MLB Playoff Odds: Mets, Reds, Diamondbacks Battle for Final National League Wild Card Spot
The New York Mets took care of business in Chicago this week, leaving them with the slightest advantage in the MLB Playoff race for the final National League Wild Card spot. Can they hold onto it as they fend off charges from the Reds and Diamondbacks on the final weekend? Let's take a look at the latest MLB Playoff Odds for the NL Wild Card.
Peter Alexis - September 26, 2025, 4:15 PM EDT
4 Minute ReadMLB Playoff Odds: Can Pete Alonso, Mets Hold off Reds, D-Backs for Final National League Wild Card Spot?
With just three games left in the regular season, the National League Wild Card race has come down to one last spot. The Cubs and Padres have already secured the first two Wild Card positions, leaving a tight battle between the Mets, Reds, and Diamondbacks to grab the third. The Mets currently hold the advantage, while the Reds remain just one game behind and the Diamondbacks two back with little margin for error. The race runs through Sunday afternoon, setting up a tense finish.
Oddsmakers have made their stance clear: the Mets are strong favorites at -370 to make the postseason, with the Reds trailing at +320, and the Diamondbacks all but left for dead at +2500. Still, in baseball, anything can happen over a three-game stretch, and each matchup offers its own challenges and potential twists.
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National League Winner Odds
MLB Playoff Odds - National League Wild Card Final Spot
1. New York Mets -370
The Mets’ path is straightforward on paper. They travel to Miami to face the Marlins, a team that was just eliminated and has little left to play for beyond pride and the chance to spoil New York’s hopes. That’s a favorable draw compared to their rivals, though the Mets’ margin for error is slim. Dropping even one game could leave the door open if Cincinnati gets hot, but New York’s control of its own destiny explains their commanding playoff odds.
2. Cincinnati Reds +320
The Reds face the Brewers, who already clinched the NL Central but still have a reason to compete — at least early in the weekend. Milwaukee needs just one win to lock in the top overall seed over Philadelphia, which means Cincinnati likely won’t see a resting lineup until Saturday or Sunday. That makes the Reds’ task more difficult, but not impossible, particularly with motivation fully on their side.
3. Arizona Diamondbacks +2500
As for the Diamondbacks, the longshot label says it all. Arizona heads to San Diego, where the Padres are locked into the fifth Wild Card slot and have nothing at stake. While that could mean facing a relaxed opponent, the D-backs’ recent slump, dropping back-to-back games against the Dodgers, leaves them two back with no room to stumble. They would likely need a sweep combined with stumbles from both the Mets and Reds, a daunting ask even with their opponents’ uncertainty.
MLB ODDS
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