Our golf expert brings you his preview and predictions for Sanderson Farms Championship.
Sanderson Farm - Winner
Jackson CC has hosted this event for a number of years now and can be a track where you can narrow down your search for a winner more easily than other weeks. A 7400+ yards par 72 awaits the field this week and demands a fair bit of length off the tee. Accuracy doesn't matter as much despite some plodder types doing well here down the years. The rough isn't an issue but strokes gained approach certainly has been a state to look to for those wishing to contend this week. Poor putters have often thrived here also so look to those whose weakness shows up on the greens and if they meet the criteria in the other departments and the price is right then we may have a runner. After the absolute hysteria around the Ryder Cup exhibition it is great to see some proper golf back and we can get our teeth into a few bets.
Carlos Ortiz at 50/1 (6 Places)
With a 3rd and a 4th here in 2018 and 2019 I'm surprised Carlos Ortiz has been quoted around the 50/1 mark. The Mexican hits the ball a long way and can take advantage of tracks such as Jackson. He went well for a long time in the Olympics before tumbling down the leaderboard on the final day. Ortiz is a classy golfer who has been let down by his putter lately. He lost over 5 strokes on the greens at the St Jude and lost nearly 10 strokes on the greens last time out at the BMW. That is a shocking return for someone who wouldn't be a weak putter in general. Jackson will give him the chance to get back towards his average on the greens and should his long game arrive in good shape after a break then he could easily contend what is a weakish field here.
1pt each-way C.Ortiz 50/1 (1/5 6)
Taylor Pendrith at 66/1 (8 Places)
Taylor Pendrith looks an interesting candidate this week and could get off the mark pronto on the PGA tour. The Canadian gains full access this year and the big hitter could be one of those ready to win immediately. My only worry here would be his approach play and that is the gamble. He finished 36th at the Fortinet a couple of weeks ago whilst losing over 5 strokes on approach. That will not be anywhere near his average this year or in the future and we can expect a lot better this time around. In the mould of Cameron Champ he could obliterate the course and should be find some touch with his game from inside 150 yards then he must be a big runner.
1pt each-way T.Pendrith 66/1 (1/5 8)
Joseph Bramlett at 70/1 (8 Places)
Joseph Bramlett won the Korn Ferry Tour Championship in spectacular fashion last month running out a 4 shot winner and Jackson may just be the venue where can capitalise upon that form. He has gained over 10 yards in distance in the past year which should count for a lot around this track. He ranked 9th from tee to green last time out at the Fortinet finishing 42nd again let down by a poor putter losing over 5 strokes on the greens. That has been the story of his past 12 months. Only on three occasions in 2021 has he managed positive SG stats on the greens resulting in a top 20 at Torrey Pines, 7th at the Byron Nelson, and 11th at the Barbasol. Jackson grants some grace to those who struggle on the greens and if Bramlett can play his usual long game here then we may figure.
1pt each-way J.Bramlett 70/1 (1/5 8)
Luke List at 90/1 (7 Places)
Luke List led this event heading into the final day in 2016 and despite a couple of missed cuts in following years is worth following in at 90/1. Consistently one of the longer players on tour it is no surprise List has contended here. He struggles an awful lot with the flat stick and this represents an opportunity to get the best out of his game. A few months ago he finished 5th at the Barbasol losing over two strokes on the greens so we can assume his long game can make up for that weakness. The greens here will give him a chance and with his prowess off the tee must hold a chance of contending over the weekend.
1pt each-way L.List 90/1 (1/5 7)
John Augenstein at 150/1 (7 Places)
John Augenstein looks worth chancing at triple figures here this week given his effort last time out at the Fortinet. Nobody was better than him approaching the greens at the Fortinet and a similar effort here at Jackson could see him go close once again after finishing 6th last time out. There are similarities with Silverado here with a good tee to green game one of the pre-requisites despite rough not being an issue off the tee. An extra bit of length certainly helps here at Jackson compared to Silverado but nevertheless we could see some of the same names pop up once again. His previous two efforts on tour were 20th at the Charles Schwab and 37th at the Wyndham. He is improving and can't be underestimated here, especially around the 150/1 mark.
1pt each-way J.Augenstein 150/1 (1/5 7)
Matthew NeSmith at 200/1 (8 Places)
Matthew NeSmith looks worth chancing at a top price of 250/1. He may not have the length of plenty in this field, or the players above I have mentioned, but his tee to green game is impressive enough to make some hay here. He finished 17th here last year and is another below average putter who can get the best out of his game around this track. Will hit plenty of greens with an approach game better than most in this field. He is worth chancing in a couple of events each year if at the right price and the 200-250/1 looks a no brainer here for a small bet.
0.75pt each-way M.NeSmith 200/1 (1/5 8)