Dutch Open Winner

The Bernardus course here in the Netherlands was a new sight for us all last year when hosting the Dutch Open for the first time in 2021. It remains the venue for this years renewal and I'm not totally sure what we got from last years event truth be told. Kristoffer Broberg landed the prize at a massive price having spent years languishing well outside the worlds top 500. His win here was a huge surprise and there were very little signs that a win of that magnitude was on the horizon.

All shapes and sizes were on the final leaderboard and no definitive type of game was evident to suggest we have somewhere to narrow our search this time. With 23 under winning the event I'll look to those who have a tendency to excel on approach, or on the greens. 

Ryan Fox at 25/1

Ryan Fox has hit new heights this season and with a win already banked could go even better in the coming weeks and months. It may be slightly risky to play the New Zealander after his four days at Southern Hills, but his approach play is so good at this moment that he is difficult to ignore. He ranked 8th in the field on approach at the PGA and 3rd the week before in Belgium.

In fact, there aren't many better players in the world in that department right now than Ryan Fox. Around this track that should give him plenty of opportunities to score and from there it's simply a matter of whether or not the putter behaves. The flat stick has been in great nick lately as well so I fully expect Fox to compete this week if suffering no hangover from last week.

2pts WIN R.Fox 25/1

Ryan Fox - 2pts @ 25/1

Nicolai Hojgaard at 40/1 (Seven Places)

I'm prepared to take the chance on Nicolai Hojgaard at 40/1. The Dane had a miserable time at the PGA despite driving the ball reasonably well for his two rounds. He had a horror show on the greens which contributed to him missing the cut by eight shots, but must be noted he was also on the wrong side of the draw that got the worst of the weather.

He has been inconsistent in various departments all year but at a birdie fest such as this he can be assured to have chances with his prowess off the tee. His putting has been hit and miss all season but on his day capable of a good week. This place doesn't necessarily suit the bombers but the extra room will provide more opportunity than recent venues. 

1pt each-way N.Hojgaard 40/1 (1/5 7)

Nicolai Hojgaard - 1pt e/w @ 40/1

Wil Besseling at 80/1 (Six Places)

Local boy Wil Besseling was a general 33/1 shot for this last year and with 80/1 out there this time around with little difference in his form it is probably worth chancing. The Spaniards dominated their home events in April and Besseling will attempt to become the third home winner of this event this century following wins from Lafeber and Luiten. He suffers big problems with his short game but fairways and greens are easier to hit here and despite missing the cut last year I think this course could suit him. 

He produced his best effort of the season to date on approach last time out in Belgium and his second best effort off the tee. Once again he struggled with his short game, similar to what happened him last year here. 80/1 is worth chancing however after that effort in Belgium.

0.75pt each-way W.Besseling 80/1 (1/5 6)

Wil Besseling - 0.75pts e/w @ 80/1

Paul Waring at 200/1 (Six Places)

Paul Waring has shown glimpses of recapturing some of his better form and I'm happy to risk a small outlay on him at 200/1. The Englishman has struggled since the beginning of 2021 dropping from inside the worlds top 100 to outside the top 700 where he sits right now.

13th on approach in Belgium was a good sign and previous top fives finishes in Portugal and the Dunhill Links tell us he's fond of a birdie fest such as this. He is one who should benefit from the extra room off the tee and should he manage a good week on the greens just may surprise at big odds.

0.5pt each-way P.Waring  200/1 (1/5 6)

Paul Waring - 0.5pts e/w @ 200/1

Lucas Bjerregaard at 250/1 (Six Places)

Some fancier prices have disappeared on Lucas Bjerregaard but I'm still a backer around the 250/1 mark. The Dane can be fancied to go well at Bernardus with a fair bit more room off the tee. His struggles are there for all to see with the driver and until he rectifies that he has no chance of competing.

Nevertheless, Bernardus is one of the easiest tracks you'll see and this gives him rope to be penalised less from his wayward efforts. His approach play in Belgium was very solid despite missing the cut and his putter has been warm for a number of weeks now. Comes alive on birdie fest courses and worth the risk that this former world no 43 captures some form on the easiest of layouts. 

0.5pt each-way L.Bjerregaard  250/1 (1/5 6)

Lucas Bjerregaard - 0.5pts e/w @ 250/1