Dubai World Cup Betting Tips & Preview

NORTH AMERICA (best price 2-1) has been the dominate force over this trip during the carnival and he’s taken to gain his just rewards for many spectacular performances on the clock in the build up to this final showdown. The imposing son of Dubawi first served notice of his prowess on dirt with an awesome display first time off the plane on his opening salvo for new connections and steadily working his way through the ranks ever since, he’s bulldozed his way to the top of the tree in this division with three subsequent displays of raw, galloping power. With a run style that lends itself to requirements of this deep surface, Satish Seemar’s charge has the combination of early speed to burn off most of his rivals by halfway and stamina to keep pounding out the fractions down the lane and providing he gets to the front after a furlong, it will take a tremendous effort by one of his rivals to lower his colours. Having improved significantly since taking a trashing off his old rival three starts ago, HEAVY METAL (best price 8-1) makes the most appeal as a solid each-way alternative.

Not that many horses can give Postponed a 10-length head start over 1m 4f and still get within striking distance of Roger Varian’s charge, but that’s precisely what REMBRANDT VAN RIJN (best price 50-1) managed to achieved here last time out and, as a result, he has to be of some interest at his crazy-looking odds despite his obvious quirks. Not for the first time in his career, the Peintre Celebre gelding has fluffed his lines as the gates crashed back, but such is his talent, he’s been able to work his way back into the action as the field has turned for home. On each of his last four starts on turf he’s managed to grab a slice of pie from a seemingly impossible-looking position and while this white-knuckle ride of a horse clearly isn’t for the fainthearted, his odds of 50-1 more than compensate for the risks attached.

Following his impressive win in the UAE 2000 Guineas, Thunder Snow is predictably a warm order to follow up in this Grade 2 contest over the round track, but he’s certainly no cinch trying this new trip for the first time and from a barrier that will cause him to use up valuable energy early on in the piece. Therefore, at the prices, it may pay to look elsewhere, and in the shape of FLY AT DAWN (best price 16-1) and QATAR MAN (best price 25-1), there appears to be two viable each-way alternatives at much bigger odds. The former, although not as sexy as the favourite from the same ownership, certainly has the sort of attitude that compensates for his lack of pure brilliance and having captured the 2000 Guineas Trial in the style of a horse than would suggest today’s extra distance will suit, Charlie Appleby’s inmate rates a dangerous floater around the 16-1 mark. The latter needs a little more explaining, but there’s no way he should be a 25-1 based on his form or, even more relevant, if he were able to break well and hold his position around the kerb going into the first corner. If Marco Botti’s inmate were to achieve that feat, he would put himself right into the heat of the battle going down the back straight and on the evidence of what we saw behind Cosmo Charlie over the C&D here last time, he has enough qualities to keep plugging away in the latter stages. Although Fawree definitely hasn’t got both paddles in the water mentally, he’s shown he has enough talent to run some big numbers on this surface and is one worth including in some exotic forecast wagers.

Ertijaal is the undisputed king over 5f on turf here, but there is just enough of a nagging doubt that the minimum trip suits him best to prevent weighing in at a short price, so the percentage call has to be to play JUNGLE CAT (best price 6-1) as a solid each-way alternative. Although behind the jolly when fourth in this race last year, he actually ran a good bit better than his final finishing position suggested as the race was over 5f and he was poorly drawn in stall one away from the action. Drawn right next to his old pal here today, he should get a lovely tow through the early stages and whichever way you strip it down, it’s hard not to see him being extremely competitive late on given his deep-closing run-style. Unlucky when badly drawn behind Jungle Cat here last time, Baccarat has been done no favours by the ballot again being stuck out on the wing away from the speed in box 12, but he has the talent to easily outrun odds of 25-1.

Mind Your Biscuits heads the American challenge here but stall 14 is nobody’s picnic and his odds of 7-2 surely haven’t been factored into the draw. The key to the outcome of this prize may lie at the hands of the MORAWIJ (best price 12-1) and COOL COWBOY (best price 6-1), the first two home in the trial for this race on Super Saturday. On that occasion, the former just got first run on the latter and that proved decisive in the final count down the stretch. However, the son of Exceed And Excel has been handed a golden draw again in box 2 and, with a slow starter inside him, he’s dangerous to dismiss if he gets the ground-saving run around the plastic. With the favourite, Muarrab, running below par that day, the general consensus was Cool Cowboy rather threw away what looked a golden opportunity, but such is his consistency in races of this nature over the past few seasons, it hard to see him not running well again. Nicely drawn in stall five, he should have enough pace to cover the speed early and the background of 1m stamina to see it out down the lane.