Five to consider at this week's Wyndham Championship.
The PGA TOUR closes out the regular season at Sedgefield Country Club, a Donald Ross classic in Greensboro that rewards a completely different skill set than the bomber-friendly stops that often dominate the summer schedule.
This is a positional puzzle and a birdie-fest. Scoring is soft, winning totals regularly push past 20-under, but the players doing the damage aren't necessarily the biggest hitters in the field. They're the ones finding the correct half of the fairways.
Driver usage here sits among the lowest on TOUR, with plenty of players clubbing down off the tee to stay out of the tree-lined trouble and the deceptively placed fairway bunkers, some of the toughest on TOUR to escape with a green in regulation. Positioning off the tee will seperate a lot of the field.
Where this tournament is won is with the irons. Sedgefield has ranked as one of the best approach courses on TOUR for years, with the majority of shots coming from a stock wedge-to-short-iron range. Combine that with sticky Bermuda rough that punishes any miss with fliers and bad lies, and the case for prioritizing elite ball strikers, particularly those who excel from 100-175 yards (where the majority of approach shots come from) is stronger.
Putting deserves attention too. The Champion Bermuda greens run quick and hold real contour for a course this size, and the numbers back up just how often the leaderboard is shaped on the greens. In 2025, 13 of the top 18 finishers gained at least a stroke on the greens. In 2024, nine of the top 11 gained at least 1.8 strokes putting. In 2023, the top four on the leaderboard each gained five-plus strokes. And in 2021, 22 of the top 23 finishers gained strokes putting, with 18 of those gaining three or more.
Factor in the stakes as well. As the last stop before the FedEx Cup Playoffs field is finalized, expect urgency from anyone sitting near the bubble.
Wyndham Championship Tips
- Billy Horschel at 80/1 (Eight Places) - 1pt EW
- Zac Blair at 90/1 (Eight Places) - 1pt EW
- Davis Thompson at 50/1 (Six Places) - 1pt EW
- Davis Chatfield at 200/1 (Ten Places) - 0.75 EW
- Tom Kim at 45/1 (Three Places) - 1.5pts EW
Billy Horschel at 80/1 (Eight Places) - 1pt EW
I expect Billy Horschel to be a popular selection this week, and it is easy to see why given his outstanding record at Sedgefield, which includes finishes of T5, T11, T6, 2nd, 4th and T7. There have also been encouraging signs in recent weeks that he is beginning to turn the corner following the hip injury that affected him at the end of 2025.
Aside from last week's disappointing ball-striking display, Horschel has been one of the stronger iron players in this field recently. He ranks 14th in Strokes Gained: Approach over the last six tournaments, a stretch that includes a tied-15th finish at the Canadian Open, where he ranked second in the field for approach, and a tied-13th finish at the 3M Open, where he ranked fifth. Last week was his first poor ball-striking performance for some time, but an encouraging second round with the putter at least provided a positive to take away.
His recent form has been somewhat volatile, so one below-par week does not concern me too much. Given his exceptional record at Sedgefield, there is every reason to believe this is the type of venue where his game can click again, and on a course that consistently rewards quality ball striking, I am willing to take the chance that this is the week it all comes together.
Zac Blair at 90/1 (Eight Places) - 1pt EW
There is a lot to like about Zac Blair's game at the moment, and now that we arrive at a course where precision matters far more than power off the tee, he becomes a very interesting proposition.
Although he has only made the cut here twice, his recent form is stronger than anything he has previously brought into the Wyndham Championship. He has finished T9 at the John Deere Classic, T8 at the ISCO Championship and T13 at the 3M Open in his last four starts. Looking specifically at the John Deere, he had made the cut only three times in seven previous appearances before recording that tied-ninth finish this season, so there is evidence that improved current form can outweigh a mediocre course record. Lucas Glover is also a useful reminder that course form is not everything here, with a Wyndham victory surrounded by four missed cuts and a tied-54th finish in his last five starts.
Digging deeper, Blair has never arrived at Sedgefield in better putting form than he does this week. He ranks fifth in this field for Strokes Gained: Putting over the last five tournaments and has produced a series of excellent performances with the flat stick, ranking 16th at the U.S. Open, sixth at the John Deere Classic, 26th at the ISCO Championship and second at the 3M Open. This is a venue that tends to expose weaker putters, so arriving with confidence on the greens is a significant positive.
Blair is one of the most accurate drivers in the field, ranking eighth for average distance from the edge of the fairway over the last six months. He also ranks 14th for approach play over the last six tournaments, his short irons are in excellent shape, and he has a long track record of performing well on shorter, precision-based layouts.
If you are willing to look beyond the uninspiring course form, his current statistical profile and recent performances make him a very appealing betting option this week.
Davis Thompson at 50/1 (Six Places) - 1pt EW
A tied-eighth finish last week at the Rocket Classic followed a tied-seventh at the 3M Open the week before, and he now arrives at an event where he has finished T22, T12 and T11 in each of the last three seasons.
Thompson was well supported in the market last week, with punters hoping for an improvement with the flat stick, and that is exactly what happened. He ranked 10th in the field for putting and produced a strong all-round performance.
A brief four-tournament dip in form, during which he missed two cuts, was largely driven by poor iron play. However, he began to rediscover his game at the John Deere Classic and has looked much sharper since. From that point onwards, he ranks 13th in this field for approach play, which is an encouraging sign heading into another Donald Ross test.
He has a clear affinity for Donald Ross-designed courses, his iron play has returned to a high level, he brings both strong course form and strong current form, and last week's performance suggested the putter may finally be warming up as well. Taken together, that gives him one of the more compelling profiles in the field this week.
Davis Chatfield at 200/1 (Ten Places) - 0.75 EW
Davis Chatfield is one worth taking a chance on at a big price. Finishes of T33-T5-T34-T16 in his last five starts immediately catch the eye and, although he missed the cut last week, a long, driver-heavy test such as Detroit Golf Club was never likely to be the ideal setup for his game.
If we isolate his statistics to those last five tournaments, he ticks plenty of boxes for this week. He ranks 17th for approach play, 14th for putting, and is already one of the most accurate drivers in this field, ranking ninth for average distance from the edge of the fairway over the last six months.
His wedge and short-iron play is particularly encouraging. Over the last six months, he ranks 13th in this field for approach proximity from the fairway from 75-100 yards, 39th from 100-125 yards, and third from 125-150 yards. Those are the exact types of numbers that can separate players on a shorter, positional layout where precision into the greens is at a premium.
Overall, he has the profile of a player who could thrive on this ball-striker-friendly, strategic test. At around 200/1, there are certainly worse outsiders to take a chance on this week.
Tom Kim at 45/1 (Three Places) - 1.5pts EW
From the top of the market, it was difficult to choose between Ryan Gerard, Jackson Koivun and Tom Kim, but at a more appealing price, the 2022 Wyndham Championship winner is hard to ignore.
A fourth career victory finally arrived for Kim at the Genesis Scottish Open three starts ago, rewarding a sustained period of outstanding approach play over the previous few months. I fancied him for The Open Championship, but he was unable to carry that momentum over, with the putter going cold at the crucial moments. Nevertheless, his approach numbers have not slowed down, he ranks fifth on the PGA Tour this season for approach play and is the strongest iron player in this field.
Kim is also accurate off the tee and has shown recently that he can keep the ball in play when required. He ranked 17th for driving accuracy at the 3M Open and sixth at the John Deere Classic, two courses where finding fairways is particularly important.
Putting was a major concern for much of the season, but something appears to have clicked in recent weeks, with three of his best putting performances of the year coming across his last six starts. Finishes of 25th at the Canadian Open, 17th at the U.S. Open and 19th at the Genesis Scottish Open with the flat stick show he is capable of producing on the greens, and if that improvement continues, Kim has all the tools to contend again.
