1000 Guineas 2023 Tips & Runners Guide for Newmarket

1000 Guineas 2023 Runners

1. Caernarfon

• Trainer: Jack Channon
• Odds: 50/1
• Form: 322131

A consistent filly, who’s gone from strength-to-strength and it is great to see the Channon family have an intended runner in this Classic.

I thought she won with a bit up her sleeve over course-and-distance last time but this is deeper waters and in theory she should be outclassed if form-lines have anything to go by, as her form hasn’t worked out too well.

2. Dance In The Grass

• Trainer: Charlie Johnston
• Odds: 66/1
• Form: 1176

This daughter of Derby winner Cracksman won her first two starts, including when she overcame positional track bias to run down Fairy Cross in the final 100 yards in a Listed race at Sandown.

However, she has been found out in stronger events since and it is hard to see a turnaround in such a warm Group 1. Evidence suggests she is a Listed/Group 3 filly at best, so she has a tough task on her hands.

3. Dream Of Love

• Trainer: Charlie Appleby
• Odds: 7/1
• Form: 132

This filly representing Godolphin won on the other course here on debut and was then third in a Listed race before finishing second on her return from a break in Meydan.

She has plenty more to come but again, needs improvement like a few others of these do. I think a rating of 108 is slightly exaggerated based on what she has actually achieved. She could easily run well but doesn’t strike me as a potential winner of the race.

4. Tahiyra

• Trainer: Dermot Weld
• Odds: 5/2
• Form: 11

It was a late call by Dermot Weld but confirmation was made for this exciting daughter of Siyouni, who is unbeaten in two starts having followed up an impressive debut victory at Galway by brushing aside Breeders’ Cup heroine Meditate in the Moyglare Stud Stakes.

Since that success, she has been towards the top of the market and rightfully so given how easily she won the last day. She has yet to tackle a mile but should improve for it and being the top-rated in the field, she is indisputably the one to beat.

5. Embrace

• Trainer: Owen Burrows
• Odds: 50/1
• Form: 614

Having caught the eye on debut at Kempton when sixth of 11, she improved to get off the mark at Wolverhampton next time. She was probably given too much to do when she contested a Group 3 last time

That said, she made late gains from off the pace to finish fourth and should be suited to the step up in trip to a mile. I’m not sure she has the credentials to win this but she will probably outrun her odds.

6. Fairy Cross

• Trainer:
• Odds: 40/1
• Form: 512122

One of the more experienced runners in the field, who’s yet to finish outside the top two since finishing fifth on debut and won a Group 3 on her final start at Goodwood last season.

Since then, she finished second in both starts this year, including behind Mammas Girl in the Nell Gwyn Stakes. Her tough attitude cannot be disputed but I suspect she will prove vulnerable to potential improvers and for that reason she is left alone.

7. Juliet Sierra

• Trainer: Ralph Beckett
• Odds: 40/1
• Form: 2115

Chased home Streets Of Gold on debut before winning her next two starts, which included a Group 3 win at Salisbury. Her final appearance of last season saw her finish a respectable fifth in the Group 1 Juddmonte Cheveley Park Stakes.

She has work to do to reverse form with Meditate and I would have liked to have seen her have a prep-run beforehand. She’s a good filly but I’m not sure this longer trip will suit. I can see her running well for a long way though.

8. Karsavina

• Trainer: Clive Cox
• Odds: 66/1
• Form: 14

This daughter of Ulysses overcame positional track bias on debut at this course, as she was forced to make her challenge on the outside of the field, which is far from ideal at this course and, despite being bumped inside the final furlong, she won with more in hand than the margin implied.

She then contested the Group 3 Nell Gwyn Stakes and acquitted herself very well, finishing fourth. She looked the most likeliest winner a furlong from the finish as she glided her way through the field and although she was headed late on, she kept on well. A mile shouldn’t be an issue and I am surprised she is such a big price.

9. Mammas Girl

• Trainer: Richard Hannon
• Odds: 6/1
• Form: 11

Unbeaten filly who entered the picture as a leading candidate for the race after an impressive last-to-first success in the Nell Gwyn Stakes last time, powering through the line after meeting a bit of traffic.

From a visual point of view, that was impressive, as she displayed a majestic turn of foot to pick up strongly once in the clear inside the final furlong to motor past all of her rivals which left the impression she will be equally effective over a mile.

Richard Hannon claimed the prize back in 2018 with 66/1 chance Billesdon Brook and he has described his Classic hopeful for this year as the one to beat.

10. Lezoo

• Trainer: Ralph Beckett
• Odds: 14/1
• Form: 11211

A winner of four of her five starts, who Is set to step up in trip to a mile for the first time. She was one of the star fillies of last season in the two-year-old division and claimed the Group 1 Cheveley Park Stakes at Newmarket last season when beating Meditate.

She has been racing exclusively over sprint trips but is a very relaxed filly with plenty of quality and loves this venue. The only reason she is a double-figure price is because of the unknown-factor about her seeing out the trip, otherwise she would be pushing for favouritism. Either way, she has a solid each-way chance.

11. Matilda Picotte

• Trainer: Kieran Cotter
• Odds: 50/1
• Form: 432312

A filly with lots of speed, who had a productive last season, in which she won twice and placed three times from six starts. She was third in the Group 2 Lowther Stakes at York and then won the Listed Bosra Sham' Fillies' Stakes at this course on her next start.

She ran a nice race on her return over seven in the 1,000 Guineas Trial Stakes when second but I have an incline a mile will find her out. She will probably show up well for a long way but others might have stronger finishing efforts, so she is vulnerable for win purposes.

12. Mawj

• Trainer: Saeed Bin Suroor
• Odds: 16/1
• Form: 214311

A likeable filly, who is closely matched with Lezoo on collateral form but unlike the former, she proved herself over a mile in Meydan in February, winning by eight lengths from Fairy Cross. She has won four of her seven starts and beat Lezoo in the Group 2 Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes last season.

She completed her season with an excellent close-up behind Meditate and Lezoo in the Group 1 Cheveley Park Stakes on the Rowley Mile and has evidently strengthened since last season. This Exceed And Excel filly has earned her shot at this race and is another to consider in what is a wide-open renewal.

13. Meditate

• Trainer: Aidan O’Brien
• Odds: 4/1
• Form: 111221

One of the best two-year-old fillies in Ireland last season, who won her first four starts, including a win in the Albany Stakes at Royal Ascot before a good second to Tahiyra and Lezoo in a pair of Group 1 events. A first test at a mile saw her impressively win the Grade 1 Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf at Keeneland.

However, the form is questionable, as the second and a few others who were in behind have been beaten since. She is clearly a hardy filly, who is a trier and has a lot of ability but there is a lingering suspicion she might find one or two too good on her reappearance, as her stable’s runners tend to need their reappearance.

14. Naomi Lapaglia

• Trainer: Richard Spencer
• Odds: 33/1
• Form: 1

An interesting runner, who had just the one start last year, which came at Kempton, but won it won in good style and has been aimed at this race since by trainer Richard Spencer.

This is obviously a major step up in class but she could have been found an easier opportunity elsewhere, so she is clearly held in high regard by connections.

The form of her debut success has yet to truly be tested given the runner-up has not been seen since but she is unbeaten and could go very well at a really big price.

15. Never Ending Story

• Trainer: Aidan O’Brien
• Odds: 25/1
• Form: 113431

A winner of three of her seven starts, who won a Group 3 last July before she ran well as well as could have been expected when fourth in the Group 1 Moyglare Stud Stakes and when third in the Group 1 Qatar Prix Marcel Boussac on her first start over a mile.

She returned with a bang in the 1,000 Guineas Trial Stakes but I’m not sure she is Group 1 material having been found out twice last season. She is down the pecking order for the Ballydoyle team though, as she has plenty to find with stablemate Meditate.

16. Olivia Maralda

• Trainer: Michael O’Callaghan
• Odds: 66/1
• Form: 227129

More exposed than most, who was down the field in the Rockfel on her final appearance last season. That form leaves her with plenty to find but her previous close-up second to Meditate reads well.

She wasn’t disgraced when seventh in the Queen Mary at Royal Ascot but she is a touch exposed compared to the majority of these and is likely to be found out at this level. She has so much to find.

17. Polly Pott

• Trainer: Ben Pauling
• Odds: 66/1
• Form: 411114

She was no doubt one of the big improvers throughout last season, winning a maiden at Bath before landing nurseries at Nottingham and Salisbury and then caused a 40/1 shock in Doncaster's May Hill Stakes. Her campaign culminated with a fourth in the Group 1 Fillies' Mile.

She has since joined forces with Ben Pauling, who is known for his exploits over the jumps. If conditions was soft, she would need a lot more improvement but otherwise, she could go well at large odds, though it is difficult to see her winning this first-time-out and needing more to trouble the main protagonists.

18. Powerdress

• Trainer: Richard Hannon
• Odds: 33/1
• Form: 13

A debutant winner at this course over five furlongs, who ran really well on her reappearance last time when stepped up to seven furlongs. She travelled noticeably well and kept on strongly to be nearest the finish in third.

That form wouldn’t be good enough to win this but she should improve and her trainer knows what is takes to do well in the race. She will strip fitter from her return and could be one of those fillies who runs above market assumptions with more to come.

19. Queen Me

• Trainer: Kevin Ryan
• Odds: 66/1
• Form: 123

Won decisively on debut at Haydock and then placed twice in pattern-class events. She was second in the Group 2 Lowther Stakes before finishing third in the Group 3 Firth Of Clyde Fillies' Stakes at Ayr. She couldn’t justify favouritism but ran well in defeat.

Kevin Ryan also has her entered in the Irish version but should she line up here, she wouldn’t look out of place with improvement on the cards. A few others have achieved more but she won’t disgrace herself at a wild price.

20. Remarquee

• Trainer: Ralph Beckett
• Odds: 7/1
• Form: 11

A winner of her sole start at two at Salisbury, Remarquee retained her unbeaten record with an impressive comeback victory in the Group Three Dubai Duty Free Stakes, confirming herself to be one of the leading candidates for this year’s Classic.

Being a daughter of Kingman, she should have even more to come over a mile. Not much went right for her last time but she was on top at the finish and connections are quite optimistic about her chances. She’s a big player.

21. Stenton Glider

• Trainer: Hugo Palmer
• Odds: 25/1
• Form: 12

Overcame plenty of traffic problems and greenness to outgun an odds-on favourite on debut at Chester and was then stepped up to group 3 company at Newbury. She ran a big race to finish second to the re-opposing Remarquee and should be suited to a stiff mile at this course.

There was a lot to like about her run in defeat and she looks sure to progress. Whether she can find the necessary improvement to take top honours is another debate but she should give her running and won’t be far away as she is talented.

22. Sweet Harmony

• Trainer: Richard Spencer
• Odds: 100/1
• Form: 51407

This daughter of No Nay Never is seemingly out of her depths but the good news for her supporters is that is Billy Loughtane gets a first taste of riding in a Classic and who has been riding out his skin the last few months.

His mount is likely to outrun her odds but would be a surprising winner and her price reflects her outside chances.

1000 Guineas 2023 Tips & Prediction

This year’s renewal of the 1000 Guineas has a really open feel about it. However, MAWJ (best price 12/1) appeals as a solid each-way proposition, who ran to a consistent level last season and has been to Newmarket three times and succeeded twice plus was third when right behind Lezoo and Meditate.

She relished the step up to a mile when easily scoring at Meydan when last seen and her connections have appointed Oisin Murphy to ride. She beat Dreams Of Love on her return, so I’m not sure why she is two times the odds of that rival here.

She is a battle-hardened filly, who has the course-winning form, is proven over the distance and arrives unbeaten in two starts this year. She should be a lot shorter in the betting and does make plenty of each-way appeal in a race she is capable of being competitive in for owner Saeed Bin Suroor who has won this twice in the past.

Ralph Beckett’s main hopeful, according to the betting is Remarquee but LEZOO (best price 14/1) has only tasted defeat once in her career, winning four of her five starts and has twice won at the course, including a Group 1 last time when comfortably ahead of Meditate, who is much lower in the betting, which again is wrong.

She has to prove her stamina over a mile but she wasn’t stopping at the finish last time and another season on her back, could see her advance her top-class form that she showcased last season. She is another who is overpriced, with course-winning form and conditions in her favour. If she stays, she has an excellent each-way chance.