We've used our Positive Expected Value tool to pick out five of the highest value player props for Friday 31st October's NBA matches.
How does Positive Expected Value (EV) betting work?
When bookmakers set betting lines, they estimate the likelihood of each outcome.
Value Bets, our Positive EV Tool available for Oddschecker+ subscribers, leverages advanced AI to perform 100 million projections each week and monitors 125 million live price changes daily. This enables it to identify bets that have a higher probability of winning than what the lines suggest.
Shown below are our five best player props from the Positive Expected Value tool for Friday 31st October's NBA slate.
Bet 1: Nikola Jokic - Under 27.5 Points vs Portland - 1pt
Nikola Jokic's scoring for Denver has been moderated at 20.3 points per game through four outings (21, 25, 14, 21), under 27.5 in all, averaging 34.3 minutes without injuries.
His efficiency remains high (57.1% FG), but Denver's balanced offense (top-5 in assists at 30.0 per game) distributes load, as seen in lows like 14 points against Phoenix.
Portland's defense concedes 23.6 points to centers, but Jokic's career against them averages 26.8 points in 30 games, though recent form and team strategy lean under, especially if blowouts reduce minutes.
Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 70.93%, so the odds of 19/20 with SpreadEx gives us a Positive EV of 35.48% on this play.
https://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/los-angeles-lakers-at-memphis-grizzlies/winner
Bet 2: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope - Over 2.5 Assists vs Lakers - 1pt
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, now with Memphis after signing as a free agent, has adapted well, averaging 4.6 assists per game through five October contests (5, 4, 5, 6, 3), clearing 2.5 in four outings while logging 24.4 minutes on average.
His recent form shows 4.5 assists over the last two games, with no injuries reported, positioning him favorably against a Lakers defense that ranks mid-tier in assists allowed to shooting guards (around 5.2 per game early season).
Caldwell-Pope's career against the Lakers averages 2.8 assists in 12 games, but his elevated role in Memphis' guard rotation—amid a team averaging 28.0 assists per game—suggests continued opportunity for facilitation.
Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 77.01%, so the odds of 4/5 with Boyle Sports/betway gives us a Positive EV of 38.62% on this play.
Utah Jazz @ Phoenix Suns
Bet 3: Devin Booker - Over 3.5 Rebounds vs Utah - 1pt
Devin Booker's rebounding for Phoenix has been steady at 4.0 per game through five appearances (4, 5, 3, 3, 5), with a high of 5 against Utah on October 27, where he played 44 minutes in an overtime loss.
Averaging 36.2 minutes without noted injuries, Booker's athleticism aids in transition boards, though his primary scoring focus (averaging 30.4 points) can vary rebound output.
BetMGM UK
Utah's defense concedes 8.7 rebounds to shooting guards early on, a vulnerability Booker exploited with 5 in their recent meeting.
His career average against Utah is 4.2 rebounds in 28 games, trending over 3.5 in 60% of those, aligning with Phoenix's pace (top-10 at 102.0 possessions) that generates extra rebound chances.
Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 75.96%, so the odds of 17/20 with Ladbrokes/Coral gives us a Positive EV of 58% on this play.
Boston Celtics @ Philadelphia 76ers
Bet 4: VJ Edgecombe - Over 3.5 Assists vs Boston (1pt)
VJ Edgecombe, the rookie guard for Philadelphia, has impressed with 5.5 assists per game in four starts (4, 7, 8, 3), averaging 40.3 minutes without injuries.
His 3-assist game against Boston on October 22 (a win) is the low mark, but overall trends show strong playmaking, with highs of 8 and 7 in other contests.
Boston's defense allows 5.2 assists to point guards, mid-pack but testable for Edgecombe's speed in pick-and-rolls.
As a consensus five-star recruit and McDonald's All-American, Edgecombe's Baylor college average of 3.2 assists has translated upward in the pros, supporting the over in a rematch where Philadelphia's backcourt synergy with Tyrese Maxey could boost his numbers.
Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 73.91%, so the odds of 8/11 gives us a Positive EV of 58% on this play.
New York Knicks @ Chicago Bulls
Bet 5: Nikola Vucevic - Under 18.5 Points vs New York - 1pt
Nikola Vucevic's points for Chicago average 18.3 per game in four starts (13, 17, 15, 28), under 19.5 in three, averaging 32.5 minutes without injuries.
His efficiency (58.3% FG) holds, but Chicago's guard-centric attack limits touches, as in recent 13-point outing against Sacramento.
New York's defense allows 20.9 points to centers, mid-tier, but Vucevic's career against them averages 18.2 points in 35 games, trending under in 55% of those, favoring the under amid the Bulls' evolving rotations.
Our Positive EV tool has the probability of this bet landing at 67.2%, so the odds of 1/1 gives us a Positive EV of 34.4% on this play.
