Memorial Tournament - Winner

Nicklaus has made changes to the course since last years renewal and Muirfield Village will more than likely present a tougher task than ever. Nicklaus likes to make this a true test of golf and with the US Open in a couple of weeks he will look to set up the course as close to conditions we may see then. Every green has been re laid since last year also. Thick rough will await errant drives and those with a long game in tune will reap the benefits. Plenty of worse than average putters have performed well here down the years so a weakness with the flat stick is certainly no negative here this week.

Rory McIlroy at 16/1 (8 places)

Any time in the last few years had Rory McIlroy won an event and 20/1 was available on the exchange just two starts later you'd be presently surprised. Quite simply at Kiawah Island he didn't drive the ball as well as he could and he certainly didn't hole enough putts to contend. His approach game was on song and in general his long game would have been good enough had he managed a better a week on the greens. Contrast that with one of his best putting performances ever one start previous at Quail Hollow. Overall the signs are good that he is returning to the kind of form we all expect of him. He ranks 8th in the field tee to green in his last couple of events combined. A handful of top tens is the best he has managed here but it certainly looks like a venue he should win on at some stage and his desire to in front of Nicklaus will be as high as probably any other event on the schedule bar the Masters. He has shown plenty of times before his ability to make a tough layout look remarkably easy and with the way his game is improving lately I believe his price is a shade too big.

3pts each-way R.McIlroy 16/1 (1/5 8)

Rory McIlroy - 3pts e/w @ 16/1

Memorial Tournament - Winner

Scottie Scheffler at 40/1 (8 places) 

Sam Burns has produced some special stuff lately and I think he has been slightly overlooked by the bookmakers due to the field strength here. Burns is playing elite golf right now and has all the tools to cope with a difficult Muirfield Village this week. His withdrawal due to injury at the PGA early in round one is of concern though and I'll pass over him in favour of a few without those concerns. I have kept my powder relatively dry on Scottie Scheffler thinking the market has too strong a hold on him but this week he looks on slightly favourable terms and I'm happy to have a bet. Scheffler is yet to post a negative week from tee to green in his last ten events, despite missing the cut in two of those events. The problem more often than not remains with the putter and if he can solve that equation this week he may be one to side with. Dufner, Morikawa and Matsuyama are three obvious ones who have won around here now with the flat stick being their weakness. Plenty of others have made the frame here who have been famous for their woes on the greens. It's a solid long game here that will shoot you into contention and Scheffler so far has made a habit out of playing well in the biggest events. He finished 22nd here last year then went onto finish in the top 5 of the PGA and Northern Trust Fedex Playoff event. A few weeks later he finished in the top 5 of the Tour Championship. Two top 20s at the Masters have followed, a top 10 at last months PGA, top 5 at the WGC Mexico and a runner up spot in the Matchplay. He is excelling on courses that demand a solid tee to green game and a missed cut at a slightly fiddly Colonial last week has rendered him a bet in the market.

1pt each-way S.Scheffler 40/1 (1/5 8)

Scottie Scheffler - 1pt e/w @ 40/1

Memorial Tournament - Winner

Charley Hoffman at 45/1 (8 places)

A solid tee to green game is needed here and there are not many better in that department in the last few months than Charley Hoffman. The Hoff is playing the best golf he has ever played in his career and he is doing it consistently since the turn of the year. Nine top 20s in 14 events this year is some feat and despite not getting over the line it certainly looks likely that it will come soon. He finished 7th in the Workday last year and looks capable of producing another big effort. He chased Spieth home in Texas a couple of months ago and can count himself a shade unlucky with the Spieth heroics that Sunday. A best of the day Final Round 65 last week propelled him into 3rd at the Charles Schwab. His tee to green game is absolutely on fire and should he hole a few putts could easily upset the odds.

1pt each-way C.Hoffman 45/1 (1/5 8)

Charley Hoffman - 1pt e/w @ 45/1

Memorial Tournament - Winner

Charl Schwartzel at 100/1 (8 places)

Finally I'll take a chance on Charl Schwartzel at triple figure quotes. The South African has bounced back to form this season with a top 30 finish in the Masters followed by 21st at the Valspar, 14th at the Wells Fargo and then 3rd at the Byron Nelson two starts ago. A missed cut at the tricky Kiawah Island can be somewhat set aside simply due to how difficult it played and how badly he putted. Previous to that his tee to green game was flying and he can get back on the horse this week at a track where he has posted three top tens previously.

1pt each-way C.Schwartzel 100/1 (1/5 8)

Charl Schwartzel - 1pt e/w @ 100/1