Our horse racing expert Andy Holding has four tips for today's action.
VALUE THEORY (best price 7-2) ran out an authoritative winner over today’s C&D last time out and with this race looking a natural fit for Mark Johnston’s filly, she’s fancied to put her invaluable track knowledge to good use.
A promising third on her debut at Kempton back in June, the daughter of Gleneagles was well-backed to confirm the impression she created that day and despite racing a little freely in the early stages, she ended up executing the task at hand with a touch of panache. Clocking a decent speed figure into the bargain, the chestnut filly strongly suggested she’s ready for a step up in class and with another likely positive ride from the front, the heavy downpours would be the only thing preventing her from gaining some valuable black type.
STAR CALIBER (best price 13-2) ultimately tried in vain to make all the running over two miles here last time out, but with hopefully those ill-judged tactics ditched on his return visit, Ian Balding’s gelding can finally make the breakthrough in handicap company.
A solid runner-up in a three-year-old handicap over 1m6f at Chester previously, the son of Golden Horn was stepped up in distance against the older horses at the Berkshire venue last month and having cut out the running for the majority of the trip, he couldn’t quite fend off the strong stayer, Speedo Boy. Considering the overall strength of the time figure that day, it’s clear the lightly-raced three-year-old went too quick in the hands of Silvestre De Sousa – particularly over a track that eats up front runners alive on the round course – and now racing over a trip which should play more into his strengths, a big run is anticipated providing the rain doesn’t arrive in biblical proportions.
Real World has been a revelation of late, landing the Hunt Cup and listed contest at Newbury subsequently in some style, but there has to be some doubt as to whether he will be equally effective of today’s genuinely soft surface. EUCHEN GLEN (best price 3-1) and STORMY ANTARTIC (best price 8-1), on the other hand, won’t mind any further rainfall and they look the value alternatives at the morning odds.
The former has been one of the big success stories for a stable that have enjoyed success at the very highest level this season and Jim Goldie’s gelding seems to be taking his racing well. A convincing winner of the Brigadier Gerard Stakes at Sandown back in May, the son of Authorized excelled in a strong-run, soft-ground environment that race produced and he went on to back up that effort with another fine performance on his return to the Esher venue two months later. Although beaten on his latest encounter, there was no disgrace in finishing a close-up second to the progressive Passion And Glory and with today’s test over two furlongs shorter seen as his optimum nowadays, the eight-year-old can once again deliver the goods.
The latter has to be another huge consideration on account of the prevailing conditions and Ed Walker’s inmate has to be worth a small saver around the 8-1 mark.
Often sent abroad to cherry-pick some easier pickings when the ground is in his favour, the son of Stormy Atlantic has plied his trade to a decent level on these shores this season and his victory over three useful rivals at Goodwood last time out rubber-stamped his current wellbeing. Teaming up with Richard Kingscote at the Sussex track for the first time 77 days ago, the services of Haydock’s top rider will obviously come in very handy in today’s contest and, as a result, he looks to have stronger claims than his morning odds imply.