15:10 Beverley

TWIN APPEAL (best price 11/2) is double the age and more of this whole field at eleven and is patently towards the end of his racing career but Gemma Tutty’s charge has the ideal scenario to beat this field where most of them have questions to answer. The former is two-time course-and-distance winner, who’s two wins were off marks in the mid-70’s, and his last start over track and trip saw him finish second off a mark of 74 in a class five event. 

He beat higher-grade opponents in May at Catterick and the last time he was here, he was unlucky not to finish closer over the mile distance, where he was repeatedly short of room but came home strongly in the closing stages. Considering he finished ninth of 19 last time, that doesn’t vindicate his actual performance, as he was only beaten around two lengths. 

Now, if you look at the remainder of the field, every single runner ran a stinker last time, all beaten ten lengths plus with the exception of the outsider, who was last of six. Clearly, all of these have a lot to prove, unlike Twin Appeal, who wasn’t beaten far last time and given his course record with Connor Beasley booked to ride, this is a great chance for the veteran to capitalise on this golden opportunity back at his favourite venue. 

Twin Appeal - 0.5pts e/w @ 11/2

15:30 Salisbury

Climate makes her stable debut for the Gosden team and will be of interest to some but if form is anything to go by then surely ROSE OF KILDARE (best price 3/1) should be a clear favourite for this race. Charlie and Mark Johnston’s mare is a three-time Group Three winner and has shown she retains most of her ability since returning from an absence in her last couple of starts, where she finished runner-up in a pair of Listed events. 

I think she’ll be ridden quite prominently here, given she stays a lot further than this and conditions will be ideal too. I get the impression she could have too much overall class for Climate, who’s yet to win a single pattern-class event, let alone three, in which the selection has achieved that. She gets quite a confident vote to take the spoils. 

Rose Of Kildare - 1pt @ 3/1

15:40 Beverley

It’s only a matter of time before everything falls into place for the ultra-consistent REPUTATION (best price 11/2) to finally and deservedly get his head back in front for Ruth Carr. He has made the frame in five of his last six starts and wasn’t ideally suited to the way the race panned out at Musselburgh last time when doing his own work on the far side of the track. 

His mark has eased another pound and he’s more than likely going to get a strong pace to aim at here with Liberation Point expected to do his customary front-running role. If James Sullivan can judge the fractions right here, this race is the nine-year-old’s for the taking despite being the outsider of the field. 

Reputation - 1pt @ 11/2

19:15 Ffos Las

This is competitive despite just the four runners with only three-pounds separating the quartet based on their marks but ELSALS (best price 5/2) is fancied to land the hat-trick. He scored first-time cheekpieces at Lingfield in May and showed a good attitude to fend off all challengers on handicap debut next time at Haydock when faced with soft ground for the first time. 

That form looks quite good, as the second has won twice since, while the third went close off a mark of 82 when last spotted. This progressive three-year-old is returning from a two-month break but it’s hard to knock his race-by-race progress and the fact that connections have booked David Probert to ride, certainly bodes well for his chances to complete the three-timer too. He should be fine over the six furlongs. 

Elsals - 1pt

19:25 Kempton

In the Unibet Support Safe Gambling Handicap, I cannot resist the available double-figure odds about ARCTICIAN (NAP) (best price 9/1) who has a big each-way chance off this mark on just his second start for Jim Boyle. This son of Dark Angel was decent as a two/three-year-old, especially when trained in Ireland, which includes a neck second in a Group Three and followed up that good effort in defeat when third in the Group Two Railway Stakes next time. That form has a solid look to it, as the first and second are now rated 114 and 117. 

Despite going winless in his six starts in Ireland, he made a winning introduction for Simon Dow on his first all-weather attempt at Wolverhampton. That was over seven furlongs and he bolted up by over two-lengths and he then ran a lot better than the beaten margin suggested back over the same track and trip in a class two on UK handicap debut off a mark of 88. Again, that piece of form has loads of substance, as the winner, Misty Grey, subsequently won off 106 and the runner-up, Ayr Harbour, went close off 96 next time. 

He made an encouraging seasonal debut over course-and-distance in a class three, where he stayed on well to finish a clear third, and that was off a mark of 86 and he comfortably had Tintoretto back in sixth. I see no reason why the form should be reversed here as the selection is even better off at the weights this time and is drawn better, yet he’s the bigger oddd, which indeed makes no sense at all in my opinion. It’s seemingly like the bookmakers have forgotten this four-year-old is even running! 

Next time saw him compete here again but this time over a mile in a class-two (two grades higher than today’s race) and he was desperately unlucky not to win that race, where he failed to get a clear run a furlong out, before flying home once in the clear to be nearest the finish. That was off 85 and three of the first four home have all won off marks of 85 or higher since, so he’s evidently well-treated off 79 here back at the same course, which has seen him produce two of his best performances in defeat in his career against much-stiffer opposition. 

He was then a close-up third off the same mark of 85 next time at Lingfield when not seen to best effect in the small field and ran a lot better than the finishing position indicated on Oaks day at Epsom in a tough handicap when stepped up markedly in trip to a mile and two furlongs. He was sent off 80/1 but travelled well and made good headway down the inside of the field from Tattenham Corner to get himself into a dangerous-looking position in the first five before a lack of stamina caught him out. 

Dropped three-pounds from that display, he caught the eye once again, but this time at Chelmsford on stable debut, where he ran well to nearly take third behind course specialist Karibana. On all evidence of his form thus far, he has been rock-solid each time, and he’ll be even more effective back over seven at this course from a good draw in stall two. Down to a career-low mark of 79 with track, trip and form in the book at a higher level to draw upon, there’s every chance he could prove the bookmakers wrong again and run a big race.

Arctican - 1pt e/w @ 9/1