Our horse racing expert Andy Holding has six tips for today's action, including a NAP at Newmarket.
TADITA TWITCH (best price 16-1) has been priced up as one of the outsiders in this competitive nursery which seems a shade odd as the speed figure and overall form levels of her recent runner-up spot behind Scot’s Grace suggests otherwise.
The winner of that decent Kempton maiden several weeks ago was well-touted beforehand and she duly got the job done, but the one who was responsible for the pace being so strong was Ed Dunlop’s filly. Bidding to make the most of her previous experience, the daughter of Siyouni took the field along at a decent pace right from the start and although she couldn’t go with the eventual winner in the latter stages, it was no great surprise considering the finishing splits of Kevin Phillipart De Roy’s filly. Housed towards the far side of the track, which might end up the place to be, the booking of Hollie Doyle makes even further appeal along with her morning odds in and around the 16-1 mark.
AADDEEY (best price 13-2) hasn’t had things go his way on his last two starts but nevertheless he’s still done more than enough to suggest he’s a three-year-old stayer worth keeping on side and he gets the chance to prove that viewpoint correct over a trip that threatens to bring about even more improvement.
An easy winner over the useful Rodrigo Diaz at Newmarket earlier in the campaign, William Haggas’ gelding was strong fancy on the back of that tidy performance at Royal Ascot and although he ended up running with a great deal of credit, the heavy ground ultimately proved his undoing. Dropped back in trip when contesting the John Smith’s Cup at York last time out, the son of New Approach firstly had to deal with a bad draw and even though he ended up making a decent fist of the situation, he just ended up with far too much to do. He did, however, run on extremely strongly from a long way back over on the slowest part of the track, and on the evidence of that effort, he looks worth a try over today’s 1m6f journey.
ROCK ETOLIE (best price 4-1) ran a tremendous race when narrowly denied here the other night and now much better drawn on his return to Ballybrit, Andrew Slattery’s gelding rates a strong choice to go three places better.
Posted out in the cheap seats in stalls 14, the son of Fastnet Rock had to burn up plenty of petrol to earn the right to lead the field through the early exchanges and even though he put in an extremely decent shift in his bid to maintain his advantage throughout, he just succumbed to the deep closers in the final bounds. Although he clearly likes to race prominently, he doesn’t necessarily have to lead so with a much better drawn here this afternoon giving his pilot the option of whether to push forward or sit just in behind the pace, a big run looks on the cards either way the dynamics play out.
STRAWBERRY ROCK (NAP) (best price 7-4) clocked a tremendous speed figure when landing a competitive handicap at Windsor last time out and with the form of the race working out accordingly since, Hugo Palmer’s gelding is strongly fancied to take advantage of the assessors’ leniency.
The victory of Alfred Boucher last week wasn’t the first signs that the race he landed a month ago was a pretty useful one and he also did it the style of a horse for which there should be more to come. Clearly the first-time cheekpieces were a contributory factor to his performance and he looks to have done well to come out of the race at the Berkshire track only 4lb higher in the ratings. Since then, his yard has also hit a bit of a purple patch with 7 of their last 19 runners winning and with conditions to suit, it would be something of a disappointment if the son of Rock Of Gibraltar didn’t odd to that list.
HMS PRESIDENT (best price 10-1), by and large, has been pretty consistent throughout his career and following another solid effort at Windsor last time out, Eve Johnson Houghton’s inmate looks primed to go well again in this concluding race of the meeting.
Unsuited by a mile first time out this season, the four-year-old has improved his results since being stepped back up in trip and the form of his latest effort when third at the Berkshire venue couldn’t have worked out any better. Runner-up, Alfred Boucher, landed a competitive prize at Ascot last week with a bit to spare while the likes of Dark Jedi and Flyin Solo have both made the race in question look even stronger subsequently. Back to his optimum conditions of 1m2f with some ease underfoot, the son of Excelebration comes across as a fair each-way proposition at the morning odds.
One of the better systems/angles at Galway over the years is to follow horses who ran well earlier in the week and the one who applies to that rule here is BYNX (best price 12-1).
Having just her sixth career outing in a viciously competitive handicap on day two of the festival (0-90), Martin Hassett’s filly ran way beyond her market expectations (66-1) by finishing a respectable fifth and if it wasn’t for the fact she got trapped out wide during the latter stages of the contest, there’s decent chance she would have improved on her final position. Although today’s contest has a bigger field, the quality is nowhere near the standard of five days ago and will that all-important advantage of having already had a spin around this unique track, the daughter of Vadamos looks poised to outrun her morning odds.