Niall Lyons is back with a team of five heading into the Canadian Open 2026 at TPC Toronto.
Canadian OpenSee All Odds
The Canadian Open takes place for the second year in a row on the TPC Toronto North Course at Osprey Valley. A brand new course on the PGA Tour always poses somewhat of a conundrum for punters and we did well in this column last year to select the winner Ryan Fox. There are some useful course videos online to watch and I think we can conclude that the course is fairly generous off the tee which means the longer hitters can really throw caution to the wind with woods and trees being the main obstacles to avoid if spraying one wide. The course only has two par 5s which bookend the eighteen holes with two long and two short par 3s.
Last year driving distance played a fair part in proceedings with Fox ranking 21st in that category. Burns, Yu and Cam Young all made the frame also ranking 13th or better in the same statistic. The top 5 all putted extremely well on the week with the worst of them being Fox ranking 16th in strokes gained putting. With plenty of birdies on offer you will need a hot putter and if you can marry that with a fair whack off the tee it looks like a decent combo around here.
Niall Lyons' Canadian Open Betting Tips
| Player | Bet | Odds | Stake | Terms | Bookmaker | Bet Here |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Noren | Each-way | 33/1 | 2pts E/W | 1/5 odds, 8 places | Bet365 | Click Here |
| Bud Cauley | Each-way | 50/1 | 1.5pts E/W | 1/5 odds, 8 places | Betfred | Click Here |
| Mackenzie Hughes | Each-way | 80/1 | 1pt E/W | 1/5 odds, 8 places | Betfred | Click Here |
| Steven Fisk | Each-way | 80/1 | 1.25pts E/W | 1/5 odds, 10 places | Coral / Ladbrokes | Click Here |
| Tom Kim | Each-way | 90/1 | 1pt E/W | 1/5 odds, 8 places | Bet365 | Click Here |
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Alex Noren - 33/1 (8 Places)
With the tall trees at this venue and claustrophobic nature in some parts Wentworth was one my angles in last year and with Fox having won now on both I will approach this year with a similar angle for a few, the first being Alex Noren.
He isn't as long off the tee these days but what he lacks in that department he makes up for in others.
Noren ranked no worse than 20th in all four strokes gained departments of the game last week on route to a top 10 at the Memorial. The Swede has been playing really nicely of late and two top 30 finishes in the last two Majors Championships is a sign of the level he is playing to.
You have to go back to the first week in February to see his last missed cut and crucially his putter is absolutely flying. He missed the cut here last year but it was on the number and he had shot an opening round of 67.
He is playing to a much higher standard this time around though and I expect a bolder attempt at this event this year.
Bud Cauley - 50/1 (8 Places)
My second bet of the week goes the way of Bud Cauley who would make for a great story here should he be able to win.
With his career halted at various stages Cauley is still looking for his maiden victory but these are the types of events that can throw up a first timer.
A handful of Cauley's best results have come in the low scoring affair in the Californian desert and in the early stages of his career he went well at this event finishing 13th in 2011 and 4th in 2012.
A top 5 finish in 2024 at Jackson is a big positive for his prospects here and having finished 26th at the PGA Championship he must have a credible chance here this week.
He ranked 9th off the tee last week at Muirfield Village when finishing 22nd and should relish this chance in a weaker affair.
Mackenzie Hughes - 80/1 (8 Places)
Fox has finished 11th on Jackson CC which holds the Sanderson Farms event whilst Kevin Yu (3rd here last year) won there back in 2024 so it looks to be a decent guide.
Sam Burns finished runner up here last year and is another to have a victory on Jackson CC.
It'd be foolish therefore to ignore the claims of Mackenzie Hughes who really does look like a slice of value on the opening shows.
Nick Taylor's victory at this event a couple of years ago was the first for the home contingent since the 1950s but Canadians contend this event quite often and Hughes looks one of the more likelier sorts this week.
He already boasts two top 10 finishes at this event down the years and was a respectable 27th here at this track last year.
He has won and finished 8th at Jackson and comes here off the back of his best finish (10th at Colonial) since last September.
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Steven Fisk - 80/1 (10 Places)
Steven Fisk looks to have a perfect game for this type of test and has to be included around the 80/1 mark.
Having landed his maiden tour victory at another low scoring affair last October by winning at Jackson CC he entered that event having played extremely well from tee to green in the prior event at Silverado.
He now enters this event having finished 19th at the Byron Nelson then 10th at Colonial last time out. His form is eye catching and his putter is on a heater right now.
He shot the 5th lowest score of the final round here last year with a closing 65 and must be closely watched back on another birdie fest golf course.
Tom Kim - 90/1 (8 Places)
Thorbjorn Olesen played ok here last year and he always slots into my shortlist on golf courses where a hot putter is needed.
Whether his long game is in good enough nick is a big question mark though and he just doesn't quite make the cut despite drifting to nice triple figure odds in a place.
Beau Hossler is another who is interesting at triple figures but my preference in this bracket although a little risky is to play Tom Kim.
After a dull 2025 Kim has shown signs of life and with plenty of time on his side I expect him to get back to winning ways in the next year or two.
18th at the Valspar and 6th at Myrtle Beach have been the highlights this year but throughout the year his iron play has been spot on. He ranks 25th on the PGA Tour in that department and if he can get his putter heating up at any stage he will be a threat some time soon.
His best chances come at these low scoring events and when a lot of the big names are missing.
He has won the Shriners at 20 and 24 under par and also the Wyndham at minus 20. These events are probably where he's most dangerous and I'm happy to gamble between 80s and 100s.
