12:47 Leicester

KOTMASK (best price 7/4) has some strong form in the book over hurdles and ran a fine race on his return when fourth in a much stronger race at Ascot last time behind Highway One O Two. He had previously landed back-to-back juvenile events last term, including when beating the 119-rated Collingham, which is by far the best piece of form on display here. 

He is undoubtedly well-treated off 116 here based on that victory and Jamie Moore has his only ride on the card, while Gary Moore has his only runner here too. This four-year-old gets the vote to make his class count by conceding weight to Apple Rock, who I know impressed last time but needs more on the figures to trouble the former. 

Kotmask - 1.5pts

13:25 Wincanton

CERTAINLY RED (best price 7/2) ran a remarkable race to take the spoils at Kempton on his final start last season by five lengths despite jumping poorly throughout. If he’d of jumped better, he might have won by even further, so he was value for more than the winning margin and a six-pounds higher mark here might actually be exploitable. 

He was brought down at an early stage through no fault of his own on his return last time, so he didn’t really have a hard race and his record fresh is good. His second to Danny Kirwan on chase debut at this course is solid form and, in the hope he can keep the errors at bay, he is open to further improvement in this sphere and can make a bold bid off top-weight here. 

Certainly Red - 1pt e/w

14:17 Leicester

DOLLAR BAE (NAP) (best price 13/8) was very good in bumpers, winning on her debut (second returned a next-time-out winner) before a good second at Warwick and the fourth in a high-quality Listed event at Cheltenham which has worked out very well given the first, second and third have all won good events since. 

This mare has translated that bumper form to hurdles too with two runner-up efforts in both starts to date, including behind Poetic Music last time, where her jumping was more polished than on her hurdles debut. An opening mark of 101 on her handicap debut in this class five event is extremely lenient and I am sure connections will be left disappointed if she cannot outclass this field. With this in mind, and unless I am missing something, she should be a lot shorter in the betting, so her current odds look fair value. 

Dollar Bae - 2pts

14:32 Thurles

Liberty Dance rates the most likely winner if she’s able to build on her eye-catching hurdles debut behind Magical Zoe but a chance is taken on CHAUTUAQUA (best price 16/1) who ran a very nice race behind Queens Gamble in a quality Listed bumper at Cheltenham nineteen days ago and could go well on her hurdles debut here. 

This filly absolutely bolted up on her debut in a heavy-ground bumper at Clonmel and while she was down the field next time, there was a lot to like about her latest performance at Cheltenham. She was sent off 100/1 and raced keenly throughout but she made a decisive move on the downhill run to the home-bend, where she breezed into the lead and for a brief second, she managed to get Queens Game off the bridle, whilst the rest of the rest were already under pressure at this point. 

This filly was the only one able to go with the eventual winner entering the home-straight before she was run out of the places inside the final couple of furlongs. I really liked her effort in defeat and she now has her attention switched to hurdles which could bring about improvement. Whether she has enough in reserve to trouble Liberty Dance is another matter but either way, she’s worth an each-way interest at large odds here.

Chautuaqua - 0.5pts e/w