the punter. We have a seaside track often affected by wind whilst plenty of results match up with other courses on tour. This course is always soft due to the climate and 20 under par may not be enough to take home the spoils. Birdies are the order of the day and those finishing towards the top of the leaderboard each year rank high in the putting stats for the week. It is important to seize your opportunities here and make plenty of putts. Keeping the ball in play is a must with plenty of hazards awaiting errant tee shots so it is important to be tidy enough whilst navigating your way through the jungle here. A seaside track results in a lot of correlations to other courses most notably the Sony Open where Kuchar and Kizzire have won both events back to back whilst Wagner and Wilson have tasted success on both courses.
At 50/1 Harris English represents outstanding value. He has started his 2019 campaign in fine fashion with 3rd at the Greenbrier, 6th at the Sanderson and 4th last time for us at Houston. His tee to green game has been in exceptional nick and we were only waiting for the putter to hot up which it did in Houston, maybe only a shade too late. He won this in 2013 and has two top 5 finishes posted at Waialae. I am amazed at this price and would have him closer to half that. Not only does his price make me lick my lips, but his chances are considerable given how he has went so far this season. A month off throws a little doubt into the equation but I'm prepared to take the chance he arrives in the same kind of form. The whole year could be turned around with this one bet and although unlikely, I'm highly excited about that propsect.
4pts each-way Harris English 50/1 (1/5 7 places)
Charles Howell and Aaron Wise look two lively sorts who could deliver but the bookmakers have them well measured. Scottie Scheffler may be on the crest of winning on the big stage also. I'll favour Abraham Ancer though who now sits at his loftiest position yet in the world rankings at 35th following a hugely impressive top 5 finish at the HSBC. He came mighty close to winning a playoff event at the Northern Trust narrowly missing out to an inspired Patrick Reed. Other solid finishes in particular at the Travelers suggest he is better suited by this type of tee to green test. Six top 5 finishes on tour in the past 18 months is a solid return and I'd expect the Mexican to get off the mark some time soon. His record on paspalum greens so far has been solid including a top 5 finish at the Kuala Lumpur course that holds the CIMB. I expected him to be a slightly shorter price.
1.25pts each-way Abraham Ancer 33/1 (1/5 7 places)
Rory Sabbatini has had a very busy year that has seen him re-create some of the best golf of his career. A win proved elusive though and he is still to get over the line since 2011. The Slovak took to the Asian swing for a few weeks with fair results. Five top tens across the world htis year is a solid return and with a couple of top 5s nabbed here before he represents a value outsider around the 50/1 mark. With two runner up finishes posted at the Sony Open down the years we have to conclude his form translates reasonably well to both courses.
1pt each-way Rory Sabbatini 55/1 (1/5 7 places)
Henrik Norlander is worth a speculative play at 200/1. 45th at Houston and 28th at Bermuda are two fair results for the Swede. Often the wind can blow here and conditions are testing and it is interesting he won on the Korn Ferry tour last year in Wichita, one of the windiest spots in the calendar. A Top 20 at the Sony in 2017 is a positive as is his best finish on tour, a runner up at the Sea island Resort at the RSM. Speculative as I say but I'll be playing him.
0.75pt each-way Henrik Norlander 200/1 (1/5 8 places)
Another speculative play will be Ryan Armour. 23rd in Houston then a top ten on the Paspalum greens in Bermuda represent an upturn in fortune for the 43 year old. Certainly capable on his day and has a couple of respectable finishes at Waialae. Finished 4th here in 2007 and may just turn in another solid performance. Expected a bigger price so the stake is reduced.
0.75pt each-way Ryan Armour 100/1 (1/5 8 places)













