Max Verstappen, Lando Norris, and Oscar Piastri race for the ultimate F1 prize in the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix after a stunning qualifying session on Saturday.
Abu Dhabi Grand Prix Odds
The Abu Dhabi Grand Prix promises a spectacular ending to the 2025 F1 season after Saturday's qualifying session saw the three title challengers, Max Verstappen, Lando Norris, and Oscar Piastri qualify next to each other with Verstappen grabbing the pole.
Verstappen, who was nowhere near the championship battle, now enters the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix on equal odds with Lando Norris to win his fifth F1 title.
However, Lando Norris still holds the upper hand in the title fight, with his crucial 12-point lead giving him a buffer heading into the finale. Max Verstappen, meanwhile, will need Norris to finish outside the podium places if he’s to reclaim the championship.
Who is the favourite to win the F1 Drivers' World Championship?
According to the latest odds, Lando Norris remains the favourite to claim his maiden F1 Drivers’ Championship after qualifying P2 for the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix. Max Verstappen, despite securing pole position, still trails in the title picture and needs Norris to finish outside the podium to keep his hopes of a fifth world title alive.
Oscar Piastri’s already slim championship chances have taken a further hit, with both Verstappen and Norris qualifying ahead of him, leaving the McLaren driver needing a near-perfect race outcome to stay in contention.
| 2025 World Championship Winner | Best Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Lando Norris | 1/3 | Betfred |
| Max Verstappen | 3/1 | Ladbrokes |
| Oscar Piastri | 16/1 | bet365 |
Odds last updated on 11AM Sunday, 7th December.
Midnite
Who is the favourite to win the F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?
While Lando Norris remains the favourite to clinch the Drivers’ Championship, Max Verstappen is still backed as the leading contender to win the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix. The Dutchman has dominated this race with four consecutive victories, and historical trends show that the pole sitter typically controls proceedings at Yas Marina.
Barring any technical problems or first-lap drama involving the title contenders, Verstappen is expected to manage the race comfortably and close out the final event of the DRS era with a win.
| 2025 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix Winner | Best Odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 2/5 | BetMGM |
| Lando Norris | 7/2 | Paddy Power |
| Oscar Piastri | 10/1 | AK Bets |
Odds last updated at 11AM Sunday, 7th December.
F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix Betting Insights
According to Oddschecker, betting patterns in the last 24 hours show a tightly contested championship fight. Max Verstappen has received around 42% of all bets to win the Drivers’ Championship, with Lando Norris close behind at nearly 40%. Oscar Piastri remains the outside contender, backed by 18% of bettors to overturn both rivals and claim his maiden title.
However, when it comes to the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix race win, the market tells a different story. 57% of bets placed in the last 24 hours are backing Max Verstappen to take victory at Yas Marina, highlighting strong confidence in his pace and pole-position advantage. Norris has attracted just 17% of race-win bets, while only 12% of bettors believe Oscar Piastri can win the Grand Prix starting from third on the grid.
F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix Betting Tips
Tip 1: Lewis Hamilton to finish in points - 1pt
Best odds of 9/10 available on Virgin Bet while publishing.
The Yas Marina Circuit suits Hamilton’s smooth driving style, and with Ferrari generally performing better in race trim compared to qualifying, a top-10 finish looks very achievable. With his experience at Abu Dhabi where he’s taken 10 podiums in his career, Hamilton should be able to fightback from 16th to score points.
Tip 2: Kimi Antonelli to finish in points - 1.5pt
Best odds of 3/5 available on BetMGM during publishing.
Kimi Antonelli has rapidly adapted to F1 machinery and has been increasingly competitive in race conditions. He has already recorded multiple points finishes this season, showing maturity and consistency beyond his age.
The Abu Dhabi layout, which rewards smooth traction and tyre management, suits him well. Antonelli is well-placed to challenge for another top-10 finish given his progress and Mercedes' strong race pace.
Tip 3: Winning Margin - Between 5 and 10 seconds - 1.5pt
Best odds of 3/5 available on BetMGM during publishing.
All of the last three Abu Dhabi Grand Prix winners have finished with a winning margin of more than five seconds. This particular bet has also landed in two of the previous three seasons, making it a strong historical trend heading into this year’s race.
F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix Bet Builder - 0.25pt stake advised.
Lewis Hamilton to finish in points
Kimi Antonelli to finish in points
Winning Margin - Between 5 and 10 seconds
Best odds of 8/1 available at bet365 at the time of publishing.
