Horse racing expert Andy Holding has two tips for today's racing, including a NAP at Leopardstown.
Klassy Kay brings very persuasive claims to the table following a convincing success over the potentially well treated Exit To The West at Punchestown last time out, but there’s also a solid case to be made for STRANGE NOTIONS (NAP) (best price 7-1) on the pick of her best form and at the morning prices, Charles O’Brien’s mare rates a decent each-way alternative to the favourite.
Although the seven-year-old has only managed to win once in 16 attempts, she has run some terrific races in defeat and with one of them coming courtesy of a close-up fifth in the big mares’ handicap at the Dublin Racing Festival the previous season, she must have a decent chance of going close in this much weaker affair on her return to today’s venue. The winner, Black Tears, is now rated 147 and the third, Concertista is regarded as one of the best horses of her sex, so it just puts into some sort of context what she achieved that day.
Since then, the daughter of High Chaparral has gone on to break her maiden tag with a game victory at Thurles and with her latest two performances back at the Co Tipperary venue very much better than her finishing position has suggested on both starts, her current mark of 114 could easily be exploited. Indeed, if you look at the runners she faced on her latest outing 39 days ago, finishing on the coat tails of subsequent winners Bal De Rio and No Grey Area’s reads much better now than it did on the day and with today’s 2m4f journey also likely to see her to best advantage given the way she’s been finishing off her races over the minimum trip, everything points towards a bold bid here this afternoon with the excellent Hugh Morgan (of Young Dev fame) on board.
MITCHOUKA (best price 4-1) isn’t the most prolific but to cut him some slack, he has been facing some seriously stiff tasks on late and without suggesting today’s examination is a stroll in the park, at least he has the background knowledge in order to cope with the test paper presented to him here this afternoon.
Good enough to finish a creditable sixth behind Imperial Aura in the big novices’ handicap at last season’s Cheltenham Festival, the son of Creachadoir has performed to a decent level on his three starts this term and with his latest exploits both coming via big-field handicaps over today’s course, he should be primed to run to maximum capacity on his return to the Dublin venue. Sixth in the Paddy Power Chase over three miles, he just found things happening a little too quickly when dropping back the thick end of a mile in the Matheson Handicap two months later (Third home, The Shunter, won yesterday), but given how well he stayed on from two out on ground far from ideal, everything looks set fair for a big run back under ideal conditions.