Goodwood Tips Today: Oddschecker's Most Backed Horses on Day 5

The final day of the Glorious Goodwood Festival is always one of the biggest of the Flat season, headlined by the ultra-competitive Stewards' Cup, but there's quality and depth running right through Saturday's seven-race card. From a red-hot handicap first up to a Group contest where class could well tell late on, there's no shortage of talking points heading into the closing day.

We've picked out four of the most-discussed races on the card and where the market and the experts are leaning.

TIP 1: BELIEVITANDUCAN - 1pt

Best odds of 5/1 at William Hill at the time of writing.

Defiantly heads the market and is drawing plenty of support in what looks a tricky opener, but the pick here is BELIEVITANDUCAN. Three from three for this yard already this season, the latest of those a Northumberland Vase success that confirms he's a horse on the rise rather than one who's peaked.

Yes, he's stepping up in trip today and shoulders 5lb more than last time, but neither of those looks enough to halt the progress. When a horse is winning as easily as this one has been all year, you give him the benefit of the doubt on questions like this until he actually fails to answer them. Happy to side with the yard's confidence over the market's.

TIP 2: TRIBAL CHIEF - 1pt EW

Best odds of 11/2 at Betfred while publishing.

The consensus pick for this ultra-competitive handicap is Indalo, and it's not hard to see why - three wins from his last seven starts, with big-field placed efforts in the Royal Hunt Cup and the Cambridgeshire thrown in, and Ray Dawson has him in fine order even shouldering a weight rise. That's a genuine profile in a big-field puzzle like this.

But this looks the type of race where a big-field specialist with a bit of luck owed can go well at a price, and that's TRIBAL CHIEF. He opened his season with a fine third in the Lincoln, a run that reads even better once you factor in a poor draw. He followed up with third in the Victoria Cup at Ascot, meeting trouble at exactly the wrong moment.

Then last time at Sandown he was only just behind the aforementioned Indalo despite missing the break - the sort of trip that, ironed out, closes the gap between the pair considerably. David Menuisier has a strong record with runners in Goodwood handicaps, and the decision to swerve the Hunt Cup and wait for this looks a deliberate one. Each-way appeal at a bigger price than the market leader.

TIP 3: HAATEM - 1pt

Best odds available of 10/3 at Unibet while publishing.

HAATEM holds the clear class edge in this field and should be sent off favourite. The Phoenix Of Spain colt has gone off joint-favourite both times he's run this term, beaten by Boiling Point here at Goodwood and then denied a fair run at Royal Ascot last month. He drops in grade today, but crucially he's now getting 5lb from Boiling Point - on any sensible reading of that earlier form, that swing is enough to turn the result around.

He's already a Group 2 winner and has landed a couple of Group 3s besides, so the class is unquestionably there. Throw in James Doyle's excellent record on favourites over this specific trip - north of a 50% strike-rate with a healthy A/E figure - and there's every reason for confidence. Worth taking the 10/3 on offer rather than waiting to see if it shortens.

TIP 4: SILVER LAKE - 1pt

Best odds of 11/8 at Betway while publishing.

SILVER LAKE looks nicely treated at the bottom of the weights in this 10f handicap. She opened her account at Salisbury last time out from a 2lb higher mark than she races off today, doing it with a tongue tie fitted for the first time - and that headgear stays on, which is often a positive sign that connections have found the key to her.

Saffie Osborne takes the ride again having partnered her to that win, continuity that shouldn't be underestimated with a filly who's still working things out. With the mark she's dropped to and the form already on the board, there's a strong case she's still ahead of the handicapper and capable of following up.