After claiming a 16/1 winner yesterday, Architect Tips is back with six tips for today's racing, including a NAP at Windsor.
TANGLED (best price 9/2) won this twelve months ago for us at a monster price and followed up over the same track and trip next time off this very mark before just being touched off by a head in search of the hat-trick at this course off 80 back in August. He was well-held on his reappearance at Pontefract but he’s capable off this mark and with a track record at this course that suggests he’s a tough horse to beat (form reading 112 from just three starts), he’s an each-way contender.
ASTRAL BEAU (best price 5/1) was sent off 50/1 for her racecourse debut over course-and-distance early last month but that didn’t stop her from scoring as she won with a bit to spare under Shane Kelly and she backed that up with a fine fourth under a penalty just over three weeks ago. Despite pulling hard, she came home very strongly to only be beaten a couple of lengths and makes her handicap debut off a mark of 76 here. Pam Sly has an excellent record at this course (25% 7-28) and with more to come from this filly, she’s fancied to get back to winning ways and defeat Rose Barton.
The top two in betting are very good horses but ROPEY GUEST (best price 12/1) hasn’t had that many goes over six furlongs and it’s interesting to see connections switch him from handicaps off what would be a nice mark of 92 to tackle this listed contest. His strike-rate isn’t convincing but he has loads of experience and ran a blinder to finish fifth in the Victoria Cup on seasonal debut, faring best of those who were drawn low. The five-year-old is a very good horse on his day and, with the combination of the smaller field, decent ground and Tom Queally back in the saddle, this could be the time he finally returns to the winner’s enclosure.
THE FIRST KING (best price 10/1) was having his first start for this yard since leaving Paul Cole when finishing last at Doncaster but the only time this horse is effective is when conditions are good, good to firm as displayed within his form. He’s 14Ib lower than when winning on handicap debut which came off 84 and in that contest he beat the now 108-rated Enemy. He has looked regressive since that victory but he’s well-handicapped and if the drop into a seller has a positive outcome, he could easily beat these at a nice price.
SHOBIZ (NAP) (best price 11/2) looked well-suited to the return to six furlongs when making a successful reappearance in Goodwood handicap last month and that form is working out nicely. He’s yet to finish out of the frame in all starts over this distance with figures reading 23221 and the form of his debut second to a 101-rated horse makes him an extremely well-treated off a mark of 79 at the moment. He’s drawn well in stall five and has a good record on the turf too which reads 2311 from four starts. He remains open to further improvement and gets into this race off a low-weight so there’s a lot to like about his chances and he is the day's NAP in the Fitzdares Sprint Series Qualifier Handicap.
Willie Mullins’ has three intended runners but I am keen to stick with EASY GAME (best price 9/4) who’s an absolute weapon over this trip on good ground in which his form figures read 1111F and he got back on the scoresheet when winning a Grade Two last time. He’s rated a little lower than Melon but brings the best latest form to the table and looks the value answer in a quality field under Brian Hayes to extend his impressive strike-rate.