This week we move to the West Coast and Pebble Beach and its nearby two courses Spyglass Hill and Monterey Peninsula. Three courses are used on the rota as the pros team up with amateur partners over a long slog of three days and four if you're lucky to make the cut on Saturday evening. On the face of it it's a marmite event but it has always lended itself to punters as there are plenty of form lines to peruse over as well as plenty of links to other courses and similar tests. Nevertheless it remains an event I like to tread carefully with as an awful lot of luck is needed to catch the scoring courses on the right days. The weather looks fair compared to last year although again it will be fairly chilly.

Paul Casey is an interesting runner having gone extremely well here the past two years but at the same price my preference is for JASON DAY (22-1 Enhanced Win Only). The Aussie was talking up his season around the turn of the new year and hoping that he gets an injury free season to launch an assault on some titles. The signs were very good last time out with a top at the Farmers and he arrives at Pebble with a shade more confidence than he would have had teeing it up at Torrey. Spieth, Dustin, Day and Phil hold all the aces at this track with phenomenal scores down the years. Mickelson was impressive last weekend but makes little appeal in terms of price. I remain far from convinced that Johnson is anywhere near his best despite s solid effort last week. At his peak though he wouldn't find himself a few behind McDowell. The market has yet to react to the fact he has nearly went a year without a win and his putting stroke looks incredibly shift at times. The price doesn't interest me. Day on the other hand is top of the tree having show 65 under here the last five years. He is remarkably consistent here and one you'd back t hold the requisite putts on day four when needed. At three times DJ's price he looks the much better betting prospect and I'm prepared to take the chance at 22/1 given his record here.

2pts WIN J. Day 22/1 (Enhanced Win Only)

Jason Day - 2pts @ 22/1

ALEX NOREN (45-1 / 8 places) is well used to colder conditions and with a similar sort in Casey coming in runner up last year might just be the European to side with. The Swede has kicked off his 2020 season in fine fashion with three top 20s in his last four starts Stateside. The most recent of those came at the American Express where he fired four rounds in the 60s to see him finish 14th. He has a fair record on Poa Annua greens also most notably at Torrey a few years back when he was narrowly edged out in a Monday playoff. He missed the cut at last years US Open but a more inviting course awaits for the pro am and he has shown he can go well with the amateurs before finishing 3rd in the Links Championship back in 2012.

1pt each-way A. Noren 45/1 (1/5 8 places)

Alex Noren - 1pt e/w @ 45/1

I like to play a handful of outsiders in this event as I believe the setup is a great leveller and the company of amateurs can often help some folk who are feeling the pressure of trying to gain their first victory. The first of which is MATTHEW NESMITH (150-1 / 8 places). He has kicked off his campaign impressively and with the propensity for a big price winner here he fits the bill. He hits greens in regulation for fun and if the putter can warm up on a easy set up he could capitalise and gain his maiden victory.

0.75pt each-way M. Nesmith 150/1 (1/5 8 places)

Matthew Nesmith - 0.75pts e/w @ 150/1

HARRY HIGGS (100-1 / 8 places) is a likeable character and seems the type who could relish this format. In his short tour career to date he has posted a runner up spot at the Bermuda and a top ten finish at Torrey Pines. The Poa Annua factor at Torrey is an obvious positive but Higgs looks like the joker in the pack who could come out firing and get off the mark. 25th last week at Phoenix was another solid result and he looks certain to contend on numerous occasions this year. Again three figures in this format is tempting.

0.75pt each-way H. Higgs 100/1 (1/5 8 places)

Harry Higgs - 0.75pts e/w @ 100/1

DOC REDMAN (175-1 / 8 places) must be played at 175/1. As I pointed out a few weeks ago this kid has a lot of game and with making his last three cuts on the trot has settled into full time life on the tour like a duck to water. He already has a runner up to his name at the Rocket Mortgage. He could go well here given he won the US Amataur in 2017 on Poa Annua surfaces at Riviera. Couple that with his top 20 finish at Portrush last year and he's a lively outsider.

0.75pt each-way D. Redman 175/1 (1/5 8 places)

Doc Redman - 0.75pts e/w @ 175/1

BRANDON WU (250-1 / 5 places) is another who must be worth a small wager at huge odds. This highly talented youngster is only setting out on his tour journey but could hit the ground running at any moment. 55th at Torrey Pines was a respectable finish for such a challenging layout. These three courses represent a big opportunity for golfers to spring a surprise and Wu may be well equipped. He finished 35th at the US Open at Pebble last year and that could give him ample confidence to outplay his odds of 250/1.

0.5pt each-way B. Wu 250/1 (1/4 5 places)

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Brandon Wu - 0.5pts e/w @ 250/1