6500/1 Each-Way Lucky 15 Tip for Cheltenham Festival Day 4

Cheltenham Day 4 Lucky 15 Tips

• July Flower - 14:40
• Hipop De Loire - 15:20
• Jango Baie - 16:00
• Kel Histoire - 17:20

Best price 6524/1 with Ladbrokes.

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July Flower - 14:40

Best Original Odds: 11/1
Shortest Live Odds: 15/2
Swing: 17%
Best Odds: 9/1

July Flower could be ready to step forward again now she is given a trip that should suit her much better.

Still relatively unexposed over fences, she has had just three chase starts but has already shown plenty of ability. One of those performances came at Cheltenham earlier in the season when she landed a Grade 2, beating several promising rivals and proving she can handle the unique demands of the track.

Her most recent run came in a high-quality two-mile contest where she took on strong opposition, including Romeo Coolio. That race may have been run over a trip that was slightly sharp for her, but she still showed enough to suggest there is more to come.

The step up to around two and a half miles now looks a key factor. With her reliable jumping and proven course form, this longer distance should allow her to travel more comfortably and use her stamina in the closing stages.

Hipop De Loire - 15:20

Best Original Odds: 33/1
Shortest Live Odds: 20/1
Swing: 24%
Best Odds: 28/1

Hipop De Loire could be a dangerous outsider with the potential to outperform his odds in this contest.

The Willie Mullins-trained runner remains largely unexposed over hurdles, having had just two starts in the discipline so far. He made a huge impression on his latest hurdling appearance when powering clear to win a Galway maiden by an emphatic 11 lengths, suggesting he possesses far more ability than his limited experience currently shows.

Since that victory, Hipop De Loire has been kept busy on the Flat where he competed in high-quality staying races. Finishing sixth in the Ebor at York and placing third in the Doncaster Cup demonstrated that he can hold his own against strong opposition and, importantly, that stamina is one of his key strengths.

That blend of proven stamina on the Flat and untapped potential over hurdles makes him a fascinating contender. His official mark may underestimate his true ability, particularly if he continues to progress now returning to obstacles.

Jango Baie - 16:00

Best Original Odds: 5/1
Shortest Live Odds: 10/3
Swing: 21%
Best Odds: 15/4

Jango Baie looks a lively contender in an open Gold Cup and could be ready to peak now that he returns to a track where he has already enjoyed notable success.

Nicky Henderson’s runner showed he belongs at the highest level when finishing a close fourth in the King George VI Chase at Kempton. That race produced a tightly packed finish and Jango Baie was beaten only around half a length by several of today’s rivals, suggesting the bare result slightly understates how well he actually ran on his first attempt at the three-mile trip.

Cheltenham is a venue where he has already proven his ability. He produced a powerful late surge to win the Arkle here previously and now boasts multiple victories at the course, showing he handles the undulating track and stiff finish extremely well.

There are reasons to believe further improvement is possible over this trip. His strong finishing effort in the King George hinted that stamina for three miles is within reach, particularly on better ground and with a stronger gallop likely in a Gold Cup scenario.

Kel Histoire - 17:20

Best Original Odds: 11/2
Shortest Live Odds: 7/2
Swing: 23%
Best Odds: 4/1

Kel Histoire looks a very interesting contender now switching into handicap company for the first time and could be well treated if improving again.

The Willie Mullins-trained runner showed promise early in his career when winning a bumper in France before making an immediate impact after arriving in Ireland, landing a maiden hurdle at Cork. Since then, he has been pitched into stronger graded races, holding his own against higher-class opposition without quite managing to get his head in front.

That approach may now pay dividends. Those runs have helped build experience, and the move into handicap company represents a clear drop in class compared to the races he has been contesting. As a result, he could find himself running from a very workable mark.

His latest outing at Gowran Park looked like a typical prep run, suggesting this race may have been the long-term target. The step up in trip should also suit, potentially allowing him to use his stamina more effectively in the closing stages.