Golf In Dubai Championship Winner

Two European Tour events run alongside each other this week with the first of which taking place at the Fire Course in Dubai, next door to the Earth Course that hosts the season ending DP World Tour Championship next week. The South African Open also takes place this week and kicks off on Thursday. This Dubai event kicks off early on Wednesday morning so don't be caught out by the early start. The Fire course may play slightly trickier than its sister course with a more linksy feel to this desert track. Wayward drives could have more punishment this week than next and it certainly looks to play a shade narrower. Nevertheless I expect good scores with four par 5s and a standard Dubai event to play out. As ever, I'll be looking to form in Dubai and neighbouring countries where a chunk of the tour now is now played. 

Marcus Kinhult at 80/1 (6 Places)

Marcus Kinhult looks one of the best bets in the field. The Swede was last seen missing the final day cut at the circus in Cyprus. He finished 20th there. His performances before Cyprus are worthy of note finishing 10th at Wentworth and 6th at the Scottish Open. He is one of those golfers on the bubble of the Race to Dubai starting the week 1 spot out of the top 60 that make the finale next week at the Earth Course. A solid performance is necessary here and he is more than capable. Looking to his form in these parts he finished 7th in Qatar this year and has top 20s at the Earth Course and in Saudi Arabia. There are negatives surrounding the top of the market and plenty look short enough so the Swede stands out at the price.

1.5pts each-way M.Kinhult  80/1  (1/5 6)

Marcus Kinhult - 1.5pts e/w @ 80/1

Fabrizio Zanotti at 70/1 (6 Places)

Fabrizio Zanotti has been playing some solid golf over the last while and a trip to Dubai may just be the tonic to contend in the weaker of the two events upcoming in the UAE. He has travelled well in recent years winning in Malaysia in 2017 then more recently finishing 2nd in Oman and 11th in Qatar in the 2019 season. 7th at the Irish Open a few months ago was a fair effort as was last week at the tough Leopard Creek where he finished 11th. He topped the SG Approach stats for the week as well as hitting more greens than the rest of the field. If he had have landed with any sort of decent putting he would have been a tough one to beat. If his putter heats up at all this week we could be looking at a likely winner. 

1.5pts each-way F.Zanotti  70/1  (1/5 6)

Fabrizio Zanotti - 1.5pts e/w @ 70/1

Kalle Samooja at 80/1 (7 Places)

Kalle Samooja may be worth chancing as he free wheels into next weeks season finale. He should be safe around the 43rd mark in the Race to Dubai. The Finn played super golf in Cyprus only to be outdone by some miracle work by Shinkwin eventually being beaten in a playoff. 9th in the Scottish Open was another sign of what he can produce. I don't think a win is far away and can come in these parts having finished 1 shot off the pace in Qatar in March. The Cyprus showdown was a nothing event and was no surprise he missed the cut there after the previous weeks effort. Price is tempting enough.

1.25pts each-way K.Samooja  80/1  (1/5 7)

Kalle Samooja - 1.25pts e/w @ 80/1

Gavin Green at 66/1 (6 Places)

Gavin Green is yet to get off the mark on the tour but could spring here in the event before the Lord Mayors Show. The Malaysian hits the ball a mile off the tee and that's always an advantage when we head to Dubai. He opened with an impressive 68 last week but succumbed to the challenge over the final three days eventually finishing just inside the top 50. He should have less trouble to deal with here though and could gain ground on the field playing the par 5s. His record out here is impressive finishing 12th in Qatar, 18th in Oman, 3rd in Saudi Arabia and 21st in Abu Dhabi all this year. He finished 11th in the Saudi in 2019 also. His first win looks more likely to come when travelling to these places and he looks to have a fair chance this week. 

1.25pts each-way G.Green  66/1  (1/5 6)

Gavin Green - 1.25pts e/w @ 66/1

Niklas Lemke at 140/1 (5 Places)

Outside of his home country Niklas Lemke's best performance to date is a 3rd placed finish in Qatar earlier in the year, missing out on the playoff by a single shot. 6th in the Portugal Masters in September was a decent effort and that has been backed up recently by 9th in Cyprus and 11th two weeks ago in Joburg. A trip back to the Middle East may just ignite the Swede's chances giving one of his best efforts came around these parts. He has been about a lifetime without winning, but we've seen a few of these sorts get over the line in the past few months and it may be worth a risk at big prices.

1pt each-way N.Lemke  140/1  (1/4 5)

Niklas Lemke - 1pt e/w @ 140/1