Farmers Insurance Open - Winner

The North and South courses at Torrey Pines take centre stage this week for the Farmers Insurance Open where the world number one tees it up in hope of his third victory around these parts. Torrey holds a special place for Rahm. It's where he got his first win on the tour, his first major and indeed also where he got engaged. He is match fit after a couple of weeks play and the 15/2 will interest plenty I'm sure.

The price looks fair but despite his heroics at these courses down the years this isn't an easy event to win and all aspects of your game must be in top shape to win here. I don't think we've seen enough from Rahm these past few weeks to warrant betting 15/2 in such a difficult event. A solid tee to green game is needed to contend here with the South course now being stretched to just short of 7800 yards.

Long hitters have the advantage and although there are examples of those shorter off the tee here having success, it's necessary to focus on the bombers. Fairways are difficult to hit and a classy short game is always needed here so more often than not we get some of the best in the world winning here. 

Sungjae Im at 28/1 (Eight Places)

Sungjae Im didn't perform particularly well on the greens last week at the Amex yet managed to post 11th spot. His long game was in great nick and should he bring that to Torrey this week he must have a great chance. He has made three from three cuts here improving on each occasion and should relish the test from tee to green.

I was hoping for a slightly better price but I think a major type venue suits the Korean and his super touch around the greens should propel him into contention at this event a few times during his career. What is most notable this season is his jump in distance from the tee. Last years average was 297 yards whilst this year so far he has averaged nearly 305 yards from the tee. That is a decent gain so far and if it is a trend this season he may just improve even further than what we had originally thought he might. 

2pts each-way S.Im 28/1 (1/5 8)

Sungjae Im - 2pts e/w @ 2

Tony Finau at 28/1 (Eight Places)

It's extremely difficult to tear yourself away from Tony Finau's chances here this week in California. 67-69 closed out last weeks work with two impressive rounds at the Stadium course and only a slow start on the two easier courses cost him a chance of contending. He loves this place having finished runner up last year and three other top 10s. In seven trips around here his worst finish is 24th.

This spells out this is one of his most reliable places alongside Riviera and this is the time of year we seem to see Finau come to life. Runner ups here and at Riviera and Scottsdale tells us he gets his groove on right about now. This long major golf course is right up his street and he putts well on these surfaces. This is as good a chance as any on the tour for him and the same price of the likes of Zalatoris and Scheffler doesn't quite add up. Time for Tony to pounce for his second victory. 

2pts each-way T.Finau 28/1 (1/5 8)

Tony Finau - 2pts e/w @ 28/1

Cameron Tringale at 90/1 (Eight Places)

There aren't many better in the field on Poa Annua greens than Cameron Tringale and he has the capability of springing a surprise here and landing his first tour victory. A string of top fives and top 10s is as good as it has been for Tringale on tour and it's a surprise he hasn't got off the mark. This may be a tall order to expect a win of this magnitude at Torrey Pines but I believe he is more than capable.

He missed the cut on the number last week but that was largely down to a really poor week on the greens. He can be expected to perform much better with the flat stick on the Poa Annua greens and should he sharpen up a little from the tee he has the perfect game to succeed here. Seventh at Houston and second at the Zozo make up two of his last four starts and the rust should be shaken off after his first outing of the year last week.

1pt each-way C.Tringale 90/1 (1/5 8)

Cameron Tringale - 1pt e/w @ 90/1

Justin Rose at 60/1 (Eight Places)

The 2019 winner of this event, Justin Rose must be worth a second glance around the 60/1 mark. Rose kicked off his 2022 with a respectable effort last week finishing tied for 33rd at the Amex. A final round 69 on the Stadium course is a decent sign and his tournament could have been a lot better if only for two holes on the Stadium course on Friday where he hit two balls in the water which cost him five shots.

That resulted in his off the tee stats probably displaying worse than what is actually true. The Englishman has a great record here with a couple of top tens as well as his victory and he'll surely fancy going well once again. After a slow start at the Hero in December he gathered momentum in the end to finish ninth.

Previous to that he showed there is life in him yet with 12th at the RSM and 6th at Wentworth. In his prime Rose would be among the top five in the betting here and with experience counting for a lot around this venue I'm more than happy to bet around these prices.

1pt each-way J.Rose 60/1 (1/5 8)

Justin Rose - 1pt e/w @ 75/1

Mackenzie Hughes at 70/1 (Eight Places)

Zalatoris has shown his fondness for long major tracks before and after his impressive effort in the Desert last week he must be considered. He is yet to win on tour and the 28/1 about him doing so here just doesn't interest me enough. Mackenzie Hughes is at a price that interests me, however, and I'll have a few quid around the 66s mark. The Canadian was in fine form towards the end of last year finishing second to Taylor Gooch at the RSM and 4th a couple of starts previous behind Matsuyama at the Zozo.

The putter isn't one of the most important clubs in the bag to contend around Torrey but there aren't many better with the flat stick than Hughes. He should have good vibes coming here despite what happened during the final round of the 2021 US Open. He joint led the US Open heading into the final day alongside Oosthuizen but succumbed to a final round of 77 where he had the misfortune for his ball to get stuck up a tree on the par 3 11th. Nevertheless it was a huge effort from Hughes and should he manage to get himself into a similar position it could be a totally different result. 

0.75pt each-way M.Hughes 70/1 (1/5 8)

Mackenzie Hughes - 0.75pts e/w @ 70/1

Nick Taylor at 300/1 (Eight Places)

Nick Taylor won just down the road here at Pebble a couple of years back and I think he's overpriced to go well here at Torrey this week. He kicked off his calendar campaign with a 33rd place finish at the Amex with an average putting display. His long game was in good shape and should he bring that to Torrey he can be expected to putt better on the Poa Annua surfaces. He lacks a little distance off the tee but that hasn't stopped plenty before and his work around the greens is tidy enough to compete. A win around the same time of year on the same putting surface can often be a good feeling for a golfer and the Canadian may relish the return to this setup. Has made his last three cuts here.

0.5pt each-way N.Taylor 300/1 (1/5 8)

Nick Taylor - 0.5pts @ 300/1