Niall Lyons has four golf betting tips for this week's Danish Championship.
Danish Golf Championship
The Lubker Golf Resort and Himmerland courses make way for a brand new DPWT venue this week as the Danish Golf Championship heads to Fureso Golf Club in Copenhagen.
It looks a relatively flat parkland golf course with plenty of water dotted throughout. All par 5s are reachable on this 7011 yard par 71 and with a handful of risk/reward par 4s this could be a course where the long hitters dominate.
It will be interesting to see how bookmakers approach this week given the last three events on this continent have been played on links golf courses. There was wind and rain in parts at the Open Championship whilst it was a very tricky, windy affair last week in Aberdeen.
Form lines are pretty well set in stone across the three events but this is a totally different task than previous weeks and there may be players who didn't cope with the links conditions come right back to form on a track that should reward aggressive golf.
It's a relatively strong event this week in Denmark with the Hojgaard brothers teeing it up alongside Matt Wallace and Thorbjorn Olesen.
Danish Golf Championship Tips
- 2.75pts WIN M.Wallace 14/1 (General)
- 2.75pts WIN J.Svensson 18/1 (General)
- 1.5pts each-way A.Sullivan 35/1 (1/5 8) bet365 8 place market
- 1pt each-way J.Veerman 80/1 (1/5 6) Unibet, BetMGM
AK Bets
Matt Wallace @ 14/1 (Win)
Rasmus Neergaard Petersen is a good place to start and having had years of experience on this course it is no surprise he is a popular choice among punters this week.
Given the addition of the Hojgaards and Olesen though I am amazed that the max we see is 14/1 about the home boy. I had every intention of getting involved with Neergaard Petersen given his history here but I expected 20/1 and as such he will be left off the list.
It's a difficult task at the top of the betting board but Matt Wallace stands out as one to chance. The first seven or eight in the betting look to have a significant gap between them and the rest and although it is tough to choose between them I want to have one or two of them on board. The Hojgaard brothers aren't firing on all cylinders and although Olesen and Neergaard Petersen must have every chance I favour the Englishman.
Wallace is only a couple of weeks out from a top 3 finish on the PGA Tour and when he makes the trip over to the DPWT at this time of year it usually comes with some kind of success. It did last year when he won the Omega European Masters and things were looking up for him then in terms of his Ryder Cup chances.
It hasn't quite happened since but a good run the last few weeks on the PGA Tour is a good sign and he could yet still enter the equation with a victory. I think he does need that though, and he did just that in 2018 when winning the Made In Denmark in the lead in to the Ryder Cup.
It was a close call between him and Nicolai but with the added pressure the Danes have of performing in front of their own I'll opt for Wallace to stake his claim.
Jesper Svensson @ 18/1 (Win)
My second stab towards the top of the market where I want to concentrate on is Jesper Svensson. It was always going to be a difficult transition to the PGA Tour but I think we can say he did reasonably well on his first attempt given he made 15 cuts.
Recent efforts included a 14th place at Twin Cities and a top 20 at Portrush is a huge effort. The Swede sits 110th in the FedEx rankings so will have plenty to play for in the fall season with the top 125 earning their cards. He should have enough in the locker to secure that card but it would be no surprise to me should he land back on the DPWT and immediately get back in the winners' circle.
He hits the ball a mile and should absolutely love the setup this week. I know where I stand on Neergaard-Petersen's stock when it comes to the future, and although I'd have the Dane over Svensson, right now I can't have 6pts between them in the market. Svensson has played consistently well this year and looks a bet here to land a victory dropped back down in grade.
BetMGM UK
Andy Sullivan @ 35/1 (Eight Places)
Andy Sullivan wouldn't be one who springs to mind when it comes to links terrain despite playing well in some windy conditions earlier in his career. However two very good weeks in Scotland render the Englishman backable this week.
21st last week from tee to green and 8th putting was a really nice return whilst a top 20 at the Scottish Open can be considered even better given the field strength and the fact it was dominated by longer hitters of the golf ball.
He now has 5 top 20 finishes in his last seven events and a birdie fest might just suit Sullivan given how he has putted of late.
1.5pts each-way A.Sullivan 35/1 (1/5 8) bet365 8 place market
Johannes Veerman @ 80/1 (Six Places)
I'm happy to give Johannes Veerman a go this week in the hope he finally finds some form with the putter. Only two made cuts from his last 6 is not a good return but the two cuts he has made at the Hianan Classic and KLM Open have been two top 20s.
He has been very lightly raced but he has gained strokes on the field in approach play on his last five starts, even the ones where he has missed the cut. Last time out in Scotland his ball striking was fine once again only to have a nightmare on the greens.
He is probably better on a parkland layout and a win at the Nedbank last November is a reminder of what he is capable of. He has already notched a top 10 in Denmark and his long game is in fair shape so this could be a week where he gets plenty of opportunities.
