Steve Ryder is 65 pts in profit for 2021 and has five tips for today's racing.
This looks a maiden worth keeping an eye on for the future and preference goes to the Dermot Weld trained Radiyka (best priced at 11/2) who arguably sets the standard on form showed so far. She ran well to finish 2nd here on her debut over 7f before matching that effort at Galway in the race remembered for the Jessie Harrington horse running under a mistaken identity.
Radiyka returned from a break to finish 3rd at Punchestown 32 days ago and the form of that race looks strong. The winner Alizarine ran with credit to finish 4th in a listed race at the Curragh on Sunday and the fourth Tartin Skirt won on her next start at the Curragh by two lengths. Connections now fit the daughter of Lope De Vega with a first-time visor as well as stepping her up in trip to a mile and I feel the combination of factors will mean she is hard to beat in this contest.
The Archie Watson trained Glen Shiel (best priced at 22/1) was an unfancied 16/1 shot when victorious in this race and I feel he could do the same again this year. The seven-year-old was a model of consistency last season since dropping down to 6f with form figures of 121121 but has disappointed on a couple of occasions this season despite appearing to have conditions to suit.
I expected Glen Shiel to win the Group 3 Bengough Stakes over this course and distance on soft ground earlier this month but he could only finish 5th when beaten two lengths by the reopposing Vadream. Crucially Paul Mulrennan rode him that day rather than Hollie Doyle and I am hoping that the return of her regular rider will mean that he bounces back to form. Connections now fit the gelding with first-time blinkers for this race and hopefully he can bounce back to the form of his 2nd in the Diamond Jubilee Stakes over this course and distance earlier this season. His price looks too big to ignore with five and even six places available on the race.
14:45 Market Rasen
Despite only three runners being declared for this novices’ limited handicap chase, it looks a particularly strong contest. Preference goes to Dai Walters owned Stolen Silver (best priced at 9/4) who makes his stable debut for Sam Thomas in this race. The six-year-old won a Grade 2 novice hurdle in 2020 and ran well on his three chase starts last season when finishing behind Arkle runner-up Eldorado Allen, Grade 1 winner Stormy Ireland and Grade 1 winner Allmankind.
Stolen Silver has dropped down the ratings to a career low mark of 136 and that should mean he is extremely competitive in this race. Beyond The Clouds won a strong contest at Warwick last time beating the well regarded Any News by a neck but he is a now 2lb higher and preference goes to Stolen Silver despite having to concede race fitness on his reappearance.
Aidan O’Brien has won this race a record 12 times and I expect him to win it again this year with Glounthaune (best priced at 2/1). The son of Kodiac made a winning debut at the Curragh in April over 6f and the form of that race is working out well with the 2nd Castle Star winning his next two starts and finishing only ½ length behind Perfect Power in the Group 1 Middle Park Stakes.
Connections pitched Glounthaune into Group 1 company in the Dewhurst Stakes last weekend despite returning from a 175 day break and he actually ran better than his 6th placed finish suggests. He stumbled leaving the stalls and was then short of room when staying on 2f out before not
appearing to enjoy the track late on when he drifted left. This more conventional track should suit him well and he should prove hard down in class.
The Qipco Champion Stakes looks a good renewal this year but it does look between Mishriff and Adayar (best priced at 9/4) with preference going to the latter following his fantastic run in the Prix de ‘Arc de Triomphe last time. The Epsom Derby winner won the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes at this track in July when he defeated the reopposing Mishriff by 1 ¾ lengths. He suffered a setback following that race but returned to run a remarkable race in France last time when appearing to have made a race winning move 2f out before weakening into 4th late on probably due a combination of ground and fitness.
It is worth remembering that Mishriff was a huge disappointment in this race last season when only 8th of 10 on soft ground and I feel the drop to 1m2f should really suit Adayar who races keenly in his races over 1m4f. Last year’s winner Addeybb would prefer softer ground, Al Aasy hasn’t looked the same horse as earlier in this season and this represents a big step up in class for Dubai Honour so I feel Adayar will take a huge amount of beating in this race.