We've picked out a 5/1 accumulator for Wednesday's Wimbledon quarter-finals, including Zverev to get the win over Fritz.
Our tennis accumulator for today’s Wimbledon quarter-final action combines two women’s singles legs and two men’s singles legs, with a 5/1 four-fold built around form, grass-court resilience and sensible set-handicap coverage.
Wimbledon’s Wednesday order of play features Kostyuk vs Paolini and Cobolli vs Fery on Centre Court, while Noskova vs Mertens and Fritz vs Zverev are scheduled for No.1 Court.
Leg 1: Elise Mertens +1.5 Sets vs Linda Noskova
Linda Noskova has been one of the standout players of the grass-court swing, winning Berlin before beating Madison Keys 6-4 7-6 to reach her first Wimbledon quarter-final. However, the +1.5 sets line on Elise Mertens gives us a much safer route than opposing Noskova outright.
Mertens is into her fourth career Grand Slam quarter-final and her first at Wimbledon, having already beaten former champion Elena Rybakina and Marie Bouzkova on this run. The Belgian’s experience, variety and doubles pedigree should help her stay competitive on grass, especially against a younger opponent playing in her first Wimbledon quarter-final.
This is also a first career meeting between Noskova and Mertens, which adds some uncertainty to the favourite’s price. Noskova may still have the higher ceiling, but Mertens only needs to win one set for this leg to land.
Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine PaoliniSee All Odds
Leg 2: Marta Kostyuk to Beat Jasmine Paolini
Marta Kostyuk looks the stronger winner pick against Jasmine Paolini, even though Paolini brings proven Wimbledon pedigree after reaching the final here in 2024. Kostyuk has won 20 of her last 21 matches and has carried her form from clay into Wimbledon, where she has reached her best result at the All England Club.
Kostyuk beat Ashlyn Krueger 6-4 6-4 in the last round, her improved serve and consistent ability to create break-point chances has brought her success during the tournament so far. Paolini is dangerous, and she leads the head-to-head 2-1, but this is their first meeting on grass and their first match against each other for nearly three years.
Kostyuk’s aggressive ball-striking, athletic defence and current winning rhythm make her the preferred side. If she serves with the same control she has shown across the tournament, she has the tools to rush Paolini and dictate more of the baseline exchanges.
Leg 3: Alexander Zverev to Beat Taylor Fritz
Alexander Zverev is the riskiest leg of the accumulator, but there is enough upside to include him at the price. Taylor Fritz has an excellent recent record in this match-up, with Reuters reporting that he leads the head-to-head 10-5 and has won their last seven meetings. That trend cannot be ignored, but it also helps explain why Zverev may be carrying more value than usual.
Zverev arrives as the second seed and newly crowned French Open champion, and his four-set win over Jiri Lehecka took him into his first Wimbledon quarter-final. Fritz has been one of the most reliable grass-court players on the ATP Tour and reached the Wimbledon quarter-finals for the fourth time in five years, but this still looks like a narrow-margin contest rather than a clear mismatch.
In best-of-five sets, Zverev’s first serve, backhand stability and physical durability give him a strong platform. The head-to-head is a red flag, but if Zverev maintains the confidence that has followed his Roland Garros breakthrough, he can reverse the recent trend and come through a tight quarter-final.
Leg 4: Arthur Fery +2.5 Sets vs Flavio Cobolli
Arthur Fery +2.5 sets is an appealing handicap angle because he does not need to beat Flavio Cobolli; he only needs to avoid a straight-sets defeat. That means this leg lands if Fery wins the match or loses 3-1 or 3-2.
Cobolli is clearly the more established player and arrives in superb form. He was a French Open finalist and beat Alex de Minaur 7-5 7-6 6-3 to reach a second consecutive Wimbledon quarter-final. However, Fery’s run has been one of the stories of the tournament, with the British wildcard beating Grigor Dimitrov in five sets to become the last home singles player left in the draw.
Fery has already shown he can handle pressure, recover from difficult positions and feed off the Wimbledon crowd. He also beat Cobolli at this year’s Australian Open, giving him a relevant recent reference point against the Italian. Cobolli deserves favouritism, but Fery’s serve, belief and home support make him a strong candidate to take at least one set.
