15:00 Saint Cloud

There’s an excellent Group 1 event taking place in France where Hurricane Lane is a warm favourite to build upon his return third at Royal Ascot and win this before another tilt at Arc later in the season having finished third in the race last season. However, as much as I think he’s the most likely winner, he represents no value at the odds. Alpinista is a high-class filly with multiple Group 1 wins under her belt but she’s not been seen for a long time. High Definition has put together two solid efforts in Group 1 company the last two times but has yet to be tested on soft ground and has been kept away from the surface in his career, so that’s a bit of a worry. 

Third Realm returned an easy winner when last spotted and is improving but the third LONE EAGLE (best price 18/1) was making his seasonal debut and is sure to strip a lot fitter this time round, as this race has been the long-term plan. I cannot believe the odds he is for this, especially when you consider the fact that he’s three-from-three on soft ground and will handle conditions better than most. He looked for all the world like he was going to win last year’s Irish Derby impressively when going three lengths clear inside the final furlong and a half. 

Despite being caught in the final few strides by Hurricane Lane, it was an excellent effort in defeat, to only lose by a neck at the finish. That was on good ground and perhaps if it was softer, the outcome might have been different and he’d have won. He will have come on a lot for his latest run though and Silvestre De Sousa coming over to France to ride him, who’s actually his only ride on the card, Martyn Meade’s high-class middle-distance performer looks a good each-way price at double-figure odds with lots in his favour. 

Lone Eagle - 0.5pts e/w @ 18/1

15:55 Chelmsford

Trainer Stuart Williams has two runners in this contest and I want to give another chance to the top-weight ABOVE (best price 11/2) who’s the pick of Marco Ghiani. 

He was down the field in a red-hot renewal of the Buckingham Palace at Royal Ascot, but can be excused, as he was hampered when looking dangerous, and he seemed to spit his dummy out afterwards. He’s a much better horse than his finishing position suggested that day and is better judged on his course-and-distance victory here in November off a three pounds lower mark. 

The five-year-old is actually unbeaten here in two starts and a mark of 97 doesn’t make him badly treated either, given he’d placed off a mark of 100 last year and went close in a Listed event the time before that too. He’s drawn in stall seven, which isn’t the best place to be, but he’s the best horse in the race and a repeat of either of his two good seconds at Newmarket in April would see him at least hit the frame.

Above - 0.5pts e/w @ 11/2