Architect Tips has five tips for today's action.
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The feature race on the card, the British Stallion Studs EBF Upavon Fillies' Stakes, looks a good opportunity for Roger Varian’s LADY HAYES (best price 4-1) to gain her first taste of pattern-class success in the hands of Jack Mitchell.
She’s a very useful filly, who returned an impressive winner here on debut, where she comfortably beat Light Refrain and Noon Star, who are useful in their own right. She lost her unbeaten record when getting bogged down in the heavy ground in a Group 3 in France, but ran well in a pair of listed events the next two times, including in the Pretty Polly. Her career-best effort came thirty-nine days ago though, as she returned a very good 1¼ lengths second of 9 to Alpinista in Lancashire Oaks and the form of that race has already taken shape with the winner scoring next time at the highest-level abroad. Technique is an obvious danger, but her fourth-length defeat last time seemed flattering in the Nassau Stakes and, with Lady Hayes form noticed as the best on offer, she looks a perfect project for this race and it’s not inconceivable to see her go off much shorter in the betting, either.
BROKEN SPEAR (best price 8-1) has posted some good efforts in defeat in stiffer examinations since scoring off today’s mark in this grade at Chester in May and, with Kieran Schofield offsetting a valuable five-pounds, Tony Coyle’s likeable campaigner has an excellent each-way chance getting three places.
We don’t see this horse too often at this level, given the fact he’s occupied stronger company during his career thus far, including his last five attempts, where he’s been set some pretty stiff tasks in either class-2 or class-3 events, including over course-and-distance. In fact, he was only four-lengths behind Sibaaq on that occasion, who he was conceding thirteen-pounds to and is, astonishingly, eleven-pounds better off here which could be enough to reverse the form. His latest third proved his well-being and enthusiasm, too, as the winner and second are rated 90 and 95 respectively and he tackles opposition rated no higher than 84 today, with himself being the highest-rated in the field. The last time he competed in this grade from today’s mark, he bolted up at Chester and, on these terms, has excellent prospects of exposing any chinks in his main market rival who looks vulnerable at the weights.
SENSE OF HUMOUR (best price 4-1) smoothly accounted for fairly moderate opponents over today’s course-and-distance twenty days ago and, while this demands more, this filly by Dark Angel should go well with further improvement anticipated in the finale as she bids to double her tally at Yarmouth.
Her debut effort, when third at Lingfield, looks the strongest form on display given the fact she was right in behind a pair of promising prospects who are now rated 83 and 89, meanwhile, the fourth, Secret Box, advertised the strength of the form by winning on handicap debut off a mark of 79. She didn’t appear to handle heavy ground on her penultimate outing but looked a different proposition when powering to victory here just over three weeks ago. Always travelling well towards the rear of the field, she quickened up smartly to pull over a length clear of the field when the gap appeared and the handicapper has been potentially lenient by only putting her up three-pounds. That was a weak race for the grade but, in the likelihood Dashing Dick will try to dictate matters from the front, Simon Crisford’s charge should get a good pace to aim at and, with Silverstre De Sousa booked to ride, she’s fancied to be played late and make it two-from-two at the Norfolk coast venue.
CLAY (best price 5-1) has produced a sequence of consistent placed efforts with three consecutive runner-up figures to his name and it seems only a matter of time before this son of Sixties Icon gets his head in front this term being only one of a few open to considerable progress in this handicapping event.
He’s only had the five starts and has improved with each outing since debuting behind Lone Eagle and Oman last July. He ran well from the front in each of his last three, including his recent second on return to action at Newbury following a six-month break when only finding a rapid-improver too powerful in the latter stages having cut out the early-running. That reappearance effort would surely have sorted him out fitness-wise and it was full of encouragement, while this mark looks within reach on the balance of his overall form. The winner that last day has won again since to uphold the form-lines and he can be expected to improve and put up a bold showing here with three places on offer.
The Owen Burrows-trained WALEYFA (best price 11-2) has shown promise in placing in all three starts over seven-furlongs and, with plenty of optimism that she will be even better over this longer trip, she looks a solid each-way choice with Raw Dayson taking off a valuable three-pounds.
Her debut third, at Wolverhampton, was a promising introduction to her career as she travelled powerfully behind two useful prospects and kept on well in the latter stages to not be beaten all that far considering the front pair had experience on their side. She then filled the frame at both Newmarket and Leicester on her next couple of outings where, again, she kept on strongly in the latter stages to indicate a step up in trip would be required sooner rather than later. She gets that here and I feel as though she has potential to improve past most of these. Ray Dawson is an interesting jockey booking and, provided stall nine doesn’t inconvenience her too much, this well-bred filly could have a say in the final outcome, especially with the handicapper handing her a fairly-lenient opening mark of 70 now eased in grade which is seemingly a good starting point now sent down the handicapping route.
