After 12/1 and 11/4 winners yesterday, Architect Tips has selected six tips for today's racing.
The market looks to have significantly underestimated the chances of LETHAL LEVI (best price 13-2) in the EBF Nursery, who ranks as a solid each-way choice with four places generally available. This son of Lethal Force has been largely consistent for Karl Burke thus far, achieving form figures of 321221 in his career and made the most of an easy opportunity at Redcar three weeks ago when gaining a second victory this year for connections. Two of his three runner-up efforts this term could hardly have worked out any better, as he chased home both Fearby (rated 105) beaten a length and Flaming Rib (rated 105) on another occasion, who subsequently won the Sky Bet Nursery at York. He’ll find this a lot tougher than his latest victory, but he looks better handicapped than most of these and will be very difficult to kick out of the frame.
The best short-priced bet, from my point of view, has to be NUANCE (best price 13-8) in the Dubai Duty Free Nursery. He has improved with each outing and showed a lot of pace and gears to win at Chester last month, where he beat the now 101-rated Prosperous Voyage, who has boosted the form since by finishing in the frame in a pair of pattern-class events. The assessor has handed him an initial rating of 87, which has unquestionably underestimated him, therefore, the William Haggas-trained colt gets a confident vote to go in again under Tom Marquand with more to come.
This five-year-old, MARS HARPER (best price 11-4) has slowly come to hand over timber since his impressive debut bumper victory, where he opened his account in this sphere in June and has reached the frame the last two times. He lost no caste in defeat in chasing home the 128-rated The Little Yank twice this year and a crack at this longer trip against easier opposition is seemingly a positive move with the excellent Jordan Gainford taking over the reins, who claims a useful and valuable five-pounds. The likes of Ally Cally and Clondaw Hollow are feared but this improving youngster could prove hard to beat with improvement forthcoming.
The Dubai Duty Free Cup Stakes looks like a good race but perhaps ALBASHEER (best price 7-1) will get back on the scoresheet. He was unlucky to be collared close home on return to action at Salisbury and his form last term, including his second in the Group 2 Champagne Stakes when splitting two horses rated 110, as well as his sixth in the Group 1 Dewhurst Stakes, is some of the strongest form on offer. His fitness will be spot on now and being the joint highest-rated in the field at 110 allied with getting weight from Al Suhail, Owen Burrows’ charge looks great each-way value at the prices with four places on offer.
Later on in the Dubai Duty Free Handicap, at Newbury, the very smart SEXTANT (best price 20-1) looks a decent each-way bet. He was very useful when trained by Sir Michael Stoute and has fallen to an attractive mark whilst still running to a good level of form. He has posted some big efforts in defeat since winning a listed event at Chester, including a keeping-on eighth in the Copper Horse Stakes at Royal Ascot under a big weight before a close-up third in a competitive four-runner affair fifteen days ago. He is down a couple of pounds and has the best record of the entire field over this trip (4-11 36%). Also, he’s a former course-and-distance winner so the track will play to his strengths and, with plenty in his favour, he shouldn’t be written off in haste and looks a big each-way player being the class act in the field.
16:13 Newton Abbot
Decoration Of War is in search of a three-timer but he’s not bred to stay this far and clear preference is for AYE AYE CHARLIE (best price 4-1), who took advantage of a career-low mark when slaughtering a useful field, including Easyrun De Vassy, over track and trip last month. The runner-up is better off at the weights this time around but Christian Williams’ nine-year-old should be too good for these if in a similar mood. He might get taken on for the lead from an early stage but Jack Tudor rode him brilliantly last time when appreciating front-running tactics and this small-field will be right up his street so he's fancied to find the necessary improvement to go in again now that his confidence has been restored.