BMW International - Winner

Three powerhouses make their way from Torrey Pines to Munich this week and take a right chunk out of the market. Hovland, Oosthuizen and Garcia could prove tough to overhaul. Hovland should recover easily enough from the eye issue which forced his withdrawal last week and Garcia should arrive in bullish fashion given his top 20 last week and a couple of runner up finishes here. It will be very interesting to see how Oosthuizen reacts. Forever one to be praised for his attitude towards the game, the defeat to Jon Rahm will be tough to take. He did virtually nothing wrong in defeat and had either of those two putts on the 71st or 72nd not dropped from Rahm then he'd have had a playoff at least. Given the two favs have almost equal chances they cancel each other out in terms of a bet as you're talking close to 3/1 for either to win. I'd rather take that 3/1 on and go with a handful at bigger prices.

Stephan Jaeger at 66/1

Stephan Jaeger must be taken seriously coming home to his native Germany and despite not playing on this tour a lot he could break through in spectacular fashion. Jaeger has managed six wins on the Korn Ferry Tour in the past five years including two runner up finishes in his last four starts. He notched a win earlier in the season in Florida also and quite frankly has been hugely underestimated by the bookmakers this week. Unsurprisingly he tops the rankings on the KFT this season and a low grade PGA Tour win or European Tour win is surely within his grasp. His experience is limited on this tour but nevertheless the experience he has gained in the States the past few years is worth a lot. I am surprised he is not half the price quoted.

2pts each-way S.Jaeger  66/1 (1/5 7)

Stephan Jaeger - 2pts e/w @ 66/1

Ryan Fox at 40/1

I'll take another chance on Ryan Fox despite him proving quite costly down the last few years. The New Zealander was well backed in Denmark a few weeks ago after arriving from wins in his homeland but disappointed once again. 11th and 14th in his two subsequent starts has steadied the ship though and at a track that really should reward his swashbuckling style he may just prove value around the 40/1 mark. This field is certainly more stacked than what he has been used to lately but the course suitability makes up for it and I expect him to give a bold show.

1pt each-way R.Fox 40/1 (1/5 6)

Ryan Fox - 1pt e/w @ 40/1

Rasmus Hojgaard at 80/1

Backing Thomas last week at 25/1 was one of those instances where the price comes to you and almost makes it an auto-bet. A few months ago Rasmus Hojgaard wouldn't have been far from 4th or 5th favourite in this field and it's a sign of how poorly he has played to find himself down the field here at 80/1. Although he doesn't have the bounce back factor you could hope for with the likes of Thomas, Rasmus certainly retains a huge amount of ability and with two wins int he last 17 months or so must be respected regardless of form. He made the cut at Kiawah Island then understandably left the party early in Denmark a few days later. A tough course at the European Open would not have suited the Dane but another made cut is certainly no disaster. His power game could flourish here and a few months back I would never have expected these sorts of prices about such a talent. A risky one, but worth chancing.

1pt each-way R.Hojgaard 80/1 (1/5 6)

Rasmus Hojgaard - 1pt e/w @ 80/1

Marcel Schneider at 250/1

Another German worth chancing is Marcel Schneider. He finished 20th here back in 2015 and should relish the chance to get back here with a lot more experience under his spikes. 8th earlier in the year in Gran Canaria was a fair effort and having gone off the boil for a month afterwards he was back to form with a tied 7th in the European Open. His first round there was statistically his best in nearly a year and if he can carry that forward to his homeland then he could upset odds of 250/1. 

0.75pt each-way M.Schneider 250/1 (1/5 6)

Marcel Schneider - 0.75pts e/w @ 250/1