Eurovision 2025

The second semi-final in Eurovision 2025 looks much tighter than the first semi-final, with only five countries, in my opinion, guaranteed to make the final. These are:

  • Austria
  • Finland
  • Israel
  • Malta
  • Australia

 

The following countries are also likely to qualify, but I wouldn’t bet on them (find my outright bets here) at their current heavily odds-on prices:

  • Czech Republic
  • Lithuania

 

That leaves three positions still up for grabs.

Below is the Eurovision semi-final running order, along with the historical qualification rate for each slot:

  1. Australia (qualifies 53% of the time)
  2. Montenegro (qualifies 41% of the time)
  3. Ireland (qualifies 44% of the time)
  4. Latvia (qualifies 50% of the time)
  5. Armenia (qualifies 45% of the time)
  6. Austria (qualifies 61% of the time)
  7. United Kingdom
  8. Greece (qualifies 59% of the time)
  9. Lithuania (qualifies 63% of the time)
  10. Malta (qualifies 58% of the time)
  11. Georgia (qualifies 42% of the time)
  12. France
  13. Denmark (qualifies 63% of the time)
  14. Czech Republic (qualifies 74% of the time)
  15. Luxembourg (qualifies 66% of the time)
  16. Israel (qualifies 62% of the time)
  17. Germany
  18. Serbia (qualifies 89% of the time)

 

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Eurovision Semi-Final 2 Tips

My strongest bet in the second semi-final is Armenia not to qualify at 4/6. Armenia ranks third from bottom in the largest online poll and sits in the bottom 10 of the betting markets. They’ve also drawn a slot that qualifies only 45% of the time, and performing just before Austria is unlikely to help their cause.

Advised Bet: Armenia – Not to Qualify @ 4/6 – 3pts

My second selection is on Latvia, another country I don’t see qualifying. They’re in the 4th position in the running order (50% qualification rate), rank 6th lowest in the betting and 8th lowest in the online polls.

Advised Bet: Latvia – Not to Qualify @ 4/5 – 1pt

Eurovision Semi-Final 2 Predictions

Above you can find the seven countries I believe are likely to go through. Even though I wouldn’t bet on them, I also think Greece will qualify, which leaves two remaining spots likely to be contested between:

  • Luxembourg
  • Ireland
  • Serbia

 

Neither offers especially tempting odds, but unfortunately for Ireland, I think Luxembourg and Serbia’s favourable running order positions could help them edge through to the final.

Advised Bet: Denmark, Latvia & Armenia Not to Qualify @ 5/2 – 1pt (William Hill only).

My final selection for the second semi-final is a ‘Not to Qualify’ treble on Denmark, Latvia and Armenia. Click here to add this straight to your betslip as a #YourOdds selection on William Hill (or back Denmark not to qualif at best price below).