Zurich Classic of New Orleans Winner

Morikawa/Hovland at 17/2

Pre 2017 this used to be one of my favourite events to bet on tour being a slightly a technical layout and a Pete Dye design. These aspects gave us various areas to focus on and was always ripe for some value punts. From 2017 onwards things took an unexpected turn with this turning into a teams event and ever since chances have been thin on the ground. It is worth noting though that the elites in this event have performed well with Leishman/Smith and Palmer/Rahm taking the last two renewals and a glance towards the top of the market is always worthy. 

Cantlay may struggle a little with Schauffele in tow with a missed cut at the Masters being his first weekend off there in five appearances. With a 2nd and 3rd posted there, Schauffele was expected to go well regardless of recent form, but an effort that saw him miss the cut by three shots is worrying and his long term form doesn't read good either. Leishman struggled badly with the putter at Augusta and that combined with Smith's missed cut at Harbour Town gives the Aussie pair enough question marks to be able to swerve them. Burns and Horschel could be a dangerous pairing as both have shown some serious form of late and they deserve respect around the 12/1 mark. However, at nearly 9/1 the outstanding bet in the field has to be Morikawa and Hovland.

Morikawa posted a very credible 5th at Augusta and that may just prove to be the stepping stone he needs to land that title next year. Hovland played well also finishing inside the top 30 but predictably it was his game around the greens which let him down and ultimately cost him the chance of competing. His long game was in excellent nick and any improvement in his short game must be noted for future appearances at Augusta. Just like Matsuyama, should he cure those ills, then he has a huge chance of success there. The fact he will automatically hit less pitch shots around this track with his opponent able to fill the gap is surely a positive. With no Rahm, DJ or Rory this week these two hold all the aces and with Ryder Cup experience now in the bag they look the perfect combination to score around here. In fourballs they will be hard to beat as their precision from tee to green will give them plenty of opportunities. Equally in foursomes they should be even more formidable although the two question marks will lie with Hovland's chipping, and Morikawa's putting. Overall though, I'd have these two clear favourites and a few pts shorter in this market. 

4pts WIN Morikawa/Hovland  17/2

Zurich Classic of New Orleans Winner

Clark/Triangle at 70/1 (Five Places)

With most of my eggs in the one basket this week I'm hoping a team duo of maidens on the tour may hatch to their first victory. Being maidens, their price is only fair to be honest, but nevertheless, they could be a hot partnership this week. I backed Cameron Tringale back in 2015 here in his narrow defeat to Justin Rose and that was an affirmation of his likeness for this place. He plays great around here and also has a top 5 in the team event back in 2019. Remarkably still hasn't won but his time will come soon and this track remains one of his best opportunities. His teammate Wyndham Clark has struggled all year but finally, some positives arrived at Harbour Town last week when finishing 35th. He was much more solid off the tee and on approach and that bodes well for this week. Even throughout some average form this past 6 months he has managed some outstanding putting displays topping those stats at both the RSm and the Farmers. A week like those can be extremely potent in this format. Clark can hit the ball a mile when they need to and Tringale's much more measured approach looks a solid pairing for both fourballs and foursomes. With this being a tricky event I will leave it at those two selections, but there is no doubt I believe the two best players in the field will be hard to match over four days.

1pt each-way Clark/Tringale  70/1  (1/4 5)