John Deere Classic - Winner

TPC Deere Run takes centre stage on the pgatour this week which will undoubtedly be the least talked about event of the main three taking place. A strong field heads to Mount Juliet for the Irish Open as we move closer to the final major and the latest in the LIV series takes place with a handful of new names making their debut on that circuit. This is a weakened field compared to what we've seen lately and quite possibly gives a chance to some bigger priced runners making the grade. The course here is a shortish par 71 that doesn't tend to test the golfers off the tee much at all. Distance is preferred slightly over accuracy but must be said there is little in it and what you do off the tee should determine your fate. Instead that fate will be decided on approach or with the putter. A hot putter is no doubt needed here to make the requisite scores to contend as low 60s rounds will be plentiful and there could easily be a flirtation with a round in the 50s. It's a true birdie fest where any momentum lost will be crucial. 

Adam Svensson at 50/1 (Eight Places)

Adam Svensson is yet winless on the main tour having previously landed 3 titles on the Korn Ferry Tour. His best chance came at the Honda earlier in the year where he failed to deliver the goods on the back nine there on Sunday. Deere Run represents a good chance for him to get off the mark having played solid golf the past few weeks. He has played well through the bag in Canada, then again last week at the Travelers and he'll only need a slight upturn in fortune with the putter to compete here. His putting has been solid enough lately but there's no doubt he could do with one of those spiking weeks where he manages a top 10 in that department. His only outing here back in 2019 he finished 18th going 65-68-68 over the final three rounds. A repeat performance similar to that of the last two top 25s in the Travelers and Canada should see him go a fair bit closer and the 50/1 remains a very backable mark.

1pt each-way A.Svensson 50/1 (1/5 8)

Adam Svensson - 1pt e/w @ 50/1

Andrew Putnam at 80/1 (Eight Places)

One worthy of support at triple figures is Andrew Putnam. He was 33rd on approach last week which represents a fair improvement in that department compared to previous weeks. His putter didn't cash for him though and he was left finishing in 46th. Two weeks ago he managed 31st in the US Open when ranking 9th in SG Putting for the week. 2 starts previous at Colonial he ranked inside the top 10 on the greens there also. It is crucial to have a hot putter this week and Putnam is one of the more reliable in that department. He has a very modest record here at Deere Run but the slight improvement in approach play last week could be a sign that better things are on the way and he certainly hasn't been disgraced of late. 80/1 8 places looks like a bet certainly worthy of some investment. Doug Ghim is another worthy of consideration around the 80/1 mark given what he produced in Canada a few weeks ago. Smotherman, Huh and Pan all look they could figure also in a weak event given some of the positives in their performances of late.

1pt each-way A.Putnam 80/1 (1/5 8)

Andrew Putnam - 1pt e/w @ 80/1

Taylor Pendrith at 80/1 (Eight Places)

I was dreaming of a big number this week for Jason Day but I'm not quite confident enough to get involved around the 33/1 mark. The Aussie has shown glimpses all year of a mini comeback and may just get what he requires in the weakest event he will have played this year to date. Since finishing 15th at the Wells Fargo where he ranked 4th in approach his irons have been suffering. His last four efforts on approach have been extremely poor but it must be noted he has managed 5 made cuts here from 5 appearances and 4 of these 5 efforts all were plagued with average approach play. His putter has fired on numerous occasions this year but behaved poorly last week. That's probably enough to put me off getting involved at the prices this week. Instead I'm going to take the risk with Taylor Pendrith. The Canadian has been out with a rib injury since April and anyone who has suffered from fractured ribs can testify as to how painful that can be. His comeback has been put on hold but now everything looks set for a return this week at Deere Run. This will be his debut around here but I'm prepared to take the chance that he hits the ground running. We last saw him finishing 13th at Sawgrass in March and previous performances had looked impressive and there could be a high ceiling with this lad. The reason he is 80/1 is because of the long lay off but should he be fit and raring and to go that price could look silly come the weekend.

1pt each-way T.Pendrith 80/1 (1/5 8)

Taylor Pendrith - 1pt e/w @ 80/1

Ryan Armour at 110/1 (Eight Places)

At 110/1 I can't help but feel Ryan Armour is worth supporting having shown some positives in recent weeks. 15th in SG putting last week is a good sign and I think he is capable of a similar showing having played well from tee to green the last two weeks at the Canadian Open and the Travelers. His one and only win came at the Sanderson Farms in 2017 where he shot four rounds in the 60s to finish on 19 under. His second best effort on tour came at Potomac, but a much easier test than the one we witnessed a few months ago. Four rounds in the 60s there saw him finish runner up to runaway winner Francesco Molinari, who also finished runner up here at Deere Run in 2018 before heading to Carnoustie and winning the Open. Birdie fests remain Armour's best opportunity and a weakened field is of course another bonus. He ranked 3rd on Approach on his final round at the Travelers and if he can bring that to Illinois he may improve on last weeks top 25.

0.75pt each-way R.Armour 110/1 (1/5 8)

Ryan Armour - 0.75pts e/w @ 110/1

David Lingmerth at 250/1 (Eight Places)

I'll take a chance on David Lingmerth also at 250/1. The Swede had some highlights earlier in the month finishing 48th at the Memorial ranking 15th in approach play there. A similarly good effort with the irons followed in Canada but other parts of his game let him down on route to a missed cut. He lay second after round 1 of the US Open in Brookline with a tremendous round of 67 which was only beaten Adam Hadwin. He was handily placed there heading into the weekend before shooting a final round 77. Nevertheless there have been enough positives to suggest there is life in the Swede yet and at only 34 years of age he could still recapture some of the form that saw him finish runner up at Sawgrass in 2013 and win the Memorial in 2015. Suffers a little from a lack of distance but that may not be a huge issue here and has shown enough the past few weeks to warrant some respect at 250/1 in a weak field.

0.75pt each-way D.Lingmerth 250/1 (1/5 8)

David Lingmerth - 0.75pts e/w @ 250/1