Andy Holding is back with seven tips for today's action, including an NAP at Redcar.
TIS MARVELLOUS (best price 6/1) hasn’t always been at his best this season, but considering the ground has been against Clive Cox’s inmate for all four runs, the entries in the excuses column are understandable. However, with rain falling in the last 24 hours seen as a welcome return as far as he’s concerned, there’s every chance he will bounce back to top form over a track that also plays into his strengths.
Winner of the Beverley Bullet the highlight of his campaign, the son of Harbour Watch wasn’t seen to best effect over a flatter track at Newbury last time out when getting no cover from his high, nearside draw. Better judged on his performances over today’s track – especially with some ease underfoot – his stats of 6441241443110 at the Berkshire venue will hopefully be further enhanced.
As is often the case in races of this nature, a variety of different form strands to pull together, but if you are prepared to look a little left of centre, there’s more than a fair chance that either RED TREASURE (best price 14/1) or LAND OF SUMMER (best price 22/1) could feature heavily in the final analysis despite their respective ratings suggesting otherwise.
The former only has a mark of 75, so technically she has a mountain to climb with some of the more established players, but her time figures – particularly from Southwell two starts ago - suggests she’s quite a bit better than her current assessment. A strong finisher at the Midland venue, she ended up easily accounting for a filly who has gone on to score twice since and if it wasn’t for such a tardy beginning at Kempton last time out, she would have no doubt followed suit. That said, it was still a performance at the Sunbury venue that indicated she’s very much going in the right direction (finished off her race strong) and with today’s likely strong pace over a stiff track a potent recipe in her favour, the daughter of Muhaarar can help herself to a decent payday if the (high) draw works to her advantage.
The latter comes from a yard struggling for winners at the moment, so there’s a certain degree of risk attached to Richard Hannon’s filly. On the positive side, though, she comes out of a valuable two-year-old event that has worked out incredibly well since run 25 days ago (3-3 so far, including a listed winner) and considering that effort was achieved despite the perceived wisdom thought to be all against her in terms of trip and ground, her display in finishing a never-nearer third deserves upgrading. Moreover, her morning price more than compensates the negativity surrounding her trainer form and she also might just end up being drawn on the right side as well (high numbers dominated the similar-sized Cambridgeshire field last week).
A big field assembled for this valuable two-year-old prize and with many of the participants yet to face such a set of circumstances, let alone on testing ground, probably not a race to unleash the crown jewels. However, one who is most likely to appreciate the conditions is UK raider MUNCH (best price 7/1) and she is worthy of a small interest based on her performance at Goodwood last time out.
Clearly set aside for a tilt at the Final of the British EBF Series, worth 50k to the winner, David Menuisier’s filly was a bit of an unknown quantity racing on soft ground for the first time, but as it turned out, she proved a revelation under the conditions at the Sussex track. Noted going easily in behind sound early fractions, the daughter of New Bay came there full of running at the two-furlong pole and from that point onwards she found a smart turn of foot to pull readily clear. Recording a very fast time for a horse of her grade, it’s noticeable that there have been three horses to come out of the race in question since and all of them have won, including runner-up, Sirona, at Listed level in Germany last weekend. Clearly useful form, this chestnut filly will now carry a deal of expectation into her latest assignment for all concerned, but safe in the knowledge she can handle a well-run contest on searching ground, there’s a fair chance those high hopes can be realised.
A wide open-looking renewal of this valuable prize, but on second glance, a race surely at the mercy of COLD CASE (NAP) (best price 5/2) if he runs anywhere near the level he has done on his last two starts.
A creditable third in the Group 2 Gimcrack at York, Karl Burke’s colt was well-backed to take advantage of a huge drop in grade at Doncaster last time out and having travelled well throughout, he duly went on to scoop the big pot on offer. Exhibiting impressive battling qualities in the closing stages, it’s nice to know he finds plenty for pressure once off the bridle and with the form of that race on Town Moor boosted by the fourth in a similarly valuable prize at The Curragh last weekend, everything looks set fair for another big payday.
IMPOSING SUPREME (best price 4/1) left the impression he may have won with a clearer run at Cork the other day and he rates the percentage call at the morning odds going back to a track where he’s enjoyed plenty of positive results in the past.
A little in-and-out this term by his normal consistent standards, Thomas Gibney’s grey looked to be on good terms with himself at the Mallow venue just four days ago and had he got anything like a clear run inside the final two furlongs, he surely would have added to his sole win this season at Ballinrobe. 2325 at today’s track, it’s noticeable that some of his best form has also taken place on soft ground, so with the rain that has fallen in the last 48 hours seen as a positive aspect to his chances, the six-year-old rates a solid-looking each-way choice. Of the rest, Dragon Of Malta looks the main threat having run well from a bad draw at Listowel last time out.
WHENTHEDEALINSDONE (best price 9/2) proved an expensive flop for many punters in the Portland at Doncaster last time out, but now returning to a venue that is sure to see Roger Teal’s gelding to much better advantage, those who did their dough on Town Moor have the ideal opportunity to claw back some their hard-earned.
Hugely impressive when landing a competitive handicap over today’s C&D a month ago, it was easy to see why the son of Dark Angel was a warm order to repeat the dose under similar conditions eight days on. Unfortunately, the combination of missing the break and being drawn on the wrong side ended up costing four-year-old dear in the final reckoning and he could only finish 13th of the 19-strong field. Eased down when all chance had evaporated, he will clearly have to pick his socks up a little better in order to redeem his reputation, but with the scent of the Berkshire air back in his nostrils, hope is high he can show what a good sprinter his is at his best.