14:52 Goodwood

The David Menuisier trained Migration (best priced at 5/2) missed the whole of the 2020 season but has looked progressive as a five-year-old since his return from 641 days off the track. In that time the son of Alhebayed was gelded and made an encouraging reappearance when 4th at Salisbury over a mile. He has appreciated the step back up to 1m2f on his previous two starts when he won two valuable handicaps at both the Qatar Goodwood Festival and the Ebor festival at York.

Migration won by two lengths at Goodwood off a mark of 95 before defying an 8lb rise to win off a mark of 103 at York. He is now rated 106 which means he now steps into listed company for the first time but he looks worth keeping onside with William Buick once again taking the ride. 

Migration - 1pt @ 5/2

15:55 Listowel

This Mares Novice Chase looks a match between the Henry De Bromhead trained Magic Daze and Willie Mullins trained Robinnia (best priced at 11/8) with preference going to the latter who can make her previous chasing experience count. There is no comparison between their level of form over hurdles with Magic Daze rated 17lb higher following a 2nd placed finish in the Mares’ Novice Hurdle at the Cheltenham festival behind stablemate Telmesomethinggirl but she has to concede both fitness and previous chasing experience to her rival (ignoring a PTP win).

Robinnia made a winning chasing debut at Tramore in June when she won easily by 10 lengths, a task which was made easier by her better fancied stablemate Lady Breffni falling at the second last. She was sent off 9/1 for a Grade 3 Novice Chase at Galway last time and looked a serious danger when falling at the last (a long way from home). Giving 7lb to Magic Daze won’t be an easy task but I think the price discrepancy between the two is too big and preference therefore goes to Robinnia with Paul Townend taking over. 

Robinnia - 1pt @ 11/8

16:25 Listowel

This looks a strong renewal of the Kerry National this year and a chance is taken on the Noel Meade trained Snow Falcon (best priced at 33/1) off a career low mark over fences. The veteran won this race in 2018 off a mark of 148 before winning a Grade 2 at Down Royal on his next start. He has returned this season with two second placed efforts at both Listowel and Tramore before failing to make an impact in the Galway Plate last time.

 The handicapper has dropped Snow Falcon 3lb down to a career low chase mark of 141 and he looks worth taking a chance on back up in trip at Listowel. Bookmakers are offering up to six places on the race and I expect him to outrun his odds and hit the frame.   

Snow Falcon - 0.5pts e/w @ 33/1