Since the re-design of TPC Scottsdale in 2014 we have seen this course become significantly trickier. It is still relatively easy but even more strategy than what was already required is essential over 72 holes here. The finish is one of the most exciting on tour with the reachable par 5 15th and even more so the reachable par 4 17th where we saw Grace's chances sink last year whilst trading jolly having been on at triple figures. Jon Rahm arrives as the hottest player in the game but surely there will be better times to play him this year at 13/2 than this week. This isn't exactly a bombers paradise despite some sluggers winning here down the years. His head start on the rest of the field is somewhat reduced a little by the track so I'm happy to let him win unbacked at that price. Thomas could win anywhere at any time, but again the price is thin. Simpson is ludicrously short. Despite Matusyama's dominance here down the years I still think he is underpriced almost every week. This week his price is probably right but again I'm looking for a shade more meat in my prices than what's available at the front end in Phoenix.

I'll start with SUNGJAE IM (33-1 / 8 places). I've kept my powder dry, thankfully enough, on this kid for a while but now I believe the time is right to strike. The Korean golfer has done nothing wrong since joining the tour little over a year ago with the only thing missing being a win. 36th last week at a tough Torrey Pines was another example of his exemplary game. Portrush was his last missed cut and he has become a most consistent sort. 7th here on debut last season shows a significant liking for this place and as we've seen before plenty become course specialists here over time. He goes off the same price as last week, if not a shade bigger in a few places despite this being a weaker field and in my opinion a solid effort at Torrey. If last weeks price was right, which we can never be sure of, then this weeks is slightly off. It's time for the boy wonder to get off the mark.

2pts each-way S. Im 33/1 (1/5 8 places)

Sungjae Im - 2pts e/w @ 33/1

COREY CONNERS (66-1 / 8 places) is a tee to green machine and this should go down a storm in Arizona. This is his debut but he hasn't let that effect him in any other events. Conners should thrive here and is no doubt underestimated in the market as to what he could achieve in the game. Now world number 61 the Canadian will be looking to climb inside the top 50. He started the year off in fine fashion with 12th at the Sony Open but what was even more impressive was his 6th placed spot in the Zozo at the back end of last year with a much more accomplished field in attendance. Conners is a classy golfer and overpriced this week.

1pt each-way C. Conners 66/1 (1/5 8 places)

Corey Conners - 1pt e/w @ 66/1

MATTHEW WOLFF (60-1 / 8 places) kicked off his PGA Tour career in fine style by claiming the the 3M Open in a typical ballsy finish that has seen him touted as the hottest youngster for many years. The bookmakers can tend to easily forget how talented these kids are and only a few lacklustre performances results in them being pushed to tasty prices. That applies to Wolff this week as he tackles his first Phoenix Open. The manner in which he won a few months back suggests Wolff may be made for stadium golf and a cauldron atmosphere such as this may be a place upon which he thrives. Like Conners the top 15 finish at the Zozo was an impressive result given the strength of the field. 21st last week after an opening round of 76 was an eye catching recovery and he must be in with a lively chance of landing victory number 2. Again, look at some around him in the market. Moore, Kokrak, Harman, Palmer, Grace, Scheffler. Wolff looks a much better proposition this week than that crop.

1pt each-way M. Wolff 60/1 (1/5 8 places)

Matthew Wolff - 1pt e/w @ 60/1

BUBBA WATSON (30-1 / 8 places) is another who remains on a workable mark after last week and has to be supported given his affection for this place. Two runner up spots and a handful more top 5 finishes means he is up there with the best performers here down the years. In 2012 he finished 5th here before going on to win the Masters, and in 2014 he finished 2nd before slipping on the green jacket for a second time. 6th last week at Torrey suggests Bubba's game is in fine shape and if he arrives in the same shape at Phoenix then rest assured his position of 55th in the world is a shade misleading. There are players ahead of Bubba in the market who look rotten value to me whereas this man could do it blindfolded around here if he's near his best. The putter would give you the willies, but I'm prepared to take the chance he can put his best foot forward.

1pt each-way B. Watson 30/1 (1/5 8 places)

Bubba Watson - 1pt e/w @ 30/1

At 90/1 I just can't leave TOM HOGE (90-1 / 8 places) off the list this week. Just 9 golfers have beaten this man in the past two weeks with finishes of 6th and 5th in the Desert and at Torrey. That is a remarkable return for someone who spent most of 2018 and 2019 missing cuts. Add Sony to the list and only 20 golfers have shot a better 72 hole score than him over 3 events. He is in the form of his life and this track may lay on the perfect degree of strategy and opportunity for the American to get his maiden victory.

0.75pt each-way T. Hoge 90/1 (1/5 8 places)

Tom Hoge - 0.75pts e/w @ 90/1