
MLB Home Run Derby Odds: Kyle Scwharber Big Favorite in Monday's HR Derby in Philadelphia
Kyle Schwarber is the favorite in the 2026 Home Run Derby odds as the event comes to Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia on Monday, July 13. The field includes Schwarber, Junior Caminero, Munetaka Murakami, Jordan Walker, Jac Caglianone, Bryce Harper, Ben Rice and Willson Contreras, with the Derby set for 8 PM ET.
Peter Alexis - July 13, 2026, 1:35 PM EDT
3 Minute ReadMLB Home Run Derby Odds: Can Anyone Top Schwarber at Citizens Bank Park?
The 2026 Home Run Derby takes place Monday, July 13, at 8 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. This year’s field has a strong local angle with Phillies teammates Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper competing in front of the home crowd, while several first-time Derby participants bring major power upside.
The format also adds intrigue, with hitters getting 20 swings in the first round and 15 swings in the semifinal and final rounds. The top four home run totals advance from the opening round, then the event shifts into a seeded bracket.
MLB Home Run Derby Odds
MLB Home Run Derby Date, Time, and Where to Watch
- Date: Monday, July 13, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Where to Watch: Netflix
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MLB Home Run Derby Odds Breakdown
Kyle Schwarber (+300) Check out these best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
Kyle Schwarber is the clear favorite and the obvious headliner in Philadelphia. The Phillies slugger leads the majors with 32 home runs this season, and his power plays perfectly at Citizens Bank Park, where he has already built one of the strongest home run resumes in the ballpark’s history.
Schwarber is making his third career Home Run Derby appearance. He finished runner-up to Harper in 2018 while with the Cubs and also competed in 2022 during his first season with the Phillies. The combination of current form, Derby experience and a home crowd makes him the player to beat.
Junior Caminero (+425) Check out these best odds at Fanatics Sportsbook
Junior Caminero enters as the second choice after finishing runner-up in last year’s Derby. The Rays star has 27 home runs this season, ranking near the top of the American League, and returns for his second straight appearance in the event.
Caminero has one of the cleanest power profiles in the field because his swing produces easy pull-side damage without needing maximum effort. After coming close in 2025, he has a real revenge angle and a chance to become the first Rays hitter to win the Derby.
Munetaka Murakami (+600) Check out these best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Munetaka Murakami is one of the most interesting wild cards in the field. The White Sox rookie has 20 home runs this season and enters his first MLB Home Run Derby with a massive international power reputation.
Murakami is also part of a rare storyline, joining Shohei Ohtani as one of the only Japanese-born hitters to compete in the Derby. He is coming in fresh off the injured list, which adds some uncertainty, but the raw power is good enough to make him dangerous in a swing-limit format.
Jordan Walker (+750) Check out these best odds at Caesars Sportsbook
Jordan Walker is representing the Cardinals and enters with 22 home runs this season. He is a first-time All-Star and first-time Derby participant, giving St. Louis another shot at its first Home Run Derby title.
Walker’s case is built around size, leverage and natural carry. He does not have Schwarber’s experience or Caminero’s recent Derby success, but his raw tools are obvious, and the new format could help hitters who can settle into rhythm quickly without worrying about the old clock-based pace.
Jac Caglianone (+800) Check out these best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Jac Caglianone brings one of the more intriguing power ceilings into the field. The Royals slugger has 14 home runs this season and is making his first career Home Run Derby appearance.
Caglianone is the youngest, most volatile power bet on the board. His regular-season total does not match the top contenders, but his raw strength is Derby-friendly, and the shorter swing format can create openings for a hitter who gets hot for one round.
Bryce Harper (+900) Check out these best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Bryce Harper gives Philadelphia a second hometown contender and one of the most experienced Derby bats in the field. Harper has 20 home runs this season and is making his third career Derby appearance.
Harper won the 2018 Home Run Derby in Washington and finished runner-up in 2013, so he knows how to handle the stage. He is not priced like the top power bat in the field, but the home crowd, prior Derby win and Citizens Bank Park comfort make him a dangerous +900 option.
Ben Rice (+1000) Check out these best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Ben Rice enters as one of the biggest regular-season power threats in the field. The Yankees slugger has 28 home runs this season, ranking second in the American League, and makes both his first All-Star appearance and first Home Run Derby appearance.
Rice has the production to be priced shorter than +1000, but the lack of Derby experience likely pushes him down the board. The Yankees have a strong Derby history, and Rice has enough left-handed power to make a run if he handles the event pace.
Willson Contreras (+1400) Check out these best odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Willson Contreras is the longest shot on the board, but he is not just a ceremonial entry. The Red Sox catcher has 20 home runs this season and is making his first career Derby appearance.
Contreras is a four-time All-Star with 192 career home runs, giving him a strong veteran power profile. The challenge is that he lacks the top-end home run pace of Schwarber, Caminero and Rice, and he will likely need one of the cleaner opening rounds of the night to advance.
Home Run Derby Odds Outlook
Schwarber deserves favorite status because he combines the best home run total, strong Derby experience and a massive home-field boost. Caminero is the clearest challenger after last year’s runner-up finish, while Murakami and Walker offer higher-volatility upside at midrange prices.
Harper is the most compelling narrative play at +900 because he has already won the event and gets the same Philadelphia crowd boost as Schwarber. Still, the board starts with Schwarber for a reason, and the favorite has the cleanest path to turning a hometown Derby into a Phillies showcase.
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